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-4 this morning, it keeps on getting colder.

21 with 6 foot drifts beyond awesome storm here

I have, 12/26/10, and it happened on 12/24.

Just 5 more ticks like that and we are all in the game. Really pulling for this one, looks relatively quiet for a while (except maybe a clipper or two) for a while.

AI hasn’t been as consistent as last couple threats. They kind of locked in pretty early on those. Sometimes they’ve shown a hit in this and other times it’s a cape scraper.

Its been on a heater lately, but sucked in the Dec storm. Hard to get a good feel for it

I was using last weeks storm. Things changed big time last tue night 0z model run. So far so good on this storm. Lets see if 12z still is a hit on the gfs.

Yeah trying to see what’s in the pipeline. Could be some smaller events

Key take away from GSP, “expect model shenanigans to continue”.

At least it got some clippers under its belt.

Glad I did not stay up for the 0z suite. Definitely a classic “too many thing need to go right” type of system, at least for mby. Coastal areas are a different story.

I’m still holding on to Wednesday night being my goal post in terms of how I feel about the event. Things will continue to shift

I was gonna say, given Tip's description of this as perhaps unprecedented, they may not have much historical precedent to train from.

I will give this one to 0z Friday.

6z AIFS increased totals a little more. If a Lee side does pop and way thermal profile is....this will escalate quickly.

Same here. Just dipped to 4.

Beefing up the south but man...I don't think its going to make it to Hanover sorry guys...its probably that kicker

For TRI folks, the trend on some modeling is that the energy is further west, and that causes the precip to drop south without pivoting over us. That shifts the pivot further south and west. Unfortunately, I think some areas(if this is a true possibility) will be routing for different trends. At TRI, we do not want this phasing any further west than it is(per the NAM). One whiff scenario for TRI is that the energy phases further west as it drops south. The entire storm pivots under TRI, and then up the coast. For now, the 6z RGEM remains steady w/ its depictions as does the 6z Euro, 6z AIFS, and 6z GFS. The 6z NAM would 100% be a problem for TRI.

Wonder why AI this time is OTS. Maybe this is anomalous and not much to train on. Lord knows we’ve had SWFE to use as training.

Euro brings snow into our area now

Scooter will crybaby his way to another jack.

Joking around 7 days out? All last week I mentioned to watch that event and even mocked Webb. Go back to tracking UConn.

Looks like Italy

Here you go.

4.6 down a degree in 10 minutes...yesterday got down to 2 at this time...this is when the temps started to rise. I just took the dog for a walk...its cold but without wind its actually not awful