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The warmth has definitely shifted east as the winter has progressed though, with the warmest anomalies now being centered over the Plains/Midwest as of recent. May continue to shift further east as we head deeper into spring. We’ll see.

I thought the gfs looked like a slight step.back tbh at 500mb

You can’t spell “You’re not getting snow” without the letters E-U-R-O.

I'm going to smack them with something else.

It's the "Ex-wife" of the forecasting models

That’s the JMA claim to fame. Not sure the KMA has ever had its 15 minutes yet.

GEFS now has 13 members west of mean east of Virginia 12z had 2 fwiw

Mean is S/E. A lot of members N/W though

The melting has reached a tipping point in Central Park.

Come back to your fb page I'm teaching you where you live

If even one person says “see?” or “I told you so!” or “this is why you don’t trust the GFS” when it eventually caves, I’m gonna go to their house and smack them with a rolled up newspaper.

Correct, and nobody is. Everyone is now in a very mature and dignified and composed state about the GFS. Totally philosophical and zen-like. Probably won't see much reaction if and when it caves.

Well I'm not in the uk so I don't care anyway

Dude, it's the Euro. It's guaranteed misery.

And a subpar ending? It's like batting .300+ the whole season and failing late in the season/playoffs and you expect a high grade? Sinners! It's the whole body of work! 41F/Overcast and very exciting the possibility of rain/drizzle/fog... Look at this shit...

That was a decent shift west.

I just want to hear Ryan say on air once, referring to snow lovers as weenies. Can a brother dream?

this is why you dont move to winchester for snow

I don't either

It's not been snowy for much of the area...it's near climo.

For real…don’t threaten me with a good tiiiime.

The GFS is right or close to it. I will go with the ship on this one. I am 100% onboard with it.

Yeah, thermals look like crap like they did at 12Z.

If it even makes some good adjustment…just a tick. Have we ever seen a massive shift one run…can’t recall

im buying it. A major model that im paying tax money for is showing me a blizzard 48 hours out