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  2. 12z HREF through tomorrow 12z: Even if on deducts one category, NYC has 12"-15" of snow by 12z tomorrow on the HREF.
  3. I am in Herndon out by Dulles Airport 361’ elevation
  4. It’s time to just look at the short range models and watch the radar. It’s under 24 hours so I don’t really trust the GFS.
  5. There is simply no chance the Jersey shore sees less than a foot like it’s showing.
  6. feedback issues. Toss it!! lol jk
  7. It went from rain to some flakes mixing in and back to rain here too. But, I know it’s coming soon! When it happens, it will be quick.
  8. If it is this possibly could be one of the largest busts since March of 2001.
  9. Tip threw some warnings out earlier, will have to see what the following model suites doing
  10. GFS take away, but USA hockey delivers? I'm confused...
  11. Can this winter please go ahead end now ? haha ... Ah boy. Yeah if that decides to be the verifying solution, this is largely a bust. Probably not in the fairest or absolute sense... call it a 70 .. 80% bust. The NAM did tick E spanning the last couple of runs... something is causing this to do this almost on top of the event. It would be fascinating to understand what exactly that is, whether it is something about data sampling/grid initializations, vs over processing, or somehow error born in between. The large synoptic scaffolding is unchanged. This is all, 100% of it ( as far as I can tell) idiosyncratic to the internal handling of the system and how it integrates to that the synoptic totality. Not sure there is really a way to account for that, so any such study might just reveal this to be random. Interesting.
  12. lol some of the mesos have been creeping up, last few runs compared to their previous run at the same end time. Globals are way out of their wheelhouse now. .
  13. Same here. Someone told me you need to use the desktop version.
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