All Activity

Heading down to The Anthem tonight for a concert. Looks like we may catch some of the rain forecasted down there.

78/72. Aaahhhhhh.

One thing to keep in mind. Not that anyone should discount the Eps, but the AI EPS has done much better with the cooler air in the last month+ as I mentioned a few pages back and that BAMWX also noted. Anyone with a Wxbell or Weathermodels subscription, do they offer long range AI EPS? Tia

Bong?

Because the usual seasonal forecasts that relied on past tools have become much more varied in our new CC era. There's too many variables that are interfering with one another and are producing outcomes we've never seen before.

Hrrr likes the stratiform precip

Going on day 12 <80F. That's probably about normal but would seem pretty hard to do this time of year. 74/70 with filtered sun.

Smoke makes me angry

Ahh the beach

Yard sale is underway,,,,,,hoping the rain holds out til at least 2 pm or later ----- people began coming to buy stuff at the crack of dawn, lol

75° / 68°. Makes me appreciate even more the last month and a half of record low dew points. Useless.

Some of us will get lucky and get a storm later this afternoon, but the best chance for widespread showers is later tonight into Sunday morning.

Not exactly groundbreaking to predict AN temps and BN snows in winter in our new CC era climate. That's been the general theme since 2015.

Drove down to West Dennis this morning. Cloudy the whole way but sun peeking out right along the south shore of mid cape.

Are you ever happy?

We need 2-3" of well needed rain. This could save the foliage season

That’s the RRFS, which will become operational early next year.

Models show very little rain for Suffolk county. The beat goes on

This is a good point….Given the background climate change/AGW, have we entered the “new” -AMO cycle, which would explain the anemic Atlantic hurricane season? In the past, before CC really kicked in, cold North Atlantic SSTs (like we have now) was a staple of -AMO cycles. Just food for thought

NWS has up to 1", but obviously this can vary depending on strength/location of storms. We're almost certainly going to move our son's wedding ceremony (4-5 pm roughly) indoors in SNJ (about 5 miles south of center city Philly), since we have to make that decision essentially now. NWS graphic below. The one thing that makes me wonder, though, is the HRRR is consistently not showing any rain in this area before about 6 pm, but the HRRR is often wrong. The rest of the models from 6Z are all showing some showers between 2-5 pm and after that too.

We had a noisy Thunderstorm around 5 this morning that brought heavy rain. The Elk are moving around the house this morning as well.

I hope not in the city itself. Traffic is a mess with the cycling event.

Dublin, NH breaking the tornado drought today?

Looks about right. 0.1 for my backyard.