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So tough for the higher spots out here in Chesco to touch 90....but it will be close. Valley spots will certainly get above 90

This is the start of a very warm pattern for CONUS, to finish out May. I wonder if we're going to start doing what we were doing a few years ago where when the actual day is mild or ridgy, the long range models adjust for the same pattern in the extended. 80F here at 10am

Not misleading at all simply presenting the actual climate data for the county. You are just as always attempting to explain away the facts that don't match the desired narrative.

Top 10er of a day today. Warm. Low humidity. it looks like we picked up a stray shower overnight as well. Won’t complain about that. over 3.5” for the month.

Didn't quite make it. 0.42" Friday night and 0.00" last night. Another chance at dying convection tomorrow morning.

All of the Ens means and also the AI are advertising at least a moderate amount of rain late week through the weekend. Multiple chances in that window so hopefully the area cashes in on some of it.

I heard Mamdani is removing all AC from cruisers to help fight the deficit

It's starting to sprinkle. Given that yesterday's predicted rain hit a wall in western Fauquier County and vanished, I didn't expect unforecasted showers to get this far east. I wonder if this wil bust the high temps forecast for today.

Whhheeeeeeeeee

Low of 61. Now cometh the heat.

hoping someone hits 100!

Looks muted.

Records: Highs: EWR: 94 (1974) NYC: 92 (1974) LGA: 94 (2017) JFK: 89 (1974) Lows: EWR: 39 (1956) NYC: 39 (1956) LGA: 38 (1983) JFK: 42 (1983) Historical: 1794: An "uncommon frost" in all of New England destroyed crops. The account was published in the collections of the Massachusetts Historical Society. 1825 - A tornado (said to have crossed all of the state of Ohio) smashed into the log cabin settlement of Burlington, northeast of Columbus. (David Ludlum) 1883: A three-day flood in the Black Hills of western South Dakota resulted in a million dollars damage at Rapid City. (Ref. David Ludlum) 1896: An estimated F5 tornado tracked 100 miles through northeastern Kansas and extreme southeastern Nebraska. Seneca, Oneida, Sabetha, and Reserve, Kansas sustained severe damage. While passing through Reserve, the tornado was 2 miles wide. 25 people were killed, and 200 were injured. The cost was estimated at $400,000. 1960 - Salt Lake City UT received an inch of snow. It marked their latest measurable snowfall of record. (The Weather Channel) 1979: A reading of 12 degrees at Mauna Kea Observatory established a record low for the state of Hawaii. 1980 - Mount Saint Helens (in Washington State) erupted spewing ash and smoke sixty-three thousand feet into the air. Heavy ash covered the ground to the immediate northwest, and small particles were carried to the Atlantic coast. (David Ludlum) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Kansas, developing along a cold front, spawned tornadoes at Emporia and Toledo, produced wind gusts to 65 mph at Fort Scott, and produced golf ball size hail in the Kansas City area. Unseasonably hot weather prevailed ahead of the cold front. Pomona NJ reported a record high of 93 degrees, and Altus, OK, hit 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Low pressure anchored over eastern Virginia kept showers and thunderstorms over the Middle Atlantic Coast Region. Flash flooding was reported in Pennsylvania. Up to five inches of rain drenched Franklin County PA in 24 hours. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather from the Central Gulf Coast States to the Lower Missouri Valley during the day and evening. Thunderstorms spawned sixteen tornadoes, and there were 74 reports of large hail and damaging winds. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather in the central U.S. spawning a sixteen tornadoes, including a dozen in Nebraska. Thunderstorms also produced hail four inches in diameter at Perryton TX, wind gusts to 84 mph at Ellis KS, and high winds which caused nearly two million dollars damage at Sutherland NE. Thunderstorms deluged Sioux City IA with up to eight inches of rain, resulting in a record flood crest on Perry Creek and at least 4.5 million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1991: The severe weather that began the previous day persisted into this day producing flash flooding over the western and central parts of Oklahoma. Rainfall accumulations of nearly 9 inches flooded many low lying areas and houses in the Weatherford area. In Kingfisher, flood waters covered 64 square blocks of town, and forced the evacuation of 600 people. The National Guard was called in to help in the evacuation as the flood waters reached 6 to 8 feet deep in a few places. The floods washed out 11 major bridges in Lincoln County. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1997: Today’s 2 inch snowfall was the last measurable total for the 1996-97 snow season in Herman, MI. The total for the season: 384.0 inches, a new MI record. The previous record was set during the 1995-96 season: 347.0 inches (also in Herman). Herman averages 239.7 inches per season. 1998: Hail the size of tennis balls pelted Dryden and Fort Francis, Ontario Canada in a 5-minute blitz. Damage to auto glass and house roofs were extensive (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

75 / 60 mostly sunny. Mid 80s to the seasons 1st,2nd or in some cases 3rd 90 today. Fall back a bit Monday but some push 90 inland. Peak heat Tue / Wed - wed need to watch timing with the front but mid to perhaps upper 90s in the hottest spots. GFS / Euro split with next weekend / memorial day with trough cutting off between Fri - Sun and onshore flow vs more tame normal- ish on the euro. Ridge pushing back east by the follwing week.

Follows the WPC from yesterday. Today's forecast from them is even less rainfall, things look rather bleak

Hard to believe 3 years ago tonight was the big freeze that wiped out most of the fruit crop at orchards up here…low 20s in the valleys around CON/Loudon.

Already 73 at 9 am in wolf territory.. @WinterWolf

Starting to feel the humidity. DP 61. Cloudy too, hope that doesn't last.

was just pokin' around at obs. Looks like seasonal evapotran might be kicking in. DPs in the decoupled layer surged from low 40s to mid to upper 50s by dawn at a lot of the NWS tweener sites on their W&H Viewer. Decouple/radiative nights are probably not going to be able to do the < 40 thing even if the pattern tries to butt bone summer again. lookin' like 80s today ... some of the DP mixing out

Field trip to a pool?

Made it to 53 this morning. Quick take off though. Not looking forward to my job Tuesday and Wednesday

Crazy how long ago that all happened around here vs there. Just such a difference