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  2. Euro was right there though. Ignoring qpf output until 500mb is ironed out.
  3. EURO holds firm with the IVT instead. I mean we are inside of 70hrs and there is this much disagreement between 2 main models lmfao. positive is that I don’t believe a single model is a total whiff. Think at least every model shows 1+ inches
  4. Euro won’t be right but it’s AI might. And that is a good storm. Clearly there is room to trend more nw. What a day of tracking ahead. At this point I’d do a euro ai gfs gfs ai compromise
  5. Sunday Snow likely, mainly after 1pm. Cloudy, with a steady temperature around 35. East wind 13 to 16 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 1 to 2 inches possible. Sunday Night Snow likely. Cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
  6. So it would seem at this stage of the game, the forecast is 5-18”.
  7. Split them down the middle, and account for temps, perhaps 3-5" for us and 4-8"+ DC and northeast
  8. The trend is “our” friend. The NWS is bumping accumulations in their forecast. I’m excited even though I am far south!
  9. Looks nothing like gfs .. tic SE on AI, op held serve mostly .. mod hit cape gets crushed .. just so much different especially nyc metro than gfs
  10. He's ok... except his future bank account. From what I'm told, it's his second DUI The house still needs to be looked at by the adjuster. They may have to re side part of the house... our vinyl is over 20 years old, good luck finding a match!
  11. Can’t believe GFS and euro are still so different. The have to give at 12z today. Something does
  12. We are well below average in temps in Feb…near normal precip now and no snow
  13. Not gfs level good. Light rain/snow all day before ivt kicks in. Which doesn’t happen until after 4, and maybe .5” qpf from ivt with temps marginal
  14. 6Z euro looks almost identical to 00Z overall with evolution QPF slightly better for S CT and SE MA
  15. Never easy. I can’t believe we’re going into 12z on Friday with this much disagreement.
  16. The consistency from run to run with the GFS is rare beyond words, especially at this lead time. If it folds, it is seriously time to discuss discontinuing funding for the model and surrounding program.
  17. I agree; euro technically did go west but not like gfs I wouldn’t worry about precip field yet… but you’d think 970s/980s low south of LI would have a better looking map
  18. The low was in a better spot, precip field just looks weird. Euro has been all over
  19. Well as great as the GFs was for us, we really need to see other guidance jump on to have any faith in that kind of outcome. A minor/moderate brush still very much on the table.
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