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Shoulda woulda coulda?

High was 18. Now 15

I'm savoring this one-a throwback to my youth. The deep winter cold laying down the foundation with perfect timing. The classic cirrus gathering in the SW sky, the excitement of a big snow on the way. I grew up in the 1950s and early 60s. The 1950s were not so kind to snow lovers until the latter half of the decade. But my early years taught me to appreciate every aspect of the storm including the prodromal high paint brush cirrus. When i was 9 years old, I read a book entitled "All About the Weather" by ivan Ray Tannehill. He described a gathering storm similar to what we're hopefully about to experience. I'm quoting but entirely from memory: "It may be a clear cold day in winter whn you notice wispy high clouds in the sky to the west." I remember the line-"the wind whistles in the pines and roars in the eaves". Some of you older posters wil probably remember the same experience as me reading and validating what I was feeling......excitement...it was going to snow! https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ivan_Ray_Tannehill

Looks like there will be a decent drop off right near or just south of the NY/NJ border. 15+ looks pretty solid in Orange County as of right now

Steady rain that is freezing on contact in Chattanooga .

Can confirm very light flurries in Richmond and just south. Multiple reports now.

fixed

Well damn. I think the goal should be that we at least accumulate more snow than the amount of salt that now lies on roads and other paved surfaces!! It's ridiculous, the amount of salt that I saw on sidewalks outside some places today!!! The latest NAM has me doubting we'll accomplish that, however!!

Warm nose isn’t as prominent yet. It’s stayed like that for the whole 6 hour run. .

Looks like highs today will stay in the teens

Sleet is picking up a bit now

Fwiw, the 20z hrrr converts .4-.5" qpf to 6-7" snow at the end of its range.

Latest HRRR at 18.

Bentonville/most of Benton County is under a heavier band on the radar right now, yet it’s barely spitting flurries. That makes zero sense whatsoever. Even when we get a decent band it’s a big nada. Edit: That’s because it’s sleet pellets. Ugh…

Not a problem at this time:

Amen! And it’ll stick around a long while afterward too, which is pretty rare overall

Not sure, but usually when there is an event like this or hurricanes, etc. you get a lot of help from linemen from out of state. In this case, a lot of them will be busy in their own areas I’d suspect.

We're getting cloud to cloud results here. Pingers one minute, nothing the next. Need better rates.

Not a fan of this downgrade.

Memo to snow gods ... don't need all my residuals tomorrow ... but do what you have to do!!! (my airport predictions for 1/24-26 total DCA 5.5, IAD 8.2, BWI 8.8, RIC 3.7. ... I need about twice those amounts for the contest but let's be optimistic and say there will be more to come) Would be happy to get it all in this storm though.

Tiny flakes in Logan square

GFS has begun...I'll just post relevant panels as I get them

I can here the clang of swords overhead as the demon dry air and the light of flakes clash!

Orange County NY