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For that reason the 159hr cutter will become the typical lame SWFE some sleet to rain to prolong your suffering. Hope it's better soon. I just dealt with it and many of my friends and coworkers are sick too. Bad flu season.

0Z GFS continues the trend big time with a SFWE look that halts the warm front’s advance northward. Good to see deterministic guidance showing a cold look is possible.

Icon also turns the 1/10 storm into a SWFE.

This flu sucks. Would like a warm up so I can go outside and be able to breathe without it hurting

Brobdingnagian aggregates are hammering the Mammoth resort. This is getting ridiculous lol https://www.mammothmountain.com/on-the-mountain/mammoth-webcam/main-lodge Forecast overnight is for 3-7 inches. Sorry charlie we already got that much. We've only just begun...

I do! I realize that my innate tendency to jump way ahead to the next season and speculate doesn't mesh well here, but ah c'mon man it doesn't hurt. It's just speculation. And El Niño is currently starting to show signs of it's presence, so that part isn't about models not getting it right--as it does appear to be happening now, and it could influence THIS winter. Besides...who wouldn't wwant to have another swing at El Niño lined up for next year while we see what this one is gonna do? (I like a good back-up plan myself )

Trend = friend

Gfs lost the big cutter. It keeps squashing it on every run.

It can be a frustrating hobby, but the unexpected also makes it fun. The day will come when we’ll know on June 16th that it will snow the following February 4th for 5 hours before changing over to light drizzle with a total accumulation of 3.2”. I’ll accept the rugs pulls for the occasional unexpected overachievers. Guess I’ll always be an old timey weenie

The cutter keeps getting squashed on every gfs run.

Old school Big East still the best

Models can’t get week 2 right. Who cares about what next year may or may not deliver. Just my .02

yeah I still can't forgive UMD for leaving the ACC (although I understand it).

Im watching old clips on YouTube from that storm. 31 inches here in NYC

If those are going to be the ground rules then AI can just create the threads. Scary to think that's where forecasting might be headed. The days of humans making the calls will be a thing of the past someday probably. I hope not, but you can kind of see the beginnings of that now. Heck, some of the weather apps just use the GFS output and an AI system fills in the forecast and sends it to the app.

Ha!! Ok...

Boy did this turn into a non-event ..This topic should have never been made lol but it did look promising when the topic was made.

But to the original topic of the thread, it’d be January 1979 for me. I was only 3, so needless to say, no recollection of that one. It was of course the cherry on top of an incredible season in NE IL that winter. Second place would be Jan 1978, even if the snowfall amounts/impacts were lesser around here. I’d just love to see the evolution of that storm on present modeling.

Jan 2016 storm I think I started a week out. That was a well-modeled storm.

Yeah it'll be a blast. Seems like Aspen is in a bit better shape than some of the other resorts in CO. Hoping for a surprise with one of the systems moving off the Pacific this week.

Now that is a thing of beauty!!!

Looking forward to Monday's heavier wet snow (my favorite). With the impending torch it'd go a long way towards keeping my 39-day snow cover streak alive. Right now we have about 5" depth with the glacier underneath the high ratio stuff since last Monday's storm. Regardless, looking at a solid plowable event and it should look really nice around here by Monday's drive home. Tues and beyond will do what it pleases.

Let's go. Now my question is...how is the PDO looking? If it stays hostile I'm a tad skeptical of even an El Niño delivering next year. I mean 23-24 was one of the most mediocre ninos we've had--I'm not sure whether the raging -PDO was the main cause or whether the Hunga Tonga eruption 2 years prior had something to do with it too.