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This one is going to require fairly perfect timing of the western ridge building. Pretty much any delay in that or any unforseen disturbance at this time flattening that ridge will kill this. I think it'll be Thursday before we know much

imagine walking outside with a ruler to measure two inches of snow

Amazing, there appears to be a very narrow (5 mile wide) snow hole from New Brunswick NJ up to Northvale NJ.

I don't mind it. The enthusiasm and the good natured way he takes the criticism is better than a lot of us. One quibble, and happy to be corrected by anyone on this: It's "Wintry" not "Wintery" right? Always bugs me when I see it written the latter way.

Still looks like the ICON is started by hand even today.

Maybe for you. Gfs, Nam had me getting 3”+ a day out and euro still showed a little snow inside 48

Up to 24 inches for the winter

thats why ensembles are important at this range

Ryan Maue @RyanMaue · 47m I think we are on Nor'easter watch for next Sun/Mon There's a consistent signal across European and American models for a major storm system developing off Mid-Atlantic and moving toward New England. Too soon for snow impacts but plenty of time to iterate, watch trends, etc.

48 currently feels like 58. Rare to get this warmth with full sun this time of year. Drinking it up. Got a nice walk in this morning before work.

EPS for each threat… Wednesday Friday night Sunday night/Monday

12z GFS is basically January 2022 re-incarnated.

Will likely be at Baldy this coming weekend and then will be at Palisades 2/27-3/2!

Now you know it's going to snow. It's always when you don't want it to snow that it actually snows here. Thank you for your help.

Tahoe area is amazing. Only been out there once but Heavenly is amazing. We had 2 to 3 feet on the first day of our ski trip and 5 days later serious spring skiing with temps in mid 40s after starting trip with highs at about 10 in the town and below zero at 10k

One of those times I'd rather not see snow this weekend. Oldest is performing in the Maryland All State Chorus on Sunday.

Had about .6" of snow. Just enough to scrape the driveway which took a minute. Went to go the gym and it was all gone by 12.

We had consensus last Wed for last night’s storm. Just a few straggler models trying to reel us back in

Eps is more amplified than the op. Red flag

I've seen this happen before when the models were on board. Back then the Euro was labeled King. Back then I followed a lot on wxdisco.com. Just saying I'm not getting my hopes up till Friday. I like the reading and everyone thoughts.

Wednesday? Psssh maybe by Saturday we will have consensus.

the ridge spikes right over ID/MT as the trough amps, which is what matters

get your ass up into one of those mountains

Euro very slowly trending.

Ideally would we want a slightly different ridge placement and a bit higher heights out ahead?