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  2. MJO812
    Active pattern coming with a few snow chances
  3. RedSky
    Sleetfest 1&2 Not enough sleet on this stuff it collapses
  4. KamuSnow
    Probably after that 6" sleetfest. Sledding was amazing for that, stopping was interesting!
  5. RedSky
    Those old things worked once for me the year was 2007
  6. GaWx
    I hate to see such large discrepancies in anomalies when comparing sources. It’s not comforting to say the least. Maybe they are and I have no evidence to the contrary at least right now, but how do you know for sure that the 2m temp forecasts themselves between Euro native and WB are the same?
  7. KamuSnow
    Lol, I hear you!
  8. powderfreak
    Lately we’ve been seeing the light, consistent refreshes. Not gaining depth but maintaining it through low-QPF NW flow. Hopefully we can see a more synoptic density event soon. The fluff doesn’t do much.
  9. ravensrule
    They say it’s one of the best in years. If we don’t get a top 8 pick I’m going to lose my shit.
  10. John1122
    I finished +1 for November, but with 2 inches of snow. -1 for December and -3 for January. It's been a brutal winter stretch here with two significant winter storms and multiple small events. Even with BN precip/drought, after last night, I've recorded 17 inches of snow since November along with 1/2 inch of sleet and near a half inch of ice. If you look back on winters here, there are often extremes within them. December of '84 was very warm, similar to this late December period, and then we had January of '85.
  11. so_whats_happening
    By using that same logic the law of averages would assume we would have extensive cooler than average year(s) coming up too since we have been an endless year after year warm regime.
  12. Mr Bob
    Read the room. It’s not difficult. You are not a regular contributor in here so dropping in for this stuff out of the blue is the wrong vibe.
  13. wasnow215
    If we named threads for threats like the main thread this one would've been mine a few days ago! Lol
  14. FXWX
    Yep... I think it is now a foregone conclusion that there are going to be a couple of sweet spots... Lots of support, in my opinion, for a solid 3-5 inch zone across southeast CT northward along and either side of the CT/RI border area (I-395 corridor) eastward across much of RI; possibly parts of the Cape... But I expect a high-end advisory level / low-grade warning (4-8") somewhere in eastern Mass but not locked into the specific zone at this time; probably a nowcast call just before it really shows itself.
  15. DirtySnowDen
    Is it possible this a Norlun-esque type of deal? Where it’s not well-forecasted on the models, but the quick intrusion of Arctic air causes chaos as it hits the Atlantic?
  16. John1122
    The 3k NAM is dropping 2 inches over my area Friday night. Not surprisingly, I'm going to Chattanooga for the Super Bowl this weekend. Debating on whether to leave tomorrow or Saturday.
  17. high risk
    I understand the skepticism, but those forecasts were relying on intense radiational cooling late at night, and clouds/wind seemed to wreck those opportunities. This will be pure advection of an intensely cold air mass, and it's legit arctic air. I think this has a much better chance (and I'd say it's very likely) of single digits.
  18. mreaves
    Went for a night ride. Temp was around 0° and the stars were absolutely gorgeous. This was taken somewhere between Washington and Orange, VT by my son with his basic iPhone 17 camera. Came out decently despite the camera.
  19. RU848789
    Easily, especially since the pack for most started with 1-2" otg from 1/17-18 and most of us got 1.5-1.9" frozen QPF on 1/25, even if it might've only been 11-12" in depth, since 3-4" of that was sleet for many. That's a lot of frozen QPF to melt (and not much of it has melted yet) and with temps only getting to around 40F late next week, I'd think most of the pack will still be here on 2/17, especially if we top it off tomorrow and a bit next week.
  20. ThePhotoGuy
    Icy Old Pier along Rock Creek
  21. ThePhotoGuy
    1/27 - Stoney Creek
  22. ThePhotoGuy
    Fort Smallwood Park, Rock Creek, & Patapsco River - 1/26
  23. ThePhotoGuy
    1/25
  24. LakePaste25
    All 2m temp forecasts are the same though. It’s just how the anomalies are interpreted. Would agree that EPS are running slightly cold of GEFS/GEPS suites.
  25. Northof78
    Tomorrow will mark 21 days (3 weeks) of straight snow cover across most of the region. Currently it appears likely we will hit the full straight 1 month mark by next weekend with cold temperatures remaining and some chance of additional snows in the period. Fairly rare for N/C NJ and NYC Metro, we get a 1 month (or more) straight of snow cover roughly every 5/6 winters.
  26. RUNNAWAYICEBERG
    Regardless of amounts…the weekend winter vibes continue.
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