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Its still a messed up look.The CFS is showing the tropical forcing into the WP into IO which is from Rossby and Kelvin Waves,so its more than likely gonna cause destructive interference with the MJO signal,which will more than likely go into the COD

I get the vibe that winter may be over for us in terms of snow. I certainly didn't mind the warmer temps today, and my furnace is thankful as well.

Leave the roads of salt...60s by mid week...I'll be breaking the motorcycle out of hibernation. Today reminded me how much cold weather and lack of sun makes me depressed. Hiking in the warm sun madey mood 5x improved.

northern stream looks a bit flatter than 18z so far on the NAM, cant imagine that bodes well for snow up here

Nice story. @coastalplainsnowman I was at work near the Metropark Station in Iselin of Woodbridge Township, NJ. Hit like a wall. Was not forecasted well. My company waited a bit too long to dismiss us. Roads were near gridlocked at Metropark. Took backroad routes to get home rather than get on the GSP, which was crawling, at best. Occurred during that big-snowstorm "drought" from PD I in February of 1979 to the 1990s. I have notes on it somewhere. I think I got in the low 20s inches.

I agree with the NAO and i DO agree with the wave lenghts,but when you see a Rex Block into where i mentioned above this typically is a +PNA,it would take strong -NAO to counter that.It's one reason why last spring our severe season went to crap after a early start,this can cause the Jet Max to shit further north into spring,its one of the reasons with our severe shifted into the OV

I just realized two of those stretches were from 1960-61. That had to have been a legendary winter. I was at BWI and it looked patchy even though my family’s area still has very solid coverage. So I think 12z tomorrow will report a trace. But it was a very memorable run.

Awesome, lol Guess it would depend on how much rain we get tomorrow?

Hope everyone is, and has been, doing well. Just finished a short write-up on this 11th anniversary of the 2015 Valentine’s Day Blizzard—last of the four major SNE snowstorms that buried the region. https://x.com/tbrite89/status/2022830263093395652

Have yet to hit 40 this month, 39 best I've done lol

50 my the high at the house today. The snow on the west-facing garden is about 80% gone. And really no signs or hope of a winter storm in the next week and a half. Time is starting to tick quickly.

Like 6 weeks and a few days and the 798hr CFS will be out to May 1

That was my high too

possible tornado(es) near Houston. This one was close to the radar at League City

BWI kept it going today! Last day maybe?

Only got up to 35° today. Sitting at 28° now which is a nice change. None of that 12° nonsense. Likely have left the tap running temperatures in the rear view.

Yeah the last two winters weren’t great but they weren’t terrible either. They had a solid stretch of deep winter even if it didn’t last as long as we’d like. 2020 and 2023 were awful, similar to 2002 and 2012.

Some of us are already above average (29.7"). :>)

Parade day at the winter carnival with flurries in the air. Carnival ends tomorrow. Could be a very wintry week ahead if the models have a clue.

Sure but the days leading up to yesterday 4-5 days showed a sheared out mess to the south

Man…. So much beer in here. It’s almost like we’ve only had 1 noteworthy storm and endless supply of cold.

Solid day of 37-43 highs in CT today

I don’t have the stupid peacock package. Hate that I miss a single game to streaming. Bummer

58 Car therm in HGR today. Only made it to 45 just 15 min north of there near near Pen-Mar. Elevation dependent day.

Absolutely. The AI’s are constantly generating monster coastals