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We hit 84º yesterday, warm enough to turn on the AC. Sunday and Monday are expected to be 86 and 88. The low Sunday night is only 68.

5.33 inches so far. Pretty amazing.

Fortunately there are still alternative ways to view how the QBO is doing. The FU Berlin site (which you and some others may remember) was one of the better datasets until those updates were discontinued. Thankfully the Karlsruhe Institute of Technology has taken that same dataset and decided to continue the updates to it from where they left off. The raw data is also available there in the same format the Berlin site used to use. Here's the link if anyone is interested: https://www.atmohub.kit.edu/english/807.php

That better?

C'mon guys. Rain is hitting the DMV. I'd like to see some obs please We are gonna record the ENTIRE Super El Nino Moisture Plume and its historic effect on the DMV.

Congrats PA lol.

looking at current radars this is a possibility

Lol I ended up +7.8" above avg Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk

Well, it’s that time yet again, time to see how far another very long 2026 -SOI streak will go. As of yesterday, it was up to a whopping 69 days! That 69 days already puts it in 4th place for the longest since 1992. Only 4 more days are needed for it to become the new 3rd longest. However, here are the last 3 days: 2026 281 1013.63 1014.25 -22.63 2026 282 1014.05 1012.90 -11.22 2026 283 1014.79 1012.05 -0.97 Now you (just like I originally did) might wonder if this streak is going to end today. It sure looks like it on the surface. But I did some analyses and have determined that’s unlikely. Why? I see Darwin likely rising ~0.5-0.75 mb today and little change with Tahiti. If those predictions verify pretty well, today’s SOI will drop ~3-6. And then looking further ahead after several more days of Tahiti remaining ~same, it will start falling soon after without rising back up to yesterday’s 1014.79 area for at the very least 10 days while Darwin rises a fair amount more without falling back down to yesterday’s 1012.05 area for at least 10 days. That means that I see a high likelihood of this -SOI streak reaching at least 80 days. At that point, I’d then have a decent feel for the chance of reaching at least 90. To put this into perspective: we just had a 91 day streak May-Aug, the 2nd longest on record back to 1992. The longest is 100 days (set in Jan-Apr ‘98).

He is post restricted i believe so has to do that

Stuff making its way in from the W, 57F/Cloudy. Nice dreary/rainy Sunday w/a 9:30am Birds game. Then couch potato/limited getting things done mode watching football...

That radar is developing as it approaches the DMV. Elements are getting bigger and more expansive, and the green is deepening into yellow orange. There may even be outright REDS with time. It should be kept in mind that this is a tropical environment in which rain will be very, very efficient and will pile up quickly. The Mid Atlantic is also situated squarely within the Infamous Super El Nino Moisture Plume and will remain so well into next year and many many numerous rains will drastically pile up rainfall tallies into outright ridiculous territory over the next 8 months at least. I am also becoming very Jealous of all your rain and also of your plight of getting so damn much rain over the next 8 months!

Love seeing that

Just hit 5 inches here. Thankfully the rates have generally decreased and the heavier showers move through quickly. Think we will get another inch or so.

Still tacking on warnings/advisories. Fire department reporting water over the road in Chimney Rock per Radarscope. Linville River up to 4.46ft in Nebo. Watauga only currently at 4.01 in Sugar Grove- antecedent conditions helping a ton.