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  2. MJO812
    Weeklies should be taken with a grain of salt passed week 2 but it does show what a weak PV would do.
  3. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
    trusted canadian pharmacy: top canadian pharmacy - pharmacies in canada that ship to the us
  4. weatherwiz
    I don't recall memories of this day (but I do remember 5/29/95 and 7/15/95) but being made aware of this some years later, pretty impressive storm which formed along a backdoor front.
  5. bluewave
    If you are going warm for December than why are you giving the week 3+ weeklies any credence?
  6. Brewbeer
    why do you believe the methodology they have employed is incorrect? is it because it results in a narrative and call for action that you oppose for unspecified reasons? can you provide some reasonable explanation even if you only have 33% of the data? that's an incredible amount of data, surely there MUST be SOMETHING systemic in the methodology you can point to that is scientifically invalid? your continued evasiveness on this issues is boring
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Interesting test case here of the physics vs AI guidance.
  8. 40/70 Benchmark
    That didn't take long
  9. mahantango#1
    This morning
  10. WinstonSalemArlington
  11. WinstonSalemArlington
  12. anotherman started following October 2026 Medium/Long Range and Winter 2026-2027 Digital Snow Thread
  13. A-L-E-K
    we've had way too much halloween snow lately, 60 is
  14. Mikeymac5306
    Of course it does. It's time to pick up leaves!
  15. pawatch
    42 degrees this morning. Any time Green Bay gets beat it always the officiating. Though they did miss two field goals. Thats basically why I don’t follow the NFL Football anymore because of the officiating.
  16. DocATL
    Not great trends for Halloween. Possible rain and around 60° for the festivities. Could be worse I guess.
  17. bluewave
    The exact locations of the +10 and greater departures are difficult to forecast until we are into the first week of the month. We have had 17 such months since December 2015 with departures exceeding +10 or greater for some portion of the CONUS. So December 2015 became a trendsetter and not an outlier. DEC…2015….NYC….+13.3 MAR…2016…MOT….+10.5 JAN…2017….BTV…..+11.0 FEB….2017….ORD….+10.3 FEB…..2018…ATL….+10.6 FEB….2019…MGM….+10.5 JAN….2020…YAM….+9.8 DEC….2021….DFW….+13.2 JAN….2023….DXR….+12.3 FEB….2023…..SSI…..+9.8 DEC….2023….INL…..+15.8 FEB…..2024….FAR…..+17.5 DEC….2024…..LND…..+11.3 DEC….2025….CPR…..+12.1 JAN….2026….RIW……+10.2 FEB…..2026….LND…..+11.3 MAR….2026….PHX…..+12.5
  18. Today
  19. WxUSAF
    A SSW this early IS unprecedented
  20. Brewbeer
    45/36 this morning, no frost today
  21. EasternLI
    Overnight 00z EPS jumps to 86% of it's members... Gefs now at 65%.. EPS looks impressive if you loop 10 and especially 50 mb.
  22. A-L-E-K
  23. Mount Joy Snowman
    48 when I left the house. Another awesome weather week ahead of us. Kids are starting to get ramped up for Halloween and Green Bay fandom is none too pleased with NFL officiating at the moment. I understand those two things are completely unrelated ha. Have a great week everyone!
  24. A-L-E-K
  25. A-L-E-K
    actually gonna sell an anomalous morch tier event (ez call always given how extreme that was) but suspect southern stream and pac dominance will keeps things steadily above average/mild
  26. mahantango#1
    Farmers' Almanac · Could Halloween’s winds hold a clue to winter? “Whatever way the wind blows on Halloween, it will blow that way the whole winter.” — Old Irish Weather Saying It’s folklore rather than a reliable forecast, but a fun reason to watch the rustling leaves this October 31! Will your trick-or-treaters need an extra layer or an umbrella? Have you heard this saying before?
  27. jconsor
    I disagree. Think we'll see 1-2 more named storms in early November. About a 30% chance of another hurricane. Best chances in the central Atlantic southeast of Bermuda. Also a chance off the SE US coast, though likely brief. Smaller chances near/sw of the Azores and in the western/central Caribbean. The "high over low" pattern encourages low level convergence and anomalously low shear in the subtropics.
  28. snowman19
    The strong low frequency (El Nino) forcing is totally different from what we saw back in 2015. The MC and eastern IO is completely shutdown and has been since spring, courtesy of the severely east-based super Nino, weak MJO, due to the Nino overwhelming everything, the entire 30C warm pool is moved all the way to 140W and the +IOD is reinforcing all of this. The ++PMM is also helping to lock it in
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