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It was a ton of ice along the 40 corridor, I remember Crossville was devastated. I got several inches of sleet and snow. (It may have been a different year but I think it was 2010)

Has the Euro even started? Can't find it either.

Where is this from bc you are near me and this is terrifying lmao

Yeah they are going nuts in the forum right now. As they should.

No status updates, so maybe this'll be quick...or 5 hours

I guess the AIFS doesn't always start at 15 minutes after the hours 6 and 12.

I think we will get more sleet than ZR in this type of setup. Asheville could turn to ZR quicker than east of the escarpment, but this is a strong high. Places west of Asheville have the trickiest forecast if it turns into a Miller A/B hybrid of Miller B.

Indeed. The GFS and 6z AIFS have the same deal. And very, very cold temps w/ that second one.

Yea but I thought the Canadien and UK always led the way at this range?

There is a lot of noise on the other main thread because the Canadian that just came out is showing mainly sleet in our area. I will continue to lean at least 70% towards the European model throughout this week. It just keeps winning. And if it goes the way of the warm nose and getting sleet then that's probably what's going to happen. But I'm certainly not putting any eggs in any basket because of the Canadian model lol.

Nice to see some hits but sure looks like this is a MA special

A coastal that perfectly and beautifully threaded the needle.

Showed too much snow here. Had to shut it down.

Her name is...Folksia

Yes but what about the snow?

Anxious to see what Eurpean spits out

Get it all out now.

I would say Turnpike south is a crush job looking at the CMC and Ukie. We wait on the Euro.

Not to get lost in the sauce but the 12z CMC has another SE winter storm at hour 240.

Lot of ice for East TN

I hope it's a girl.

Always something to keep in mind...(What was Feb 2006? An overruning event, or?)

Huh? 12z GEFS mean came noticeably more north.