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Going to be plenty of "doors" this spring.

Feel like wearing Dave’s Hawaiian shirt in front of a snow bank like he did in 2015

This line is very prominent scar visible on I-89 for those traveling back to Boston from NNE, but is lightly skied at best and takes a ton of snow to fill in. There isn’t a ton of compelling backcountry in “Congrats Dendrite” land, but sometimes this punchy fall line shot can do the trick. Decided to give it a go in slightly low-tide conditions this morning before work and was pleasantly surprised! The powerline has some good pitch and some serious teeth across its main cliff band. What caught my eye though were the wide open glades adjacent to the main line!

After the 1st week of March things look warm. Lets hope this produces flakes.

Agreed - the longer it precips into Tuesday and for sure Wed the upper levels will make it some form of non-snow IMHO

Hell.. where's the rain that was forecast? Sun is out and it's 50 lol

Scooter Scooter Scooter smh posts at 11 am in reaction to a 7 am post. Good fucking try

I think its some combination of rosy retrospection and improvements in model accuracy being met with immediate attempts to extend forecasts further. I haven't been watching them nearly as long or nearly as well as you have, but in my view the improvements since 2010 are obvious and enormous.

That was 7am this morning,wake up and smell the coffee. Currently in shorts and tees clearing 2 foot of your spring for dog paths

Beware the door ? https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/2027036223148036416?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg

I’m looking forward to a pattern that actually favors a consistent return of gom moisture. With the nor’easter, the Atlantic finally said, “I’ll do the job”, though that’s not our best path to victory here. The lack of a stj and gulf influence is by far the number 1 reason for the northern md snow drought. I expect that once El Niño settles we won’t have so much of this nickel and dime, hit or miss stuff.

Let what go ?

Major agreement for this on the globals and ensembles now. It looks like we could have an extended period of 60s and 70s starting late next week.

Someone who jogs a half marathon daily is worried that the snow won’t accumulate on the roads in March.

Jeez I’m gettin naped in the truck right now.

B- and trending down imo

Let it go

Good case, Maestro. Also "a half beat too slow" lol wtf. Tough crowd

We do

December into early January is hurting my grade here missing out. We had the pattern too. On the other hand I can’t hate the two massive events and consistent cold and decent pack. But need a half decent march to really lock in an A.

Still need to see more cross guidance agreement, but NAM/GFS kind of remind me of the 1/17 advisory event that really popped up out of nowhere within 72 hours or so

Who cares about roads

Upper levels have looked pretty blah on this one since the beginning. I agree with Wes about the overcooked potential and that's why I've been quiet. It's just not adding up for a 6" snowfall anywhere. Weak sauce won't do it with surface temps so I've been leaning towards SnowTV at best and I also don't think it ends up hitting my yard. Central VA thru the DMV is the most likely area to see any snow falling. If I only saw this panel on the GFS I would never think a 6" snowfall would be the outcome. I would think a swath of scattered light precip and not a shield that drops .5+qpf. All that said, models haven't locked into the strength of the shortwave and it definitely bears watching for accum snow for someone. The setup with the HP pressing into the precip is much better than HP running away. With enough lift pushing against a modest shortwave it can maximize potential in narrow stripe.

But Bernie thinks snow will reach all of New England - this is from this morning