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  2. This storm has been officially rated as a Category 5 on the RSI scale for the Upper Midwest. It is the first Cat 5 for any region since Jan 2016, the first for the Midwest since GHD 2011, and it is the highest value on the RSI achieved for any region since the Jan 1996 Nor'easter.
  3. I was just thinking the exact same thing. So sick of this cloudy cold breezy boring weather. And it's Wednesday. We are stuck between failing at winter and failing at spring.
  4. 2002-03 like would definitely be an interesting outcome!
  5. Average last freeze in Smithtown for the past 30 years is April 12. It really hasn't changed much over that time, despite 1996 being an outlier. Last 32°, Smithtown NY Year Date Low Temp 1996 5/14/1996 32 1997 4/16/1997 32 1998 4/13/1998 32 1999 3/27/1999 29 2000 4/14/2000 29 2001 4/20/2001 32 2002 4/24/2002 32 2003 4/8/2003 31 2004 4/6/2004 31 2005 4/17/2005 30 2006 3/30/2006 32 2007 4/11/2007 28 2008 5/1/2008 32 2009 4/17/2009 32 2010 3/28/2010 30 2011 3/30/2011 30 2012 3/28/2012 30 2013 4/7/2013 32 2014 4/21/2014 31 2015 4/12/2015 32 2016 4/14/2016 32 2017 4/13/2017 32 2018 4/21/2018 32 2019 4/2/2019 26 2020 4/19/2020 30 2021 4/4/2021 32 2022 3/30/2022 28 2023 4/10/2023 30 2024 4/26/2024 31 2025 4/10/2025 32
  6. We're done dude, hasn't snowed the whole month. More rain Thursday night and next week could turn wet. Might as well get our water supply built up and the reservoirs full now. Hopefully by May we turn full spring mode. April is always a toss up.
  7. 2.7" for me with that one, don't recall how @snywxdid with that one.
  8. It’s great to see these additional METAR sites coming online, especially for areas like Belmont, Forsyth, and Jamestown. The link shared gives a clear list of all seven new sites along with coordinates, which is helpful for pilots and weather enthusiasts tracking local conditions. This expansion really improves coverage across the U.S.
  9. seasonal slowdown as all the winter guys go into hibernation
  10. Yikes 11 hours since a response in this forum, 12pm on weekday. Tenn valley is the only forum that has a longer posting drought. They are saying I'll get up to 74 degrees tomorrow. Not bad for March, huh?
  11. Leave that until mid April
  12. Bro i love snow but its almost April..... lets get the warmer weather here!!!!
  13. Shocked how quiet it’s been for the Northern IN and OH folks concerning tomorrow. It looks like a pretty solid threat overall at this time
  14. Wow, somewhat good news. How far away from where it was stolen was it found? Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk
  15. Today
  16. @WinterWolf @dryslot @Lava Rock Quick update on my sled saga. As I mentioned before, the RCMP found one but the other one never turned up. I went up the weekend of the 14th to pick up the recovered after the insurance company declared the other one a total loss. State Farm reimbursed me for the gas, hotel and storage fees related to me having to go up and get it. The money hit my account within a matter of hours after I submitted receipts. This past Saturday, I took the recovered sled to a Ski Doo dealer to have them go through it. The estimate to replace the front bumper, belly pan and the stolen LinQ gas caddy and tunnel bag is $1,361. The parts will be in this week so that should be done next week. Now I just wait for the settlement for the second sled.
  17. Yup. Had a 0.3" flurry on the 2nd and 2" paste on the 3rd.
  18. One thing about using RONI vs. ONI is you have to be consistent. If you’re going to use RONI to say that the Nino isn’t going to be as strong, you also need to say that 24-25 and 25-26 were weak to moderate Nina’s, not neutral.
  19. suspect action will be south/east of ord but airports are a cluster fuck right now for many reasons, good luck!
  20. 23-24 reached super criteria based off of traditional ONI, which peaked at +2.1C for NDJ. Using the new RONI however, it peaked at moderate to strong.
  21. Had it been colder-all locations would have had another 2-4 inches-Sunday daytime was rain/white rain for most areas
  22. Many climate alarmist like to point to the Time of Observation Bias (TOB) as solid "scientific adjustments" required to correct that bias. NOAA/NCEI in fact chose to chill every year at Coatesville from 1895 thru 1982. However, if anything when we look at the facts of when these observations were taken (see the below of COOP observation time/years) we see that with the exception of 11 years.... temperatures were in reality recorded in the morning. So if their rationale is correct the bias for Coatesville should in fact be too cool with all of those AM minimum temperature reports. Yet they chose to not warm those years - they actually made additional chilling adjustments.
  23. Yeah I've been keenly on this every day for the past month as we're globally getting set sail into this next ultimately unknown +ENSO. The warm/NINO phase is all but certain, but ...the amplitude and so forth, tbd. The last time we were in switch from a NINA to NINO, there was a global temperature surge, air and sea, like never before observed since humanity picked first up the first burning stick, wondered, and ultimately doomed their fate ( whole 'nother dystopian story). It's not clear that the NINA/NINO switch was causal in the global multi-metric temperature surge in 2023; it in fact preceded the on set of the NINO. However, intuitively ...having a warm tropical anomaly concurrent certainly is not helping to offset a warming world, incrementally. This is concerning, this hot water curve above. +.58C as of that last tick ( to be verified but seldom do these not - ) is a mere .1 < than the 2024 historic max, which took place there nearing the end of April. This sets off a chain of reasoning for me... Most of those curves, in fact all of them at a glance with the exception of last year ... were already beginning to fall by now, the Ides of March. Last year, however, was the first in which that was not the case. The SSTs gained yet for another month - doing so during a NINA, no less?! The Earth had for the first time in decades, gained when the climatology inference clearly argued(s) it should have been falling. I don't believe that it trivial, albeit easily overlooked. More on that in the bottom paragraph. When looking at the recent month(s) of this year, and combining with those aspect... there's no sense there that this curve isn't going to set a new record. We are preset at an elevated state, with yet an impending warm phase of the ENSO ...? Just beginning to register, and we only have .1 to spare. It's my opinion that we are not done with the 2023 burst. I sense that was a first step during what could turn into a much more important total geological threshold/move. Last years odd global SST gains is an insidious way of signaling we are still in burst-prone' state ... Possible the same burst, but to our perception moving too slowly to notice. "Burst" in geologic time is misleading. It is going to be difficult to see to a sentience ( us ) whose perception of time moves too swiftly?
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