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  2. EastCoast NPZ
    Not a cloud in the sky and hot AF here. I see i went from 70% chance last night of rain Wed to now 60% and a degree got tacked onto both Thur and Fri high temps. Things never change out here.
  3. KChuck
    Just finished my car. It had over a week of dust from the foundation waterproofer redoing our front yard. I don't even recognize my car now.
  4. weatherwiz
    NAM is really aggressive with an expansive EML advecting into the region. GFS not so much. A little nervous on this because the NAM tends to overdo these, however, you throw an EML in Thursday with a shortwave trough moving through and there will be some severe storms. Lots of details to iron out these next few days!
  5. high risk
    Yeah, instability looks good at the end of the week. Thursday has enough deep layer shear to perhaps make it an interesting day for many. The flow Friday looks weak which would support very isolated severe. I'm *very* intrigued by multiple ensemble systems showing potential for deep trough to our west next week.
  6. RedSky
    Detailed Forecast This Afternoon Sunny, with a high near 79. Southeast wind around 5 mph. Tonight Clear, with a low around 54. Southeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm in the evening.
  7. Damage In Tolland
    Stein https://x.com/nwsnerfc/status/2064022127834026337?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  8. Wxdavis5784
    Says the guy mainlining digital blue...
  9. Chrisrotary12
    Roadtrip to Binghamton?
  10. TriPol
    What's this talk about NYC hitting over 100 degrees by Friday??
  11. olafminesaw
    https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/plotting/auto/?q=97
  12. ineedsnow
    Head to eastern Iowa.. you have plenty of time
  13. Today
  14. weatherwiz
    Could be here. Probably be evening though but can’t rule out afternoon stuff, especially west
  15. suzook
    If we get the rain that is predicted over the next 10 days, the ATL area in general should be almost out of the drought. I sure hope everyone to our East and north East of us can cash in on some of this tropical moisture.
  16. Torch Tiger
    Maybe WNE for Thursday, otherwise meh.
  17. kgottwald
    Maritime influence
  18. Herb@MAWS
    Overcast with noon sprinkles in Columbia, 71°.
  19. Brian D
    Halloween looks good for some, but late Oct looking unsettled.
  20. GaWx
    Do you have this map for other states in the SE? TIA
  21. Brian D
    Columbus Day looks decent with inclement wx.
  22. Brian D
    Wife Appreciation Day just before the Fall Equinox looks unsettled with some energy moving through the sub. Ok husbands, you know what to do today (I hope).
  23. ineedsnow
    Reggie might be fun though
  24. ineedsnow
    Midwest im guessing.. nothing seems interesting here
  25. GaWx
    Thanks, Chris -Long range model winter forecasts have, indeed, tended to be too cold on average based on my recollection although the Euro has missed on both sides. So, I wouldn’t be shocked if 25-6 also comes in warmer than today’s forecast, but that remains to be seen. -But keep in mind that you essentially are showing a super Nino sample size of just one (2015-6 done in August) since 2023-4 wasn’t a true super (RONI peaked at only +1.49). ONI had ~0.5C excess due to very warm surrounding tropical waters from GW inflating the ONI. -Also, other super Ninos had a fairly similar temp. pattern to what the NMME shows overall.
  26. mitchnick
    Nobody is forcing anyone to consider any model. But if someone posts a model's SSTA forecast, what's so wrong or unusual about posting it's resulting weather forecast. It's done all the time.
  27. mitchnick
    The weather is what counts, and I'm not seeing anything different than previous extremes being forecasted by the same models forecasting your "global climate disruption." In fact, there's yet to be an agreement on the resulting weather.
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