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Records: Highs: EWR: 64 (2013) NYC: 65 (2013) LGA: 62 (2018) JFK: 59 (2011) Lows: EWR: 0 (1942) NYC: -2 (1871) LGA: -1 (1942) JFK: 12 (2004) Historical: 1892 - Portland, OR, was buried under a record 27.5 inches of snow. (21st-24th) (The Weather Channel) 1929 - An exceptional storm produced snow from the Middle Rio Grande Valley of Texas to southern Arkansas. The storm produced 26 inches of snow at Hillsboro TX, 18 inches at El Dorado AR, and 14 inches at Bossier LA. (21st-22nd) (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1942: Richmond Virginia had its earliest 0 °F day or lower minimum temperature in the winter on this date when the minimum was -1 °F. (Ref. Richmond Weather Records - KRIC) 1964 - A great warm surge from the Pacific Ocean across Oregon and northern California brought torrential rains on a deep snow cover resulting in record floods. (David Ludlum) 1967: Four tornadoes swept across Grant, Blackford, Wells, and Adams counties in Indiana, reaching F3 intensity in Grant and Blackford Counties. A tornado causing F4 damage killed 3 people and injured 52 others in Iron County, Missouri.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) An F2 tornado skipped along a 35-mi. path from Lithium, MO, to near Pinckneyville, IL. $5+ million damage at MO’s Perry County Airport where, amazingly, only 1 of 150 workers badly hurt. Near Percy, IL, a woman and baby were carried approx. 400 yards and survived.(Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 1968: A record breaking snowstorm pounded portions of South Dakota, Minnesota, and Iowa through the 22nd. Heavy snows were accompanied by winds gusting over 50 mph producing widespread blowing snow. Drifts up to 10 feet deep across the area stopped traffic. Amounts piled up to 18 inches in southeast South Dakota, over 12 inches in southwest Minnesota, and 6 to 15 inches in northwest Iowa. The 24-hour total from this date through the 22nd of 16.6 inches at Sioux Falls, SD set the December one day snow total record. December snow total records were set at over 40 locations in Minnesota, thanks in part to this storm.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1983: An extremely bitter cold arctic air mass prevailed from the Midwest to the West Coast bringing numerous record low temperatures for the date including: Butte, MT: -43 °F, White Sulphur Springs, MT: -40 °F, Casper, WY: -37 °F, Livingston, MT: -33 °F, Valentine, NE: -32 °F, Boulder, MT: -31 °F, Townsend, MT: -31 °F. (Ref. Wilson - Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) 1987 - High winds continued along the eastern slopes of the Rockies. During the morning hours winds gusted to 64 mph at Cheyenne WY, and reached 97 mph near Boulder CO. Gale force winds prevailed across the Great Lakes Region. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Seven cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Charleston SC with a reading of 78 degrees. A storm in the northwestern U.S. produced 22 inches of snow at Idaho City ID in two days, and up to two feet of snow at Happy Camp CA. Ski resorts in Idaho reported three to six feet of snow on the ground. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Forty cities in the north central U.S., including thirteen in Iowa, reported record low temperatures for the date. Havre and Jordan, MT, tied for honors as the cold spot in the nation with morning lows of 43 degrees below zero, and the temperature remained close to 40 degrees below zero through the daylight hours. Dickinson ND reported a morning low of 33 degrees below zero and a wind chill reading of 86 degrees below zero. The high for the date of 16 degrees below zero at Sioux Falls SD was December record for that location. (The National Weather Summary) 1990: Behind the front, a deep upper level low and trough brought brutally cold arctic air from the Rockies to the West Coast. Casper, WY set their all-time record low for December with -41 °F. Locations reporting daily record lows for the date included: Wisdom, MT: -49 °F, West Yellowstone, MT: -46 °F, Lincoln Ranger Station, MT: -42 °F, Stanford, MT: -40 °F, Ahead of the front several locations from the Ohio Valley and East Coast reported record high temperatures for the date including: Tampa, FL: 85 °F, Tallahassee, FL: 80 °F-Tied, Charleston, WV: 74 °F, Cape Hatteras, NC: 73 °F-Tied, Huntington, WV: 72 °F-Tied, Jackson, KY: 71 °F, Elkins, WV: 69 °F-Tied, Boston, MA: 62 °F, Islip, NY: 55 °F and Binghamton, NY: 52 °F-Tied.(Ref. Wilson - Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) Des Moines, IA, reported freezing drizzle with a temperature of -2. McAlester, Oklahoma, reported a thunderstorm with sleet and 1/2 inch hail while at 13. All the result of a shallow, bitterly cold air mass overrun by warm air.(Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1996: 60 inches of snow fell in 24 hours at Truckee and Echo Summit, CA as a strong western storm came onshore. These totals were very close to the 24 hour snowfall record for the state of California, which was 67 inches set at Echo Summit on 1/4-5/1982. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1998 - Cold air spread into the southern San Joaquin Valley of California. For the next four nights, temperatures in the agricultural portions of Fresno, Tulare, and Kern counties dropped below 28 degrees for several hours at a time. In some locations, temperatures dipped into the teens. The California citrus industry suffered more than $600 million in damages due to the extreme cold.

