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Ah well..if having a glacial snow with almost 3 weeks of arctic air that barely got out of the teens--is the high point of a la niña winter, that is not bad at all. This has actually been a lot of fun! And It seems our misses weren't logbook misses but the thing I protest the most about ninas: the pesky NS, lol But it was plenty of cold, that's for sure! For next winter...I do hope we can take advantage of this niño and get it in a workable position. If we want a big dog soon, we can't afford to waste the second Niño of this decade...we only average 2-3 per decade to begin with! And yes I'm unabashedly HECS hunting too--niños are always our best shot at those!
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How many drinks have you had this evening?!
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Winter Storm Threat *Technical* Discussion. No Op Run PBP or Snow maps
CAPE replied to CAPE's topic in Mid Atlantic
This period doesn't look quite as good as it did a few days ago, but guidance is hinting at a few chances for wintery weather. Still have a developing -WPO and a decent NA look with a modestly -NAO and tendency for lower heights in the 50-50 region. Yes the trough out west is not ideal, but also not a death knell given the other h5 features. Still looks like a somewhat colder regime is in the works based on the HL upper level flow. -
February 2026 OBS & Discussion
donsutherland1 replied to Stormlover74's topic in New York City Metro
The April 1841 snowstorm was a really big one from parts of the Mid-Atlantic region into New England. Philadelphia received at least 8”. NYC picked up a foot. Some parts of New England saw 20”. -
My grandfather was born in Leavenworth.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Mount Joy Snowman replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Same here, 37 the entire time from Mount Joy to my house. It’s amazing what thick clouds and sturdy winds can do for temperature consistency. -
Where yall are, winter can last a long time since higher elevations help. We don't have that here. Mid March is typically the limit for us.
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
CoastalWx replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Looks like a bad porn video -
Those two storms in Feb and March in the 2016-2017 winter, remind me of the same storm…they were quite similar in their amounts and I think of them as very much twins for some reason.
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What we have is time- time for the models to converge on the perfect phase...time for the upper levels to align so that we somehow have a cold feed from the north into a pacific airmass.. and then the perfect track/ strong low pressure with heavy precip and dynamic cooling. All meteorologically possible!
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Better than the GFS
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mitchnick replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Here too right now. -
Is there any other model that giveth hopium? Just the CMC Lets fucking go!?
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
512high replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Fantastic! (lucky) -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
south trend seems to have gained traction today. no NS/SS interaction and it just scoots due east ish. Stll think a norther correction happens but not sure if and how much. Gonna say i'm a bit baffled as to what I'm seeing. -
Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
kdxken replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
jayyy replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
Pepperidge farms remembers. They always remember. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
couple flurries on way home from office. digi thermo stuck on 37 whole way from etown to akron. Never budged.
