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Peak gust now 46mph

First of all, I think some of the guidance exaggerated the blocking...especially a couple of days ago. Secondly, -NAO doesn't matter if your arctic flow is cut-off, which it will be with the lower heights building over AK to counter the Bering ridge. Finally, and this goes along with #1....I think guidance not only exaggerated the amplitude of the blocking, but the extent to which it will retrograde into a favorable position, and east-based "thumb-ridges" are far less impactful for the east.

Impressive heat out there with Burlington, Vermont soaring to 58°F, an incredible 9°F above the 130-year-old record high. An impressive squall line to boot. https://i.imgur.com/BfRD9mZ.png

Not my type of weather today, but got to my shop at 630am , was 36. Temp now 56, .06" had a gust of 19 festive! NOT!!

I'm planning a trip to the Tug Hill towards the end of January. They lost most if their snow last night after a great few weeks. They closed the trails until further notice. Not good. I was hoping to deep snowpack. I see a bunch of rainers on the gfs over the next 10 days.

Getting that heavy burst of snow now in Bethel. But yeah, going to be short lived.

NJ

I think the best question right now is, what can get the Pacific to calm down? As shown in the chart above, the PNA will be more strongly negative than the NAO and should win that contest as the main pattern driver. There looks to be a transient cooldown in late December but as of now, it wont last more than a few days.

I trust Will and Scott over any OCM now that Harv is gone.

LGA and JFK ripping 55 mph. It’s coming

This forum is the best local/new england weather forecasting resource on the interwebs, by far. The combination of skilled experienced mets and super enthusiastic amateurs analyzing data and discussing possibilities provide the best analysis and forecasting that one can reasonably access, even if cluttered with OT stuff. Kudos to all who contribute to this resource, I've found no better.

Atmospheric River of snow, incredible!

Looking at radar i think the last line of rain is about Baltimore right now. I'm guessing that's the cold front.

1.1" and counting. snowpack gone other than piles.

Beautiful ribbon echo squall

This looks intense. Not seeing any warnings though. Burlington is up to 58°F, which is 9°F above the 130-year-old daily record high.

I wouldn't be shocked if the models get colder towards the end of this month into January with the NAO and AO dropping especially for the Northeast. Yes the PNA will be negative.

I wouldn't be shocked if the models get colder towards the end of this month into January with the NAO and AO dropping especially for the Northeast. Yes the PNA will be negative. I know the same culprits will weenie me but go ahead screenshot this like I have screenshotted all your missed calls.

This morning's teleconnections

They need a new stadium, Never will see it though with the nostalgia folk.

Windows fogged up so I checked the temp. Up to 49°. Pack cryin’ for its mama.

Or even build a giant golden dildo-shaped spaceship to put their wives in?

For tide stations that overlay prediction forecasts, some appear to be falling short of forecast high tide levels so that's good sign.