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  1. Past hour
  2. ineedsnow
    even if the heaviest is west you'll still get 1 to 2 by Wednesday.. Stein dead
  3. madwx
    up to 0.79" this morning with more showers throughout the next 2 days.
  4. Paleocene
    12z NAM seems to back up the 00z globals in showing more to the west of 95 (through 00z monday)
  5. mahantango#1
    Does anyone think the severe risk will shift a little east later today?
  6. Itstrainingtime
    Not really a forecast per se but I haven't forgotten this post. Three wasn't a whole lot of model consensus at the time but everything has come around to it over the past several days.
  7. Damage In Tolland
    The whole thing is way west. You can see the setup. Rain sets up ENY into S VT. Classic look while east Steins
  8. dendrite
    Let’s get water flowing out of hillsides in Tolland.
  9. powderfreak
    This is through 6z Monday. Overall looks Steiny through Tuesday night.
  10. Stormlover74
    It does specify both afternoons as when showers are likely but I think right now it's too difficult to pinpoint
  11. CoastalWx
    Weather.cod has it in better increments
  12. CoastalWx
    Pretty wet even here. Front stalls a bit further south. Not sure I buy it.
  13. Brian5671
    yeah-most models don't have much at all for Saturday now....
  14. Stormlover74
    Part of the problem with these forecasts is it will say 70% chance of showers Saturday and Sunday but end up raining for a total of 4 or 6 hours. I see lots of cancellations of weekend events already
  15. Brian5671
    Ugh-that's miserable in the rain-we did it a few years back a few times-one year had off and on shower and cold.
  16. ineedsnow
    if you wait Tropical Tidbits has it just comes out super late https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2025050106&fh=6
  17. dailylurker
    Hopefully this doesn't become some 2 week long stretch of sprinkles and drizzle that amounts to like .20 like last September.
  18. HoarfrostHubb
    Deets? I'm too cheap to pay for the off hours runs
  19. Today
  20. Stormlover74
    Either way it's not going to be 5 days straight of rain
  21. HoarfrostHubb
    Not sure how "fine" the weekend looks. Euro (0z) has me gettting close to 1.5" precip by 0z Monday. Some breaks, and I tend to find the maps a bit overdone...
  22. dWave
    Working at the 5 boro bike tour I hope that's true for Sunday. Or at least limited to an occasional light shower.
  23. CoastalWx
    6z euro just laughed at this call.
  24. katabatic
    I knew it's been dry in the last few years but dang...in LWX's disco, they mention IAD is down 33" since 2021. It's been absolutely forever since the whole forum gets a soaker. Looks like we'll get something beneficial altho the bullseye is well north.
  25. weatherwiz
    hope to get out and chase!
  26. RodneyS
    April 2025 continued the warmth, coming in as the 6th warmest April in DC history, with an average temperature of 61.7 at DCA, exceeded only by 2017 (63.8), 2019 (62.4), 1981 and 2023 (62.1), and 1994 (62.0). During last year's recordbreaking warm year in DC, April averaged 60.5 at DCA. However, January-April 2025 at DCA was below last year, at 47.8 vs 49.1. The warmest January-April in DC history was 50.1 at DCA in 2012.
  27. Mount Joy Snowman
    Low of 50. Modeling all coming around to the Euro's idea of a days long period of rain and clouds induced by a hovering ULL next week. Would be great for the grass, ground, trees, and most importantly, shrubbery.
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