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Tomorrows is dogdhit for other then 10 people doing chest bumps and high fiving ea other.

Based on soundings (yes I'm bored and looking at UKIE soundings), its snow from HR126 and later. Such a shallow warm nose and the surface is 33-34 to start

Doesn’t have to be either or. Could be both end, or nope!

Right, which is why I chose the language I did..."first one", "latter two".

Pretty much. Did not really anticipate this collapsing South.

Get the euro onboard then i'll have more interest in the upcoming systems once we get past that 50 mile wide swath event tomorrow.

Classic gefs. Its not far off.

Or the Euro. Although its performance this season has been tepid at best.

I remember for the storm 3 weeks ago, when all the other models were trending north, the GFS had a couple of runs where it was a disjointed mess and stayed mostly south. This was just 4 days out. Obviously that didn’t verify.

Well you’re in this thread, so I assumed you were referring to this storm. We’re both almost certainly out of the Wednesday one, but we still have a shot of a decent one on Friday and then the main event.

GFS has been great this winter

good stuff chuck.

Boston had been in a huge snow drought. I knew it was only a matter of time before they'd cash in. They received more snow January 25/26 than they did in the winters of 2022-23 & 2023-24 combined.

Guaranteed this is gonna happen because I'm traveling and flying home on the 23rd!

I feel better about it with the trend out west.

Coming to a neighborhood near you?

If we end off with a Euro AI solution, this winter gets at least an A- from me. This year could've also had two 12+" snowstorms that just didn't work out, too!

GFS has a pretty good cold shot towards end of month. Let's build up the pack first.

March 58

in fairness this is a setup where I feel a LOT better here than around DC

Yea, the GEFS is completely at odds with the op run. I’m more curious to see what the GEPS does after that wild run

We get it....we all know how this can fail for us, but what do you expect us to do? Not track the storm with the models showing a foot of snow for us? Where's the fun in that? Let us enjoy this, most likely the last big chance of the year. If it fails it fails so be it, but we're still in the game as of 12z.

So, it is going to rain for CT. All jokes aside, it is kinda turning into a Garbage Event for all.

Yes definitely multi model support continues for a classic SNE blizzard.

thats an nteresting question ?-why is the GEFS horrible ?- I would be concerned but there is enough support from several other models to not worry yet