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Light snow in Spotsy started about 15 min ago. But very light.

It was a spectacular day. I was stuck inside working but it was my son’s day off and he went riding. Beautiful view of Mt. Washington from Groton, VT

Great news for Friday night.

yea, that really inflates things now. i was looking back at ghd1 and ghd2 recently. neither had a single shift over 20 speci.

Pithy-Lol If anything else would jump on the nam for tomorrow night though it would help, but nothing else is really except for all those meso's that never happens haha. GFS a mess and Dr No just keeps saying no. At least for RVA. The NAM set up looks like some of the models from the weekend it's crazy.

Dang Nam just Namd SE Va .

00Z HRRR some 2" total NE of Rutherford into Cleveland county

Radar started to get busier. Relative humidity spiking west of I-81.

I think we are going to get a similar pattern...maybe dates don't coincide precisely and we don't get 50" of snow, blah, blah....but elite analog IMHO.

Its been such a steady cold winter locally, we forget that in DJF, warm anamolies are not a nail in the coffin here. In fact. If we can avoid actual torching and get an active pattern it can actually produce very well, but its of course a gamble. This would be the first time this cold season wed be in a more gambling type pattern. Its been solid cold and winter threats briefly interrupted by 2 well advertised torches.

That was a significant move by the GEFs comparing the 12z to the 18z for the 15th. Some deep members sprinkled around the spread area with a mean closed low passing underneath

Kind of like what the GFS is going VD Day.

Towson. Nothing!

Just posted this in the MA sub...that is absolutely crazy

Yeah Mar 2018 blocking was epic you’d have shortwaves pretty amplified out in the plains/Rockies and the thing would turn into a snow threat.

Ummmm….well judging by radar, NOVA might not see a flake! Glad to see the trains of plow trucks going up 66. Waste more tax payer dollars lol.

It was COD.

This what I said earlier...if anything it was weak MC forcing, which had no impact.

Who cares when there's this too. https://x.com/JustinWeather/status/2018864755256250868?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^2018864755256250868|twgr^afdbcb3bf1f7882daea6c56237bcb5b4801b0525|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.americanwx.com%2Fbb%2Findex.php%3Fapp%3Dcoremodule%3Dsystemcontroller%3Dembedurl%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fi%2Fstatus%2F2018864755256250868

Pattern def did NOT match phase 6-7, which makes sense because it was so weak...blocking from the Feb SSW ran the show.

We used to crush zumas in college. Go for a hike at pine grove furnace State Park too!

Voodoo someone once told us

I misunderstood, thinking the assertion is volcano is needed for any kind of cold anomoly winter. I feel very fortunate to live in the Great Lakes because our type of climate makes a complete winterless winter impossible. Warmer winters can see some real dynamic snowstorms ala 2022-23. A winter like the present one, 2025-26, is what I would call a classic textbook example of a harsh winter. Below avg temps, above avg snowfall and above avg snowcover. No standout storms but solid deep winter since late November with just 2 brief breaks. Today is the 21st day in a row snow has fallen. I dont ever really ever expect another 2013-14. Took this Pic this evening when dropping something off at the library.

Currently 33 with cotton balls falling in Wolf. I'm too tired to take a good photo, sorry. Sent from my Pixel 10 Pro using Tapatalk