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It's the modern day version of the Dgez model from back in the day. Basically a 4 day extension of the Nam. Imagine how fun those runs were....

Shoot a horse

This is a very different answer for your area of VA vs most of the NC foothills. Showing a bit more snow for you. Model runs later tonight should be interesting to see if the trends hold.

Not really worried here (a bit annoyed is all...)... but we have all felt your unease countless times.

You do, or "don't" expect Monday nights to trend down???

I feel like we had a similar storm last season, similar disagreement and last minute the warm tongue was firmly inserted into SNE... but i don't have anywhere your memory capacity

Unless I'm missing something, it looks more like a 12/2 event. Unless you know something we don't lol.

You’re fine up there. Nothing at all to worry about except if Ineedsnow is safe at Market Basket. Not the same here

Yep. Shunted a bunch of qpf SE

24hr snowfall ending 144hrs on the Eps looked like this, keeping in mind how stingy the Eps can be on individual threats.

it's worth noting that none of the explicit and implicit benefits of fossil fuel use to societies, not to mention the variances of those among countries with greatly differing economies, are computed in order to arrive at a true estimate of the overall picture. Ignoring that entire side of the market equation is illegitimate.

Im assuming its still more icy than snow though? Or is their some light accumulations?

Hopefully it's not coming. I hate reading those posts after the models yank out the rug.

Was on the beach yesterday and on the slopes today. Came back to some great skiing!

We're well past the long and mid range for this system, there's a lot of other datasets used in forecasting like real-time observations and forecast soundings, and there coming into play at this point.

Kev... How is the euro caving to the GFS? It's not even close to caving to the GFS. If you've been paying attention, they've been making baby steps towards each other, but absolutely no caving at this point. There was one point where the GFS had everything way up North, but line has been slowly shifting South.

3"-6" seems realistic for Orange County (as for my sister in Milford, PA). This should be a nice event to get the winter season started.

Tired of being on the receiving end no matter the time of year. It’s always the opposite of what we need

Yes boss... ;-)

If I get 1-3", I'll change my screen name to eweather Jr.

18z AIFS went south

Up to 0.47” here, so you’re on target

What? 5% not rain? Now I'm getting interested!

Climo is still really against us in coastal plain first two weeks of December.

ya they aren't good but gives a general idea