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ukie colder through 123

not really. It dosent phase like the euro so it does not take it up the coast. its just a west to east storm. Its trending more south. It will be suppressed soon unfortunately

There’s 1.5 to almost 2” liquid equivalent in the snow on the ground here. I agree we need a lot more but it’s not powder that’s for sure.

Not a bad 12z suite so far

CMC, i would take it. Very marginal temps tho

Then we go to heavy rain, lol

12z CMC is a good run. We will see what the CMC Parallel shows in a few hours.

its just a more north version of the euro AI. it dosent really phase. the 6z euro is probably just a fantasy

Potential no?

CMC. Flips to rain for metros

CMC is a hit so far

CMC does not phase like euro but its just more north with the baja low-

See that’s telling right there. Because you’re right and it kind of validates my thinking too about coastals, but we’ve also commented on that stupid trough backing its ass up south of Alaska screwing things up too. That’s definitely porked us.

No Sno Flo says out to sea this one goes!

Bone dry pattern continues. Not even rain either, just dry.

Last time we went from nina to nino the dry pattern lasted until mid summer, we were having winter style fails with thunderstorm setups.

the “today in Amex “ history bit I was doing there was a big hit fun trip down memory lane.

I don’t have time for facts. Was just guessing. Lol

Canadian going to come in further south too and more pronounced wedge.

I’d still think this longwave look should’ve produced at least one or two solid coastals. Only fly in the ointment is you can see the western ridge getting sliced off a bit in Canada, we know at least a couple systems failed on us because we couldn’t quite amplify it enough out west. But even with that showing up minorly in the mean, it’s still surprising we didn’t pop at least a miller B or two.

This has been a crazy long drought. Is this the third winter? Last winter I had snowpack for almost a month due to no rain washing it away like usual. Same with the past two winters. We're lucky I guess that the one storm we did get was frozen. Same with the past two winters. I've never seen creeks dry up for years.

We can't even get that. Its been bone dry since the snowstorm.

Patience grasshoppers

The RNA is fine starting mid month as mentioned by Don. However yes we need the AO to return to negative.

Low placement better at 114