All Activity

That looked like a Miller B-East job to me.

4th straight post mentioning a positive trend?

It doesn't yet, But i'm thinking more that this upcoming period is going to work out.

Just 0.17" here. Tiny snow pile still on side of my driveway, will see if it lasts the day. Absolutely hate these days, but I expect a handful of them in a La Nina. DTWs record high today was low-hanging fruit (55F), so they set a new record of 56F.

I just checked my cam and my arbors have some rime as well from the fog.

I agree. I’d think that would produce something. It could be of those systems that takes a wide left turn but really comes back N and slams New England if you time the neg tilt correctly.

Yea, I think seeing Brian loop that convinced me it would have ended well...not that it matters.

Not freezing fog anymore, it's snow eating warm fog now.

I just looked at it, This was at 40/70,

Not only has the west coast ridge trended sharper on the EPC, it's also trended stronger. Good to see.

Well was using this weekend as a guide of "making or breaking" for next week and last nights runs certainly at least kept the intrigue alive. While the likelihood for that initial wave is decreasing, we may be slowly improving the potential for that follow up wave ~16th. One thing to watch too is models being a bit too aggressive with shunting the baroclinic zone too far south and east. Still seems like forever to to but we wanted something to track and we got it

Yeah, the average temperatures at the major reporting stations from EWR to ISP so far this winter are in the 33° to 34° range. We finished December at -4.6° for the 7 station average. Sometimes based on the earlier climate periods we can get similar temperatures at the stations but there can be more departure variability. This is why I focus more on rankings and actual temperatures since departures are based on a rising mean each new 10 year update. Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2026-01-08 33.4 0 2025-01-08 36.9 0 2024-01-08 43.0 0 2023-01-08 40.4 0 2022-01-08 42.5 0 2021-01-08 37.9 0 2020-01-08 38.1 0 2019-01-08 39.4 0 2018-01-08 31.0 0 Time Series Summary for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2026-01-08 33.9 0 2025-01-08 37.0 0 2024-01-08 43.0 0 2023-01-08 40.4 0 2022-01-08 42.2 0 2021-01-08 38.8 0 2020-01-08 38.7 0 2019-01-08 40.1 0 2018-01-08 31.4 0 Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2026-01-08 34.3 0 2025-01-08 37.9 0 2024-01-08 42.9 0 2023-01-08 40.4 0 2022-01-08 43.5 0 2021-01-08 40.6 0 2020-01-08 39.2 0 2019-01-08 40.6 0 2018-01-08 32.5 0 Time Series Summary for JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 2026-01-08 33.4 0 2025-01-08 38.2 0 2024-01-08 41.4 0 2023-01-08 39.2 0 2022-01-08 41.8 0 2021-01-08 38.3 0 2020-01-08 38.6 0 2019-01-08 39.9 0 2018-01-08 31.3 0

My storm forecasts aren't actually long...it's only the seasonal outlook.

We shall see coming up here overall it may not be needed but it would have been a nice feature to have to get a more sustained pattern to set up.

cool trend

One of the best football games you’ll ever watch. Playoff this year has produced

Our daughter’s view at work today. Rode the snowmobile to the summit. Operating the top shack of their brand new 6 pack

Is that for all major reporting stations or just ISP, which was the warmest of all stations last month? Every major was around -5 to -6 for the month, ISP was only -2.8.

Good luck with that. HRRR has been a pile of poop lately

I’m just talking widespread warning level snow. Thats what my odds are against. …

OOOOF. I followed that line and imagined a few shattered TV screens last night when they covered every player except Beck. I’ve been taking so many Ls lately that I’ve started not loading any more money onto my FanDuel account

still going after hr 48.. it would be nice to get a couple inch refresher

I like this trend on the Euro

12z HRRR has a bit of snow here Saturday night

Also I think most people aren’t suggesting a big dog at the moment.