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Looks like the post-Xmas 1984 warm shot. ORH hit 70F in that. Latest 70F on record.

Its a wait and see type deal for the fence sitters.

Is this thread for the Sunday event or Xmas warm up?

I mentioned in the other thread I thought this might verify colder than modeled. Might not mean much in terms of sensible wx but could make a difference hyper locally

I got $20 that temps on Xmas will NOT be what a model two weeks before says it will be.

Gonna ignore the white dot over my house

Uh, well it Fs us both pretty badly, but other people cash in

29.7°, light snow with the sun still coming through. Looks pretty. Hoping for an inch of glop 'round these parts.

Looks like it would probably cut across NNE

What happened to the Mark Model??!

Clipper train going off the rails.

2.5" here that got rained on so it was a sloppy mess. Back to the freezer for a few days

Icon has zero interest for Friday or Sunday.

The trend line is misleading. It compares the past couple of years to the 1800s. What does that look like if you start the chart in 1980?

I'll make that thread tomorrow for the Sunday potential lol

HRRR with a nice little NOVA/DC band.

12z guidance going the wrong direction for most with these

I'd say we wait until tomorrow for Sunday when the solution becomes a little bit clearer (or even more unclear with the way models are running nowadays lol)

What, specifically are you responding to? The statistical correlation between ENSO 3.4 and NYC seasonal snowfall falls well below statistically relevant skill. And, why, exactly is 4" a meteorologically significant threshold? If we magically get 3.87" of snow vs 4.03" inches of snow we are SCREWED! Sounds like overfitting to me, but what do I know.

Oh, ok. New Boston.

Heh...I pinned daily's thread to sort that out at least. Kinda want to sort that Sunday thing out too, but the jinxistas will come out full flock

Short Pump.

Yes that version is a major improvement overall!

I pinned it. I mean, why not

We are talking about an event that is less than 36 hours away in the medium/long-term thread. And Sunday maybe missing north or south. And about how the snow gods hate certain spots on the map, and reward everyone else but them with snow. And how it might be warm for Christmas like it was in 1965, but not for long.