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What site gives the stats for climate location like this? Good stuff!

A short 15 days away.

After the 5th-6th we most likely dew the dews

Look to remain that way for quite some time. Doesn't get much better. Everyone with a spring in their step.

I am jealous! Because of the weather, and because I grew up with Fleetwood Mac tracks! Many of them remind me of big snowstorms!

Buda is currently 100 degrees with a 76 degree dewpoint. This means it feels like it's 116 degrees in the shade! It topped out at 102 degrees, which means then the heat index felt like 119 or 120 degrees earlier!

You don't say.

Dews are plummeting

Looking at past OLR, it looks closest to 1982…maybe a tad west. It does have that broad convective signature across the basin though similar to 1997.

I thought you were exaggerating. It does look bleak.

Yeah, I mean some of this is just noise from TCs. W pac basin was also active in 1997. Just not ready to blame it on this because nearly the entire N PAC basin has seen above normal heights outside the subtropics. We will see. I really want to see where we are at by September. It does seem TCs out there are forming a bit west of 1997.

Better not.

MJO isn't always the best tool because it doesn't show split forcing...check the Homollover (sp?) Anyway, the ridging this month in the NE has not been El Niño like....sure, you could blame the lack of correlation in the summer, but most other developing intense Nino events did not have it, and this one is developing faster. I think it's also important to mix in actual observations with the array or tools.

Nope he loves to go fishing. Raised him into a man.

I must be missing something because I don’t see a ton of MC competition. I agree the N Pac is not exhibiting your typical response but I think it could be due to something else.

The next five days are going be @Bubbler86 summer chamber days. Low 80s, zero humidity, no rain in sight.

When I worked as an observer at MKE, I could see lightning quite a ways south of Chicago sometimes so probably around 130 miles as well.

6 PM LWX Regional Weather Roundup has Frederick reporting a temperature of 102 with a heat index of 104. It may be time to get that thermometer out of the sun.

It’s deceiving. I was under 2 showers that seemingly looked meh on radar and got an inch already.

Yea, both can be true.....Nino is epic in the tropics, but we still have some MC competition in mid latitudes.

Radar looks pretty anemic, frankly. .

We deserve this upcoming weather stretch!

I'm at ~1,200 ft in Burlington CT and twice say lightning flashes over Rutland VT... About 135 miles away.

A cooler regime is in place and will remain in place through the remainder of July. Highs will generally reach the lower 80s through much or all of the remainder of July. The warmest spots could reach the middle 80s on occasion. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.6°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.1°C for the week centered around July 15. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.20°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.82°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -17.36 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.144 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 72% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 76.6° (0.9° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.