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Probably late to the news but didn't know Polar Wx added new AI-GFS; GraphCast - GFS model, and the NOAA version goes operational Dec. 17th... Its 18z run looks similar to Euro products for Sunday... Link below... https://t.co/ckQkMydRHT

ORD picked up 0.1" of snow from the weak duster clipper on Monday night and then another 0.1" of snow this morning with the back-wash most recent hybrid-clipper. Picked up 0.1" of snow at home with each as well.…2025/26 Season Snowfall...18.0" - RFD17.3" - ORD16.4" - Home

0z HRRR is pretty nice for NOVA and south. Widespread inch.

Snow is falling here currently. Very light. MRX did just put out an SPS that isolated 1 to 2 inch totals are possible. Currently 36 degrees. I was in Knoxville all evening so no idea what may have happened while I was gone. Except strong winds have blown some stuff around.

On its own. Relax.

Low of 27, high of 57.

Two day new snow here is 7-8" and its a winter wonderland out there. Never got out of the mid-20's and flakes were more like tiny LES again. Nothing says winter like a solid snow on top of a decent snowpack.

0z hrrr not backing down. It's either out to lunch or going to pull a big win being the model that was right

The window is pretty closed for anything more than we have seen already. I think best case scenario is a broader precip shield with like .3-.4 qpf but the flow is so fast there is little margin for error and any step back in the orientation of that PV lobe (ie ICON) and we could be left with nothing.

2 inches will seem like a hecs

Looks good in the county, I'm going to be up there 2/2-2/6.

38F starting to lose my pack! Dammit

Back to the 12/12 storm thread- Looks like about an inch out my way according to latest guidance.

Light to mod snow continues

5-9” on its way in the northern part of the county. Nice early season gains…hoping we can hold them.

26.8° -SN 2.1”

27.4 this morning, 58.2 this afternoon. Nice day

I like hearing cold is staying around

I love snow but I try to be objective. Last Winter is a pretty good analog for this one imo. But if we are colder in Jan/Feb, there is always a chance that we can do a bigger storm, but the STJ is just completely dead so far this Winter. Acting like a Moderate Nina right now. I also notice that you were leaning cold in the Fall after leaning warm the last few Winters.. not bad so far!

Is there any real possibility we manage to get that or is the window closing by 12z tomorrow to get an actual low pressure induced storm instead of our current reliance on favorable dynamics.

Pleasant 58F at 2:22pm today.

That would be true deep winter stuff in December if it verifies.

Surprisingly nice event here. As of this morning, we were supposed to have a little bit of snow mixing and then totaling less than 1 inch. As it has happened, we have nice snow growth fluffy accumulating snow. At 2 inches now it’s still coming down steadily 28°. An over performer and a few degrees colder than predicted. Let that be our trend this winter.

We're this close to greatness. Wow that's actually impressive coming from you. You've always struck me as a person that hedges warmer.

The ICON I swear has ideas close to the end result on some events in the 120-150 range when the GFS/CMC are just totally lost but it might just be selective memory by me or the fact at that range its made a few hits and I remember them. The NAM used to have biases/tendencies at 72-84 that gave you a feel for things but its been a good 8-10 years now since those worked. I think upgrades to it ended that and now it often just shows oddball things but I can never find consistent biases anymore like I used to.