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You’re not misreading. The Euro is a cold rain for Atlanta. Everything is trending in the wrong direction.

Sandyston in Sussex county recorded -32 in the January 1994 cold outbreak and is probably more legitimate although they do recognize that -34 in River Vale in 1904. I'm about 45 miles east, northeast of Sandyston in Orange County NY, Highland Mills, and I recorded -23 that morning. There were numerous readings below -20 county wide in Orange and NW jersey so it's not far fetched a sheltered valley hit -32. Plus the snow cover was pretty deep area wide at that time.

According to FOX 5 out of Atlanta, at 2:15, they are still putting up all ice for GA, more than .50", but I am reading here the EURO moves everything hundreds of miles north, so only a rain? Or am I misreading?

Anytime we’re on the snow/ice line’s edge 3 to 4 days out. You just know that snow line is about to shift 800 miles north into the next state as we get closer.

If there’s less confluence and a full phase we could absolutely see an outcome like this where the primary goes well west of us. In that situation the usual caveats about SWFE apply: I-90 corridor is favored for all snow, here hopefully we get the heavy wall of snow before any warm air aloft comes in. But if you have closed mid level lows going west of you it will eventually happen.

Not when the snow starts with tempertures in the teens it isn't. You don't want to flirt with any mid level warming in a setup like this.

Bust of the century [emoji23] Just plain old rain for a majority of us in here. This is just bad. Model studying and watching is going to be at an all time low after this bust. I mean, this is laughable at this point! Every met was hyping this up as the biggest storm in years and the biggest ice storm possibly of all time and now it’s just plain rain and the euro has shifted so far north, even VA has issues now. I’ve never seen anything like this before in all my years of following this groups and watching and studying models and data. BUST written all over this! .

Pardon me for being blunt, but f*** that storm. .

Does it ever drive you crazy Just how fast the night changes?

...fuck

My fault. I said I'd rather have cold rain if I wasn't getting snow.

I think, therefore I spam...

EE rule lives on?

But I will say the snow depth parameter is pretty absurd across the models Sunday eve as the system moves out.

I still want a sleet bomb storm with thunder.

This is valid too. This could quickly go from potentially historic snowfall to a crippling ice storm. Watching cautiously.

From the weather weenie handbook: The op Euro has been known to over amp phased systems in the midrange.

This reminds me of that time where I thought my girlfriend would love me for the rest of my life. Key word "thought".

You and me both. .

i blame myself. will i ever learn to stop getting invested in winter storms more than 48 hours out? i was always on the border of a serious ice storm and just a cold rain... but now... temps could soar into the 60s? lol. i'm no expert, but i think that could eat into ice accumulations.

https://x.com/webberweather/status/2013860089803804790?s=46

0z EPS probability of >6” snowfall

Look at the isobars on that sumbitch!

I'm intrigued and definitely keeping an eye out for this more phase trend to hold. Won't shock me if it trends back to less phased and way south though. Lots of moving pieces to watch. Would be a huge win for subforum. I would be happy just getting a few inches to cover ground before arctic tundra sets in.