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At least we are doing better than areas just to our south. Through May 14th Philly is having their 4th driest spring. Should help boost the high temperature potential in the usual warm spots early next week. Pretty impressive to see the Euro, GFS, and CMC showing 95+ potential for the usual warm spots. Time Series Summary for Philadelphia Area, PA (ThreadEx) Driest March 1 to May 13 Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 1926-05-13 3.79 0 2 1938-05-13 4.20 0 3 1930-05-13 4.32 0 4 2026-05-13 4.38 0 5 2012-05-13 4.42 0 6 1995-05-13 4.64 0 7 1985-05-13 4.71 0 8 1969-05-13 4.77 0 9 1887-05-13 4.91 0 10 1883-05-13 4.98 0

More water restrictions in McDowell. Next week not looking as stormy.. not good

Late next week is trending drier again east of the Apps. Less than an inch of rain for many through 15 days.

Oh sick I had no clue either. That is awesome. That should even help reduce range folding issues in the CT Valley. Looks like the 0.3° tilt samples just below 5K in the Springfield area which is a good ~1.5k feet lower than what the 0.5° tilt samples.

New JMA for regions 3 and 3.4 FWIW:

As I'm working around the garden it's dry 3-4" down. It's a good thing my well is as deep as it is, I pull from the aquifer at NYC reservoir level below me.

61.3° and Cloudy salvageable day so far

The NBM has lows over TRI at 41 tonight. The 6z GFS and 6z 3k NAM both have lows in the mid to upper 30s. I probably won't cover my stuff tonight, but am waiting until tomorrow to plant the rest of my warm weather plants. This is the latest I have planted those in a long time. That is ironic given how warm it is has already been this spring. This last series of cold shots were a doozy. Spring is surely full of wild swings and April/May sure have lived up to that!!!!

Permanent change. I haven't seen the updated best coverage of the lowest scan maps yet, but I think we're now looking at BOX being the better radar from near PSM to Sunapee. The biggest change is we gain like 2000 feet of viewing near EEN, and ENX is basically no longer necessary to look at.

I figured there was a good reason. I was kinda kidding anyway…it’s mostly just a synoptic rain. I didn’t even realize they lowered that. Is it permanent or while GYX is down?

Before the next rain some areas in northern piedmont will likely move into exceptional category

Nothing but wet. 54 degrees.

Had to make a tough call for a necessary 2 day outage. Bring her down for a widespread rain event where BOX could cover the most threatened area or bring her down in June when random thunderstorms could be too far away from other radars. By the way congrats on BOX being at least as good as GYX in the low levels for your area now that they dropped their lowest scan to 0.3 degrees.

A paltry .07" here. Yet another event that looked decent 3-4 days out only to dwindle at go time. Top soils are barely ok but will dry out very quickly with any stretch of sunny, very wam to hot weather. Long term dryness persists. It has gotten better over the last 4-6 weeks but could easily go in the other direction fast if we don't get meaningful rain. Southeast really taking it on the chin. We'll see if that persistently dry area hangs on and/or expands over the next few months. It could make an upper ridge want to hold on as the Summer takes hold.

In the more changes dept…mesowest is doneski at the end of the year (maybe sooner). https://mesowest.utah.edu/notice.html

Great day for GYX radar to be down.

0.25" overnight, bumps me all the way up to 0.27" for the week, 55F.

If only it was snow

The heaviest rain this system ordeal has to offer may in fact come from this introductory band that Brian just showed there. The whole system is closing off but that behavior is doing so over pallid gradients/weak baroclinicity, while the mid and upper heights are really filling as it closes ... not deepening further. As it is pulling away, it even opens the trough back up and ends up almost washed out of the hemisphere by the next day as it's corps smears up over the Maritime. [edit, it actually does go through another deepening phase up there but then right after it's disappears] Systems tend to not score well in the course when they're limping into the final. The NAM's lower QPF all along may end up doing better in this. The other models "might" be over producing QPF given weakening structure. It'll be interesting to see what happens with this. It is still a closed circulation, tho maintaining a progressive movement ... but closed circulations may get a window of easterly anomaly which adds ... So both a lower and upper performance are true.

Not only has a mid-May freeze happened before, there was one just three years ago:

In leominster and not much going on here.. looks like home is getting drenched though.. almost 2 inches the other day plus this.. things will green up quick now

F***in... ALEET!

El busto here. Looks like very little rain