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We may not get a clean translation of any of the specific MJO 7 composite to start December since the models are showing more of a split forcing pattern. Notice the forcing lingering near the Maritime Continent at the same time there is forcing over the Western Hemisphere. So the current forecast has more of blended look between competing influences.

miss south^

28 for the low. Not bad with the cirrus I guess. Definitely fake though since it was like 4F lower just down the road.

First time snow has shown up this fall Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

We got the C-2 up in the Nazareth area.

I have a good gut feeling about December for the first time in a decade. Time to see just how wrong my gut is. Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

We got a coating in the Nazareth area (elev. 600 feet). A nice surprise.

Hrrr ftl in srn ct

Did it snow at all down in SW CT? I remember somebody saying it was going to…?

Despite the high thin overcast, got into the upper 20s last night with some skim ice on the local Pond.

It either did or it didn’t. We just don’t know until we look.

Now 17F/15F, clear as a bell. We'll have to let it warm up a few degrees before our house-painting contract begins today...brrr!

0.33”. The globals juiced it up too much. The mesos were closer.

If we can keep this trend going into winter of holding back warmth in the Plains and getting Canadian air into our area and the northeast, and that’s a big if, then that should support more snow-to-rain/mix and CAD events. But this trend has been durable for almost 4 months now. Seeing it manifest again with next week (after we saw it for this week earlier).

I said it does happen and sometimes it doesn’t…it’s just how it works. He thinks that it’s definitely supposed to happen…that isn’t true at all. That’s where he is misled, and in dreamland on that.

It's only mid to late November and we're already talking about days of yore. Man, it's gonna be a long season.

.30 rain from the event.

See, that NYD euro weenie willed snow into existence out of nothing Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

Snowing in Franklin, Sussex county, per my brother. Mix in chester with some slush on the grass.

In Camp hill I heard pingers at the start then when I woke up to them at 430. Radar looked almost like a mesolow https://ibb.co/tMyw2154 Sent from my SM-G970U1 using Tapatalk

0.35” here

Dec '13 into '14. That was the one time I remember such consistent cold and snow at the same time. We had a ton of outdoor work that winter, love hate on that one!

Lol on the people believing It was going to be 70 on Thanksgiving. We tried to tell them.