All Activity

There might be a tendency to exaggerate very favorable conditions, and immediate jump to Super Nino vs something Moderate or even Strong.. like I've previously posted, the March SOI has never been this high in a Moderate+ Nino later in the year. Now there's only 9 examples and I'll have to test it back before 1950, but things are less than ideal right now, although SSTAs are warming pretty fast. Just some random thoughts this morning. Nino 4 also has a steady long term uptrend since 1950, more uniform than other regions.. that Nino 4 is already +0.3 and WWBs happening in the west may propel that to some warmer conditions this year.

Yes, here's a good example of cherry picking. Don't worry, I'll be adding other stations. Why would the results change?. The other stations all have much shorter record lengths. Furthermore the modern stations are all warming rapidly in complete agreement with recent Coatesville and Phoenixville data.

March 26 2012: This is the record early ice-out date on Mille Lacs Lake. 2007: Temperature records are shattered across much of central and southern Minnesota and west central Wisconsin. The following records were set: 69 at Alexandria, 75 at Mankato, 77 at Little Falls, 79 at St. Cloud, 81 at Minneapolis-St. Paul and Eau Claire, 82 at Redwood Falls, and 83 at Springfield. For Thursday, March 26, 2026 1913 - The Ohio River Basin flood reached a peak. Ten inch rains over a wide area of the Ohio River Basin inundated cities in Ohio, drowning 467 persons, and causing 147 million dollars damage. The Miami River at Dayton reached a level eight feet higher than ever before. The flood, caused by warm weather and heavy rains, was the second mostly deadly of record for the nation. (David Ludlum) 1954 - The temperature at Allaket, AK, plunged to 69 degrees below zero. (The Weather Channel) 1971 - Parts of northern and central Georgia experienced their worst snow and ice storm since 1935. Two day power outages ruined two million eggs at poultry hatches. Two persons were killed when a tree landed on their car. (25th-26th) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A cold front crossing the Plateau Region produced high winds in Utah causing some property damage. Winds gusted to 51 mph at Salt Lake City. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Twenty cities in the southwestern U.S. reported new record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 73 degrees at Flagstaff AZ, 90 degrees at Sacramento CA, 95 degrees at Santa Maria CA, 95 degrees at Los Angeles CA, 99 degrees at Tucson AZ, and 100 degrees at Phoenix AZ set records for March. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - The Easter Bunny brought record warm temperatures to the central U.S. while such records were still welcome. A dozen cities reported record warm readings, including Dodge City KS with an afternoon high of 88 degrees. Strong southerly winds gusted to 51 mph at Dodge City, and reached 55 mph at Salina KS. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Fair weather prevailed across the nation for the second day in a row. Freezing temperatures were reported in the Middle Atlantic Coast Region in the wake of an early spring snowstorm. Afternoon highs were again in the 70s and 80s in the southeastern U.S., and for the ninth day in a row, temperatures in the southwestern U.S. reached the 90s. (The National Weather Summary)

Saw my first flash of the year in the Feb 18 blizzard. Thundersnow is very cool!

You can even see it doing it over the top of Kevin's house in CT... It'll probably dry out some but just sayn' a-nnoying

Scoot’s favorite just released. Looks similar to the shading of the 365 day departures.

It's the na na na-na na cloud line affect

Drives me wild continually seeing clouds moving W-E with blue sky to the west and it never arrives. You can actually see the clouds reforming with the naked eye.

Hopefully the predecessor to an endless string of tropical systems this summer

It isn't just us. Much of the West is in real trouble with all time record low snowpack.

My concern for you all is the snowpack being at all time record lows in many spots across the West and what that will mean for water supply and fires.

We're getting that standing wave cloud production that Brian was complaining about the other day, down here. It happens more frequently up there than down here, but I've seen this before... It takes a conditionally unstable layer around 800 mb running down with the flow, and as it bumps up and over the terrain there is back-building schmootz. Loop vis sat, it looks like it's emerging out of seam. And summarily, optimistic forecasts bust. great

Happy Opening day to any and all baseball fans. I have tickets for exactly 35 games so far between Baltimore, Philly, Pittsburgh, Detroit and Chicago. Gotta get my fix in now with the lockout looming...

Such is April. Never expect nice Spring weather until May.

Something else that hasn't happened much at all recently...the rainfall amounts for tonight have actually trended upwards over the past 24-48 hours.

The only spring 3 weeks ahead in our nearly 28 years here was 2010 (had our mildest Feb, March and April), and it came to a crashing halt when May 11-13 had minima of 23/26/25. Disastah!

Ya…I have no idea where he’s seeing that? It all depends on what the weather does coming up in April..if we get some nice sunny and mild weather it’ll bring em out sooner. But if it goes to crap and grey and cold…it’s no green up or leafing until later.

You know I wonder if there's like a "green up line" I think there's something like that with trees. I could swear I've seen it, the leaf out line or something. But not sure that's the same. That pithier verdancy of spring where the fields are delicious with it like a 5-star eatery's salad .. I mean there comes a time every spring whence that is noticeable and it's not the same as a couple of fluke early warm days driving a greener patch here and there. Talkin' full commitment, and it does tend to flash over the landscape across an instra-weekly time scale - days in other words. Not sure when the first (average) time that is - I suspect that season's climate bias plays a role. It's nostalgic. I've seen pre leaf out but budding trees, with perhaps Norway maples in flower - those give off one of the best spring aromas there is outside of Lilacs. That green complexion underneath paints the fields, festooned with yellow dots from dandy lion. This setting comes on prior to the trees. Spring fever afternoon if it's 72. Four days later there's leafs cracking out

Cherry picking always gives the desired answer.....

So far this year we're running just over 60% of average. I'll believe that 'ton' if it arrives. (Would welcome it, too.)

Grass is greening up here nicely.

Ill look up the Denver one because for some reason it didn't look to be listed from the link.

I know I've said it before but I'll say it again, really good work on these, much appreciated.

To those that celebrate....welcome to Phillies Opening Day!! Go Phillies! It will be a beautiful spring day today with highs reaching the 70's. Shower chances increase tonight into tomorrow morning. Much colder tomorrow with temperatures falling during the day and falling below freezing tomorrow night. Saturday will be the coldest day of the weekend with highs barely escaping the 30's. We moderate back to near normal temperatures by Sunday. Go Phillies!!