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  2. Since it hasn't happened and last winter in the east/NE ended up colder than progged, nothings in the bag.
  3. severe t storm for Lehigh County. I might just see some heavy rain in 30 minutes but we sure do not need the winds
  4. Takes very little to wring out a downpour on these days.
  5. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  6. Perhaps for us southerners and those in the Mid-Atlantic region, but we definitely need those cold shots from the polar jet to cooperate.
  7. Dews are in low/ mid 70’s SOP . 75.3 here. Seems humid
  8. So far ..02” for the day. Looks like I’ll miss anything of major substance.
  9. Northeast Tennessee had a massive snowstorm the week before the one here from a similar system. Otherwise that winter was bland but those two events were wild. Wrecked power here for a while.
  10. Buck's a million times better than this Bozo ass kisser we have now in Albernaz. He's awful. Hands down bad.
  11. just don't push the grill off the deck in a fit of rage!
  12. I ended up with 1.79" from that cell. Sitting just outside of it now.
  13. Unlike the last few threats, near max instability today, especially West of Long Island. The limiting factor today will be wind shear. The primary severe threat will be strong wind gusts from downbursts. Expect slow moving storms that will dump and frequent lightning.
  14. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

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  15. The storms firing up near Lancaster would be the ones that come this way unless stuff gets going closer.... so 5-530 is probably a bit premature of a radar depiction!
  16. 89/79/105. Awful after that shower
  17. Montiviola about 10 miles southwest of Crozet reports 1.19" since noon. The east of the Blue Ridge daily monsoon continues while west of the B.R. a very serious drought situation gets worse by the day.
  18. yup going to want to watch that dewpoint/MUCAPE gradient. I also have to say...things are evolving a good 3-4 hours earlier then I was anticipating. But this is where we stand with MUCAPE. Activity may come through early enough that the storms remain surfaced-based which could mean an increased risk for damaging wind gusts well into the region. But to go along with Scott's posts about the dewpoints, there is a significant drop off in MLCAPE values away from the coast as drier air mixes down. Have to see when/if they rebound
  19. Unless something changes, it looks pretty bleak south of the PA line.
  20. I'm an Eskimo that lives south of Mason-Dixon. I've accepted my fate.
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