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A far cry from 2015-16 worst winter ever when everyone was telling us to stop bitching lol.

Belleayre should be considered to be Upstate NY not NYC Metro - I know we have had this discussion before - most of NYC metro doesn't look like mid-winter with most of us not seeing a flake yet........

That’s a good point, it seems to really screw the Northeast. Sweet.

It isn't warm out there. The current HRRR has 1-2" over TRI w/ snow still falling at the end of the run. Both the 12z GFS and Euro have light amounts as well w/ the GFS having more. The NAM is pretty meh over TRI. ***Winter Weather Advisories are posted for northern areas. MRX has seen the 12z suite.***

Squall on the doorstep.

MU weighs in on the diminishing snow chances: MJO activity in Phase 8 and a weak Stratospheric Polar Vortex (SPV) will continue to support unseasonably cold conditions, on average, through the end of December. As for snow, the risk is "cold & dry". However, this pattern has a shelf life, & I expect a major January Thaw.

i know for sure that @CoastalWx is extremely happy for you

Im looking out the window beyond my Christmas decorations at a glistening blanket of snow. I can think of worse scenarios to be in in early December. And no, that doesn't mean i dont want a big storm too

Looking ahead to next week - models keep going back and forth with two waves. Tuesday's seems to be fizzling out but Wednesday/Thursday could be a quick dumper.

Us northern tier folks just can’t win anymore. It’s either south of us or so far north it doesn’t matter. Congrats dc south crew.

The one time I was rooting against snow. Scheduled to take 9am bus from Vienna up to NYC tomorrow morning to celebrate my birthday this weekend.

12z Euro-AIFS (only has 10:1 on PW... so not Kuchera)

Moline IL set all.time low season snow last winter (8.2") and passed that total thus year in NOVEMBER

You’re a beggar…you can’t be choosy…be happy we have one major at the moment suggesting something…and it’s ensemble also.

12z Euro

Iowa is rarely the hot spot because of no lake help of any kind. They can get a good storm though.

Acknowledged captain haha. I hear you... and yes we all do. My question is, do you believe this is strictly an east coast storm issue? The reason I ask is that we see plenty of tight phasing pretty much anywhere still. Seriously, not trying to be an ass.. just curious

Ambien for me. Snow squalls doing there thing in the normal squall parts of the region

Hip, hip, hooray! 12z Euro is here to save the day!

12z GEFs mean has a higher latitude center jump suggested for the 8th. Much better presentation for something in this window comparing to the 00z. 06z interim run did step wise improve so this is a trend. I don't think the operational run is complete garbage - as I've outlined, there's a +PNA burst, albeit minoring but there nonetheless; so there's a background tendency for more amplitude ( correction vectoring - ). ...Not a major by any means -

We had 5 in Westfield. My nephew in Granville had 6.25

Fire Up Chips! I initially started there for Meteorology but after one semester, it wasn't for me long-term. I ended up graduating with a degree in GIS tho which has a lot of overlap with the MET group.

Yeah 3-4” of fluff and still coming at the Mtn.

Final snowfall totals from yesterday’s duster 0.5" - Home 0.4" - ORD T - RFD …2025/26 Season Snowfall... 12.3" - ORD 11.9" - Home 11.3" - RFD

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 MDZ016>018-VAZ055-502-527-050115- /O.EXB.KLWX.WW.Y.0023.251205T0900Z-251205T2100Z/ Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-Stafford-Southern Fauquier-Central and Southeast Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park- 1213 PM EST Thu Dec 4 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 4 PM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Snow, with total accumulations of 1 to 2 inches. * WHERE...Portions of southern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From 4 AM to 4 PM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Friday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Given temperatures will be in the 20s, snow is expected to accumulate on all untreated surfaces. A light snow will overspread the advisory area, with slightly higher amounts possible in any banding features. As snow winds down, a light freezing drizzle is possible into Friday evening.