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True, I do expect a lot of inland primaries....I could see a slighly below average season, but shouldn't be an abomination at my locale....I don't think.
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2-3 days of east winds piled the water into the western sound. I think the storm stalled near ACY for awhile
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Major, moderate, and minor all describe specific benchmarks for coastal flooding. Minor and moderate coastal flooding events usually result in only street flooding and beach erosion. This event was at the moderate benchmark for coastal flooding at places like Sandy Hook and Freeport. The water level reached near the 8 ft moderate level at Sandy Hook. Low end major coastal flooding by a few inches usually means that the water can come up into peoples yards or lawns but not into the first floor of their house in the lowest lying coastal zones. This was the case along the GSB with this event. Once major coastal flooding gets around .75 to 1.5 feet above the major threshold, then flooding can come into the first floors of houses. This is what occurred with the 1992 Nor’easter and Hurricane Irene. Sandy was around 4.5” higher than December 1992 and Irene leading to the historic flooding in places which haven’t flooded in modern times. It was 5.7” above the major coastal flooding threshold at Sandy Hook. Sandy Hook has the most extensive list of coastal flooding records in area https://www.weather.gov/media/phi/middle.pdf
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I wouldn't know anything about Accuweather bias, nor their forecast philosophies ... but a pathway to a low snow turn out whilst normal temp for our region could be related to an anomalously warm mid level plague - which in fact, we don't exactly live and breath in an Earth era that's short of reasons to see something like that occurring. just sayn I'm not forecasting that but Devil's advocate.
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
Eskimo Joe replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Looks like self destructive sunshine today. -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I don't expect to be strong until towards the new year..."bottoming out" is one thing... -
The winds from December 92: 58 at central park 77 at LGA 86 at Montauk 90 in wildwood NJ about sandy levels…
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That I believe is the storm that busted up dune road in west Hampton and created a new inlet. I think there were 15 foot waves in the sound. Wild
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Central PA Fall Discussions and Obs
Voyager replied to ChescoWx's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Who else had wind? Finally getting good gusts with this new station. I do think my old one was too low with wind speed. -
IMO this poll is meaningless without a timeframe. Are we talking 2-4 over the course of 30 years? 300 years? 3,000 years? 30,000 years? It matters because the impacts for each would be vastly different, including the level of danger. When it comes to climate change I like to use the analogy of an airplane's altitude. What matters isn't so much how *far* the airplane changes altitude - but how *fast* it changes altitude. Dropping 1,000 ft in two minutes generally isn't a problem. Dropping 1,000 ft in two seconds is generally a big problem. Same thing for nominal altitude. Being at 0 ft Above Ground Level (AGL) is not a problem if that's where you were a few minutes ago, but it's a big problem if you were at 1,000ft AGL a couple seconds ago. Thus why the whole "the earth has been at temperature X before" is a foolish and meaningless position w/regards to CC. The poll is also meaningless without supplying additional conditions. Is this all-else-being-equal? Presumably so, but it would be nice to state as such.
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yep massive LI sound flooding here with that storm
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The fundamental problem with the whole debate is the angry masses screaming at a cloud syndrome. People are angry at DST because it gets “darker earlier.” It gets darker earlier because the days are shorter. The masses are angry at the shorter days not the clock realignment. It is like being angry at a square root symbol because youre an idiot at math.
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I think there's an issue regarding how "major flooding" is defined. If a road is inundated that doesn't normally flood, it's hard not to describe that as major flooding. But that doesn't necessarily match up with USGS statistical data and graphics. Although I'm not sure how minor, moderate, and major coastal flooding are defined.
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The return of the elusive Nor'easter. Drought buster or bust?
mappy replied to dailylurker's topic in Mid Atlantic
It’s clouded up here after a sunnier morning -
kids at bus stops or walking to schools is why it won't last if it happens...that's why it folded in 1973-74 We close schools here for a dusting of snow, we're not running busses in the dark lol
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I have 3 young kids…I hope this change never happens. For all the idiots living down south or in the eastern parts of a time zone, there are a lot of us up north sending kids to school in darkness. For that reason, I believe it will never happen. It isnt even that extreme here. If you live in a place like Ohio, it will be dark until 9 am. That is ridiculous
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That's why it only lasted a year the last go around. Sunrise at 8:15am in NYC in Dec/Jan and closer to 9:15am in the western ends of each time zone. Won't last if we go to it....
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For any aviation nerds, or just a nerd in general, this link was on the CoCoRaHS website this morning. They made a point of saying that there were a lot of commercial breaks, but I used the Duck player embedded in the Duck Duck Go browser and had no interruptions. Some pretty cool stuff!
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i rather they go back to what it was when george w was president when the clocks fell back changed before halloween so it would be dark out..i do not want dst to be permanent imagine in december when the sun would rise at 8:00 am...
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6.14" still pouring somehow
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about 2 inches of much needed rain here.
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The noreaster in 92 was gnarly living on Sandy hook bay/ Shrewsbury River. I'm from a tiny beach town named Highlands. Right across the bridge from sandy hook national park. Water was 6' deep through the whole town with 70 mph winds
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Pittsburgh PA Fall 2025 Thread
TimB replied to TheClimateChanger's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This will be the 15th fall on record (but 6th out of the past 10 years) that we’ve made it this far into the season without a high below 60. Top 4 is all but clinched, but it’ll be interesting to see just how long we can go. -
No, it’s always the same areas. I can’t imagine a weather event which would cause flooding in less flood prone areas, other than a major major storm or hurricane. maybe wind direction? But even so, low elevation is low elevation…nothing is going to change the elevation of areas from one storm to the next. From a wind perspective this was a moderate nor’easter. From a rain perspective it was on the high end out here, with Suffolk getting 2-3+”.
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