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  2. Did you get a note that read “If you will be my valentine I will be your concubine”?
  3. It has been snowing consistently for a few hours and until 15-30 minutes ago, it was only sticking to grass and vehicles. The roads and my front porch are lightly covered now.
  4. Interestingly nothing in Blowing Rock yet. Reckon it is sticking close to the border for now.
  5. So it’s established by a few in here that it looks imperfect/problematic…so why are all the professional mets and trusted ones talking about it like it’s the end all on social media.
  6. I think we were all thinking a dry slot or dry slots somewhere, but then the HRRR came with a HUGE DRY slot covering numerous counties in central NC. I don't think anyone expected that.
  7. He’s blocked…the problem is when somebody quotes him, and then you see the utter stupidity, it’s infuriating. But I agree with you wholeheartedly.
  8. I remember getting down to about 20-23 during that storm. So yes, this one very well maybe colder.
  9. Anybody wanna climb up the cliff with me? We could jump together.
  10. Yeah I mean I would say the trend is meaningful and somewhere in the Piedmont is likely to get the dry slot. At the same time, the HRRR and 3km NAM solutions just don't quite pass the sniff test. Not sure they are handling the ULL/phase correctly. It's more concerning for the Triad. I think the Triangle gets the coastal/WAA banding and should hit 3"+ no problem
  11. They showed 2:00PM for MBY here in TRI and started about an hour early. I am THANKFUL for Knoxville not having snow yet. I have one who has to commute home....selfishly, I want it to wait until after 4:00PM. Knoxville could potentially do well. I think Knoxville's totals could resemble the west side of TRI.
  12. I’ve been tossing every run of every model since the ICON gave my backyard 16 three days ago, including every run of the ICON since. We toss [emoji1666] .
  13. Amazingly, CLT and its notorious weather dome, still held at bay. Still a great hit.
  14. Something will pop eventually but yes it could be cold/dry for a while. With tons of blocking and confluence our best bet is either clippers or SWFEs. Coastal haven't been our friend for a while With +PNA fading and -PNA being more favorable for us latter Feb that's where I think our next big threat will be. However keep an eye out on the 6-12th still because a lot can shift
  15. I thought that when I saw it too. Wish I had said it so we’d have less cliff diving lol
  16. You are going to have your 0.5” before the main event even starts! Lol!
  17. Lightest of flurries starting to fall at 2700 feet right outside of ober Gatlinburg. Peaks of sun as well .
  18. Areas that have orographic lift, you should do really well. My concerns for west of I81 in TRI are readily apparent w/ that map. MRX downgraded Bristol's and Kingsport's max to 1-3" - lower than Knoxville's. OTH, Gatlinburg has a max of 16". There are going to be some very strong gradients over TRI...potentially comparable to the storm of the late 90s.
  19. The 18z HRRR snowfall output looks almost exactly like the Euro but with a little less in the southern valley around downtown Chattanooga.
  20. The ratios for this could be absolutely stupid. I thought the ceiling was 20:1 but I may be wrong. It might be possible to pull off 25 or 30:1 at the peak.
  21. Colonial Heights - Temp 30. Little flakes picking up now and ground is turning white.
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