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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Interesting snippet from CTP's forecast discussion this morning: ( @canderson) The biggest story on Friday will be the potential for strong to damaging wind gusts. Building high pressure in the southeast US will interact with the potent and deepening cyclone crossing the Great Lakes to produce wind gusts exceeding 40mph Friday afternoon in the wake of the cold front. Anomalously strong wind fields could result in fairly widespread gusts of 40-50mph across the northeast US Friday afternoon. Wind Advisories may be needed for at least a portion of the area. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Agreed…and we’ve had a lot of very nice/great patterns of late, that produce zero…or very little. I’ll take my chances with the not so pretty, or mediocre at best pattern and give that a shot. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Take a good look at surface temps from Friday on. High barometer and low barometer cold. -
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
DocATL replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Excited for the thaw though and no more dirty ice sheets! -
I don't care what anybody says. That is impressive! We'll see where the month actually ends.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Yea it's pretty straightforward. Just need some clippers to be timed right when the cold presses occur, but otherwise there are no biggies with this one. We'll see how chances look on the OPs once we get past the cutter. -
Columbia east: 14.4° this morning barely beats Monday’s 14.6° for coldest-to-date this Fall/Winter season.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
weatherwiz replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I think sometimes we try too much or hope too hard for that perfect pattern but perfect patterns are tough to come by. I've become a firm believer in that it's not just about the pattern, it's about how the pieces are moving, evolving, and interacting within the pattern. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
SCIENCE!! -
Ended up correct. 13.8° in Havre de Grace. Single digits just inland. edit: looks like a 6.1° in Darlington on the Davis network map. It’s situated in a valley by Deer Creek. Insane.
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December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
The fact models keep our surfaces below normal is a flag to me. Watch for changes. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
HoarfrostHubb replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
We do a unit on chemical reactions and energy. The anchoring phenomenon is how an MRE flameless heater works. We introduce them to MREs and their heaters and when you might use them. Power outages due to storms, etc. I mention that example because many were in their cars for 8-12 hours. IF they had an MRE in their car's emergency kit they could enjoy a warm meal of roasted rat while they waited it out. The unit itself focuses on Sandy and Maria but I throw in tht storm, the 2008 ice storm, and the flooding from 2023 because I'm a weenie -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
The bright side is, if he thinks it’s trash…we are destined to score for sure . Said Sunday’s deal was trash too…lmao. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
Ginx snewx replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Tells the tale of a seasoned wxman who should have known better getting stuck in traffic for 6 hours. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
We enjoy this fleeting moment. -
I don’t necessarily disagree with the pope. It’s kind of a meh pattern, but at least not hopeless.
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Low of 20. Really thought it would get lower considering it was 21 when I went to bed at 11. Supposed to hit 50 today.
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What lesson is that?
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Measured .6" of snow yesterday evening. Season total is 5.4". Low this morning was 9.1. One of winter's greatest treats is early morning sun after freshly fallen snow. We've been treated to some spectacular scenes the past 3 mornings. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Itstrainingtime replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Smiling very broadly seeing you here. Very happy that you are feeling okay. Many of us have been thinking of you since last winter. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Introduction to Road Rage 101?? -
2025-2026 ENSO
40/70 Benchmark replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yea, 2022-2023 has some utility as an analog, but it won't be as mild as those seasons in the east. -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
You the snow capital of SNE currently…way to score . -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
HoarfrostHubb replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
I use that exact image from BOX in a lesson I teach -
December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread
SouthCoastMA replied to Torch Tiger's topic in New England
Drove to Foxboro from snowy Cape Cod this morning. Only a coating here..actually maybe 1"..but patchy in sone spots