6z GFS still supports the idea of a little Tuesday am Christmas Eve Eve snow with showing around 1 inch in the LSV & near 3 near Williamsport.

Definitely some good trends since mid week last week. Each run a little more sw with the boundary . Just too much cold air in SE Canada to get it warm NE of about Philly . I’ve been thinking ice in SNE at least south of 90 with snow CNE

GFS and EURO are worlds apart.. Euro now colder than GFS, GFS torches us on Wednesday 40-45.. Pretty frustrating differences. .GFS mostly misses with the main band, then swings the trough through later Tuesday into Wednesday but it's pretty warm by then..

34 / 31 clear - winter solstice at 10:02 AM ET today. Low - mid 40s and sunny today, back colder Mon/Tue with the light snow/mix/rain on Tue PM. Warmer overall Christmas Eve - Dec 28th, then a shot of cold 29 - 31 and next storm threat / track looks west/inlad but will see. Warmer overall beyond then before turning colder by the 4-6th.

Yes, I think that signal is real for the 26-27th. We’ve been talking about it for a week now and it’s looking like at least a substantial part of New England is going to stay on the cold enough edge of this overall pattern that’ll flood areas to our south and west with warmth. Doesn’t mean it’ll be all frozen the rest of December, just that unlike virtually the rest of the CONUS we will have our chances to produce.

I seem to recall that it did, my 2-month total from Dec 2023 to Jan 2024 was 13” of precip. With canada torched, it was just too warm for snow. Ironically the only snows we got were when the STJ took a break.

Hearing rumors my 60 degree Christmas is getting flushed.

Don't know if anyone saw this, but worth a quick read regarding new NOAA modeling. https://www.noaa.gov/news-release/noaa-deploys-new-generation-of-ai-driven-global-weather-models

6z euro still had the invt trough glazing the cape. Downeast Maine gets slaughtered with it

6z Euro looked real good for 12/26-27

He gone

Even our brief Nino a couple years ago didn’t seem to really get the STJ going for any amount of time. Hopefully next year’s will

The 0z Euro, 0z CMC, and 6z GFS all move a trough into the East which looks to possibly have some staying power. The CMC is much quicker and the GFS is the slowest. But they all get tend get to a similar point. Starting to be concerned the Music City Bowl is going to be cold.

Maybe ice/ snow 26-28

End of both eps and gefs begin to fade the SER, hint of height rises in the west. Large scale features largely the same, though.

That’s what these models seem to do now…every system this seems to happen. Back and forth…up to the day before. As you said, 1-3” and call it a forecast.

Still a huge discrepancy in sensible wx between Euro and GFS for Boxing Day, but the cold press has been gradually trending on the GFS. Euro would be impactful verbatim.

Torrential snow continues and has been pouring down at Palisades all night. It is pretty. But it is all for Naught. It is all melting on contact. Might as well be heavy rainfall. Western ski resorts are done after this winter, probably even before the winter is finished. La Nina is pushing record amounts of Pacific Puke across the mountain ranges along with very warm airflow, resulting in temps just mild enough for 'Mid Atlantic Classic Snow Futility' that ensures DC-like results, every time with every storm there this entire winter. Results: Slush on ground. Terrible to ski on. Tremendous lost revenue. Ski resorts must shut down; if anything it's because of insurance concerns. Just enough snow to tease everyone, but not enough to ski on safely, due to spicyness/dangerous obstacles like boulders, logs, smaller rocks, etc etc. Brown/Gray outright yucky depressional epically GRINCH Christmas and a horribly UNHAPPY UNPROFITABLE New Year for the western ski resorts as disgruntled customers begin shouting for refunds, even rioting. The UGLY specter of record million-year landslides/rockslides sweeping many right off roads on their way home from record rains on the mountains/hypersaturated soils/loosened rocks, trees, debris, etc etc.

I see it GaWx. A whole lot would have to come together in that scenario but at least it’s something to watch. .

If it snows to our south again before we get snow (based on last nights model run), I give up

Today back in 2016 held a different vibe n GC.

Wdym? All I was saying that I’m waiting until the weeklies are more consistent for at least a few days instead of flip flopping. Only then I’ll think there’s some credibility to their forecasts.

Yup RRFS has now joined the NAM rankings .. although seems like every model is flip flopping around with this one .. I think you just paint a 1-3” across all the northeast and see what happens lol

Is this year 3 of drought? Before this dry period it was wet for a few years but that didn't help snow totals lol