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  1. Past hour
  2. NavarreDon
    Welcome to 2026 TS Edouard! .
  3. cptcatz
    Looks much more like it's about to go poof rather than boom.
  4. WxWatcher007
    Peak Season Forecast (Aug 20-Oct 20) Named Storms: 5 (2) Hurricanes: 3 (0) Major Hurricanes: 1 (0) Dolly, Edouard
  5. CAPE
    We have had worse lol.
  6. Yesterday
  7. Boston Bulldog
    If this thing can fire some diurnal convection it could go boom. Not a small ask with the dry air nearby however
  8. donsutherland1
    August finished with a monthly mean temperature of a preliminary 75.8° (0.4° below normal). That was 0.6° above the prior 1981-2010 baseline. It will turn somewhat warmer tomorrow with the temperature topping out in the middle 80s. Showers and thundershowers are possible late tomorrow and Wednesday. Excessive heat with highs in the middle and upper 90s will be just south of the region in such cities as Baltimore and Washington Tuesday through Thursday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 26. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.93°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.50°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -0.79 yesterday. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.654 today.
  9. EasternLI
    I do not have any prior runs saved for comparison, unfortunately. However, it does look quite wet for Dec.
  10. RodneyS
    September DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA 1.1 0.1 0.0 2.9 0.5 1.2 4.3 0.5 -3.0
  11. Stormchaserchuck1
    lol I wonder how much people are paid to program these models Where's the raindancewx post where Canadian had a cool Aug for the US at 0.0 month lead and it was near the warmest on record!
  12. Modfan2
    68F now
  13. GaWx
    Thank you! Have you had a chance to compare these to the prior forecast’s maps? My first impression is that Dec is a good bit cooler than I expected as per analogs. Edit: @snowman19must be flipping out seeing how cool Dec is!!
  14. 87storms
    I really think this might be one of, if not the most humid summer we’ve ever had. These dewpoints are straight out of the gulf coast states.
  15. kdxken
    Why what's the temperature there?
  16. SACRUS
    EWR with its 80 degree reading today ties 2015 as having all days this month with a high / max of 80 or above. While not a strongly above normal month, and a wet one, it is quite a feat.
  17. EasternLI
    Dec, Jan, Feb :
  18. kdxken
    That was some torch to end the month! Seriously what were those AHATT jabroni's looking at? Not models obviously.
  19. GaWx
    Do you have the 2m maps?
  20. CAPE
    February is marginally better than the previous run too.
  21. CAPE
    An improvement over the previous run, which was pretty good for a seasonal product. Better in the EPO and NAO domains for Jan. Colder look for the MA.
  22. Modfan2
    Kind of a weird afternoon here, it seems to get humid then breezy and less humid. Was almost tempted to shut the air off and open the house up, goad I didn’t
  23. wxdude64
    DCA: +2.2 NYC: +1.6 BOS: +1.1 ORD: +1.4 ATL: +2.7 IAH: +1.9 DEN: +1.4 PHX: +1.7 SEA: -0.4
  24. SouthCoastMA
    GFS caved AWT
  25. WxWatcher007
    True, but I think what matters here is that there’s still shallow convection firing around the center. The circulation has continued to become better defined with spiral banding now. Radar definitely helps. A well-timed DMAX burst in the morning with some frictional convergence could help this spin up nicely. Can see that a bit now that HAFS has recon data assimilated now.
  26. NorthHillsWx
    I like NHC call if around 50 kts landfall. Don’t think it has time for hurricane intensity unless it can throw up some serious overnight convection, but the overall organization and small circulation definitely favors intensification. That dry air to the north could choke off development, that needs to be watched, but otherwise it has a good look overall
  27. NavarreDon
    https://x.com/tropicaltidbits/status/2094534882815082520?s=46&t=0ZvB_AF2VfA6c0SDxf53yA .
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