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Your area has largely missed out on the most intense summer heat in recent years. Much of that comes down to the large-scale pattern, which has often been influenced by forcing that hasn't favored persistent heat domes or strong upper-level ridges expanding into the central US/Midwest. Meanwhile, both coasts have experienced some of the decade's most significant heat events (such as the Pacific Northwest in 2021, the March heat out west this year, and the upcoming historic heatwave for the East). I mean, we’ve still had our fair share of warmth (for many Midwestern cities, 2024 was the warmest year on record after all), but our recent warmth and summer heat have been characterized by persistent above average temperatures rather than extreme, prolonged, anomalous heat. For instance, last June is the 6th warmest on record for Chicago, yet the temp only maxed out at 95 that month (and for all of summer). Those background patterns won't stay the same forever though, and at some point they'll likely shift in a way that's more favorable for extreme heat reaching your area again, including the possibility of triple-digit temperatures. Then you also have to take into account CC which has severe implications, but won’t go down that rabbit hole.

I just got it two hours ago and it is very hot. WX/PT

it would be nice to have a winter where NYC had 0.0" snow. perhaps this is the one?

Seems like right now 82-83 would be a focal point and not 97-96,when looking at analogs.97-98 had one of the 3 stronest DMI'S on record the last half centurry.JMA isnt showing this with it and its esembles right now,just one.But who know,DMI peaks into fall,maybe that one will be right..lol

Congrats, post pics

That cell hit a force field as it approached lower bucks. Picked up only .10”

Past history with those analohyears always

Don’t see any thunderstorms or good rain to break the heat

I’m traveling up to north central PA Saturday for a family Fourth of July. Think they might see storms?

DCA: 98, 99, 99, 98 BWI: 98, 99, 100, 98 IAD: 98, 99, 99, 98 SBY: 96, 96, 97, 97 RIC. 98, 99, 101, 98 QPF: 0.8”

For those that want to cool off.... Advisories One product issued by NWS for: 5 Miles N Deer Lodge MT Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Missoula MT 616 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026 MTZ007-280830- /O.CON.KMSO.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260629T1500Z/ Butte/Blackfoot Region- 616 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT MONDAY ABOVE 6500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow expected above 6500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with 8 to 16 inches across the Anaconda Pintler Mountains. Snow levels may briefly lower and could produce minor slushy accumulation at Homestake and Macdonald Pass. * WHERE...Georgetown Lake, backcountry and higher elevation areas. * WHEN...Until 9 AM MDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan for winter-like conditions in the backcountry and higher elevations. Cold temperatures, wind, and wet snow will elevate the risk of hypothermia. Heavy wet snow may down trees, blocking access to backcountry roadways.

DCA: 99, 100, 103, 101 BWI: 99, 100, 102, 102 IAD: 98, 100, 101, 101 SBY: 98, 100, 100, 100 RIC: 100, 100, 104, 101 Total Rain: 0.2

I don’t think so, and I don’t think it’s even close, but I’m a goober.

Do we think DC ties/breaks its all time record of 106F?

Had another rowdy and loud thunderstorm about an hour ago that put down nearly half an inch of rain. I assume it will just add to the humidity tomorrow.

I went through that phase down here as well when we first moved here. I battled against it until the summer of 2012 where I finally threw my hands up and naturalized my lawn. Now I have oaks and loblolly pines 30-40ft tall covering most of my yard and what grass remains is mostly replaced by moss that stays green all summer, doesn't need mowing or watering. Plus it's a lot cooler with all the shade.

Worcester, PA. .70 rain. Initial shower to our east seemed to stall and backfill west and we got in on it.

Monroe county has been hit or miss with rain. .

Thu and especially Fri look like the days that the coast could really rocket. 850s reach 24-25C on Fri so that should be the peak of the heat. Tue looks like strong onshore flow and maybe even Ambrose Jet. Wed the higher 850 temps over 20 move in but also maybe some storms along the periphery of the ridge. Sat-Sun the ridge looks to weaken and start to break down.

A wall cloud after a storm in North Raleigh interacted with a boundary to become a transient supercell.

Thanks. Amazing food. Warm weather. Air-Con if it gets HOT. Plenty of land for a huge garden and cheap everything (except electronics). What's not to love? [emoji3]

Against my better judgement, I’m going to take on a contest. Predict the high temps for the five major airports across our Mid-Atlantic forum for four days beginning Wednesday, July 1 - Saturday, July 4. The winner is the lowest departure from actual high temps at all five airports. There is no penalty for being over or under (guesses of 102 or 98 have a departure of 2 if actual temperature is 100). I kind of doubt we will need a tiebreaker, but just in case, predict the total sum rainfall for all five airports through the four day period. Entries will be editable until Tuesday, June 30, 11PM. Please use the following format: DCA: 91, 92, 93, 94 BWI: 81, 82, 83, 84 IAD: 71, 72, 73, 74 SBY: 61, 62, 63, 64 RIC: 51, 52, 53, 54 Total Rain: 19.84

0.13 inches of rain earlier this evening.

That cell that hit Falls Lake 6 miles north of me, we got missed by it. But we did get a healthier one around 630-730pm. Even a lightning strike by Wake Med brier creek in that cell and they had to put out the fire thanks to Raleigh FD. Picked up .40"