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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Itstrainingtime replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Top gust at the Maytown Parachute Club was just 42 mph. At the very top of Kinderhook Road there are a couple of yards that are still almost fully blanketed in white from Monday night's snowfall. -
Can you post any maps?
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Could an earlier than avg final strat warming be coming next week? This suggests some chance. Opinions?
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It’s going to get there sooner than later, that’s when it gets dangerous. Mass misinformation that will only be clarified with forensic analysis. Fun times.
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Not looking forward to summer in NYC. Awful times ahead.
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Yes I think its time to put away my shovel and my winter mats in my car. Going to cancel Stormvista today.
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is it over?
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You’re right. Two months later gets more exciting with dews.
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Can't say I blame the AI versions for being the cooler profiles - if I'm following the slide changes right... Looks like that. I've noticed the AI are typically leaning cooler than the operational/standard versions over the longer haul. I mean, I'm trying to figure out through exposure/inference, how these models come by their solutions. Just watching them long enough one might formulate suspicion as to what they are doing... I've already been told they do not propagate waves through a Forier Transormation, using Navier-Stokes integrated thermodynamics haha.. Seriously though. I didn't really dig deeper when I saw that; I just sorta figured they're doing some kind of "we don't know how it works" ( a common scary seduction of AI innovation leaders - ) NBM clone and shrugged. But, I do kinda sense that it might have persistence in part of what it is doing - however in the f it is doin' it. In the absence of having actual physics determining the physical future ( eh hm..), I don't believe that AI is really trully creepy just manifesting conscious awareness about the future state of the atmosphere, and therefore am open to it really just doing some simpler shit in proper proportions.
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The MD Mesonet stations has sunshine detectors (pyranometers). We're recording the data and eventually we'll have statistics on it but it fairly low on the priority list. We should be able to do % of sunshine and energy but % of normal will be harder to determine since there isn't a good history.
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Not even an inch of snow for March. Terrible ending to a great winter. Cant complain since we had winter from December right through end of February.
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Hoping the noisture skeedadles earlier on Saturday... limited number of weekends to ski left.
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I think I’m over 100%. A B+++? Lol
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Gainesville, FL (aka Hogtown) got down to 30! Impressive radiation like usual. KTLH 30 KSAV 31 (official SAV station, the airport) KSVN 34 (very likely more representative of my low)
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I’ve had snow on May 25th which is roughly equivalent to July 15th.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
Jsauss replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
me too. But i am seeing other peoples social media. its great. -
Today’s MJO forecasts still are all in phases 7 and 8, the coldest in Baltimore (as rep. city) in March on average following La Niña winters: @EastonSN+
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my god... can you imagine the dopa priapisms in here lol
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It was below zero and blustery this morning up at elevation in the northern mountains. We hit -4.5F at 3,600ft and 6F at 1500ft. That would be fun in September.
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NWS sites used to measure "daily minutes of sunshine" but stopped doing that in 1998 - something to do with the switch to ASOS. Big step backwards.
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Central PA Spring 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
My take on the severe weather that was supposed to happen but really didn't get it's act together. Social Media, TV were saying it could happen and let the public know. But it seems the public now won't believe the media if there is a real threat in the near future, and there could be property damage and injuries, and loss of life from not heeding warnings. I understand forecasts aren't perfect. But if the models are hinting at something like severe weather, we should all pay attention and take the necessary precautions. -
I honestly stopped really caring about the Sixers/NBA after the league forced out Hinkie then brought in Coangelo to blow up what he was building. End result was so predictable. I think the NBA product is awful to watch too.
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If anyone has any conceptual uncertainty/questions related to "seasonal lag" remaining, just consider that today is the same solar irradiance as September 23rd. Now imagine this below being the state of affairs on any September 23rd. Ha. - the 'absurdity value' is probably proportional to why the it can happen on March 18
