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You all know damn well you can't have a proper storm without me. But seriously, been hella busy with work and now down here in South Carolina with fam for Thankskgiving, I really had no idea until Mappy texted me. Glad I wasn't checking tho..this one seems to be going in the wrong direction? I dunno, haven't been following.

Today’s wind maybe a blessing ripping the remaining leaves off the trees.

Ah, and one last ironic thing which I am noticing(and mentioned yesterday)....I think there is the danger of suppressed systems due to the strength of these air masses. But the souther stream looks active regardless. If we can get 1-2 systems to connect with the cold, we would be in business.

The biggest things I am noticing at 12z are the potential for slp to form as cold front drags its feet across the souther Gulf states. I am also seen very cold air masses that seem to have little difficulty making it to our latitude. The cold air supply in Canada appears ample.

He spends a ton of time basting his turkey. Randy is known as a master baster.

Euro still has the system and H5 doesn’t look terrible. Not in a bad spot right now.

Ots

Low level clouds stubborn but up to 59.

Exactly where we want this at this lead time. Once models hone in on the strength of the system it will tick west and plenty of time to make appreciable moves. We watch.

Trough is more progressive

Long-duration event, mostly light to moderate snow, with wind, the ratio in my yard is going to suck. I'm hoping for at least 6 inches.

Euro looks south of 0z early on.

He should be along soon. I sent him a text saying everyone was asking for him. He didn’t know models showed snow haha

OPs gonna lose to this

After reading some of the posts the last few days, I think we should bring back the “Weenie of the Year” contest.

the weenie kuchera ratio maps for this run will be doing numbers on social media

Yes x 4

way more likely that the mid-week system is a POS than something amped and rainy IMO

The 12z Euro is definitely in the CMC camp w/ a flatter wave.

The shift back south is real across all models. Probably cut the totals by 30%, though.

I suspect a Friday return, it’s Thanksgiving

Definitely some caution flags. At least there is something to track at this range.

Surprised we haven't had more discussion. The 12z GFS and CMC look great in the medium and long range - several good windows. The CMC actually looks good for E TN. Good 12z run so far. Euro is inbound currently.

I mean it had to learn about the multiple ways of porking me since 2022 right?

euro slower, stronger, deeper, and colder?