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  2. I guess the hurricane hunters dropped in some new data points out in the Pacific.
  3. I still find it so disappointing the way 2010/2011 seemed like it was on its way to break all the snowfall records and just died. Still a great winter overall for most but the last six weeks a big disappointment for many.
  4. I'm wondering if my memory is divorced from reality a bit on that... I was mentioning earlier in a post that I thought that Jan warm up turned out not very convincing - if it was +10, it was very convincing. I'm wondering also if it was a +3 in NYC and +13 up by PF type of deal, too? anyway, the reason my memory is the way it is is because I remember a lot of mornings we refroze the 3.5" pack that was incredibly resistant to melt that whole period. I think the last couple of days ( seriously ...I remember taking note of this) it finally succumb and disappeared. The having snow on the ground much of the way is why I thought it as not so convincing.
  5. @mitchnick posted that the UKMet had something around that time too. Hmm
  6. I like what the gfs is smoking for next week. must be hanging with @dailylurker lol
  7. WBIR is reporting sidewalks covered with snow in sunbright. Just supercooled rain and occasional sleet here 20 minutes south.
  8. There’s definitely stuff to finally keep an eye on over the next 8-11 days
  9. PBP prob Sat. Radio Show will be on Monday hosted by DT and jxdama
  10. When do we start a thread for this threat? When do you start doing play-by-play and when’s the radio show?
  11. Well, in the grand scheme of things, as much as you may not like it...a moderation to somewhat above average climo temps is a much more higher probability, and less anomalous outcome than a blizzard...which is why one is laughed at, and one isn't, regardless of skepticism being warranted. I mean...if someone makes up a story about you having blown Donald Trump, and one about you having gotten a speeding ticket...which will be met with less skepticism?
  12. Where the fuck did that thing on the 12th come from on the GFS??
  13. Colder air will move back into the region tonight. As a result, tomorrow and Friday will see highs in the upper 20s and lows in the teens. An even stronger surge of Arctic air will likely arrive for the weekend, possibly accompanied by some snow flurries or snow showers. Some areas could pick up a heavier snow squall. Highs on Sunday could be in the teens in New York City with lows in the single digits. The persistent and often severely cold pattern could break near February 10th. However, exceptional warmth appears unlikely through at least mid-February. So far, January 20-February 2 has been the coldest two-week period this winter with a mean temperature of 21.0° in New York city. January 17-30 with 13.4" of snow has been the snowiest two-week stretch. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around January 28. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C. La Niña conditions will likely continue into at least late winter. The SOI was +31.22 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -3.454 today.
  14. Snow is picking up here, dusting so far.
  15. Could also be a case where it's a bit later, too.
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