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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Different regions definitely prefer different ENSO's. For here its NO contest - La Nina all day, any day. Strong El Nino is typically the worst ENSO state you want to see here in winter. We still get multiple rounds of snow/winter in strong Ninos, just usually less of it than normal. For the midatlantic where it's more of a feast/famine climate, the history of large snowstorms in El Nino vs La Nina makes it easy to see why you guys prefer Nino. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Imagine if that purple, late-blooming one that peaks near 5C verifies. -
That 2023 is the anomaly is particularly interesting. Definitely a new pattern, these times.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
A beautiful looking 78/56 coc in late Aug. -
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doesn't look good unless we clear out earlier than expected
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Arctic Sea Ice Extent, Area, and Volume
Prismshine Productions replied to ORH_wxman's topic in Climate Change
Watch Antarctica, it is flirting with a new record lowest max Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Cfs2 has been advertising a drop in the anomalies for about 8 days too, give or take, fwiw, before a resumption of warming and November peak. - Today
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
tamarack replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Remember to turn right after crossing the Sandy River. (Currently known as the Sandy Rock Garden) -
Lunar eclipse coming up late Thursday night into very early Friday morning. Hope the weather cooperates.
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Beautiful weather for a day off, though it is impressive how much the dews have still stuck around. We’re really locked into a generally more moisture laden pattern, it seems.
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Pumpkin spice Latte time.
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55 here this morning.
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Damage In Tolland replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Torch !! -
Had a real nice thunderstorm this morning. Picked up .47" from it. Unfortunately the sun came out afterwards. Currently it is 85/79 for a feels like of 98. No dry air here.
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
canderson replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That’s incredible. A foot or so more than me. Really nice weather for August. Cut the grass and did a bit of garden cleanup over lunch and didn’t even break a sweat. Meanwhile Texas is baking. -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Def trending warmer, but I’m always wary of these 2m anomalies valid 6z and 18z. And I’m not sure how they calculate those 5 day means…like is it the average of the 6z maps in this case or is it inclusive of all 00,6,12, and 18z images? Because the 6z anomalies are much higher in magnitude than 18z which would signify much warmer mins and not quite as warm days. But 2m aside, 850s have been trending warmer too. -
51 here this morning. Pre-season football and cool morning temps. Feels like Fall is getting closer.
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August 90 degree days - it really depends on the year and not easy to make a blankt generalized call 2022 was plenty hot in august: 90 Degree days Augist Year EWR NYC JFK LGA 2025 8 3 0 6 2024 7 6 3 6 2023 5 0 0 0 2022 18 11 5 13 2021 13 5 4 8 2020 9 4 2 10 2019 4 3 0 5 2018 14 7 4 16 2017 2 1 0 2 2016 13 7 6 10 2015 13 8 6 8 2014 2 3 0 1 2013 3 1 0 1 2012 7 3 2 6 2011 4 3 2 2 2010 11 12 8 11 2009 10 5 5 7 2008 2 1 1 0 2007 7 4 4 7 2006 9 3 6 6 2005 12 9 10 10 2004 2 1 0 2 2003 7 2 4 6 2002 14 14 6 13 2001 8 8 4 6 2000 2 1 2 3 1999 7 3 1 2 1998 7 2 1 3 1997 3 2 2 3 1996 1 1 0 1 1995 14 13 8 11 1994 9 2 0 5 1993 11 10 2 7 1992 4 3 0 2 1991 12 10 3 9 1990 9 4 1 3 1989 8 4 3 4 1988 17 10 4 10 1987 8 4 1 3 1986 2 0 0 0 1985 4 2 1 2 1984 8 3 5 2 1983 11 9 6 8 1982 1 0 0 0 1981 3 4 2 2 1980 12 15 7 9 1979 9 8 2 7 1978 4 5 6 1 1977 6 7 5 3 1976 4 4 2 3 1975 5 4 5 3 1974 3 5 1 2 1973 12 6 4 7 1972 4 3 1 0 1971 7 5 7 2 1970 8 8 6 9 1969 6 5 5 2 1968 9 8 4 6 1967 1 1 0 0 1966 8 8 2 6 1965 5 1 0 3 1964 5 4 0 1 1963 3 0 1 0 1962 2 2 1 1 1961 8 6 4 1 1960 8 3 3 4 NYC (Central Park) looks fairly flat overall. But we know the vegetation plays a roll there amongst max JFK is also pretty flat to only slightly variable. EWR shows a modest upward drift. LGA shows the clearest upward drift of the four. Statistic EWR NYC JFK LGA Mean / Average 7.18 4.83 2.88 4.94 Median 7 4 2 3.5 Mode 8 3 0 2 Mode occurred 9 yrs 11 yrs 15 yrs 11 yrs Minimum 1 0 0 0 Maximum 18 15 10 16 Range 17 15 10 16 Standard deviation 4.13 3.59 2.51 4.00 25th percentile 4 2 1 2 75th percentile 9 7 5 7 Total 90° days 474 319 190 326
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Snowedin replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Can’t wait for 5-6 months of cool rains and wind-driven mists while powderdude posts pics of his buried snowmobile in mid March. Anyways, at least today is a beauty..gotta live for the present!
