All Activity

After only a 1.21” total for August this one day in early September was really needed. Yeah it all stayed to the South of downtown. Went warned just after it passed me.

I think climate change has been taken into account as a factor, without the climate dynamics at play really being understood. A bias has emerged in hurricane seasonal forecasts, which maybe works for winter forecasts 7 times in 10 and that makes sense, but hurricane seasonals have not verified 7 in 10 this century so far. Go back to the drawing board and work out a new method is my suggestion. This isn’t the first bust of a dramatic hurricane season prognostication.

The deer are moving . I’ve seen several this week in morning runs. Looking at me .. creeping

0.7 “ south of you in Bethlehem Twp. Definitely much needed.

Yeah I noticed that. Some nice stuff firing upstream though. We’ll have to see how it plays out. Curious if the Bird’s game sees any action tonight too. I have some friends down there, wild scene.

To many fall projects, Have to get them done before hitting the woods in Huntober.

I‘m still picking 10-20 tomatoes all sizes per day . New yellow flowers on many plants. Picking 5-10 peppers a week , more growing and yellow flowers on cuke plants and picking a few per week. Should go well into Roctober with the coming warmth mid/ late month.

Question, and because I don’t have a clue: why do we say warm waters = increased hurricane activity? Don’t we need a temp delta to generate storms, regardless of a ‘warm’ state? Meaning - warm, normal, or cold, isn’t a big air/water temp delta the driver? Is that true? Hurricane seasonal forecasts have not been great over the last 25 years IIRC.

Definitely starting to weaken

Haha! Beat you, looks like 0.04" eyeballing the gauge from window. Sheesh. Edit, oh and that is from TWO different showers/thundershowers about 2-3 hours apart.

Thank you Don, Tip. Sadly thought provoking! Perhaps an Electro Magnetic Pulse caused by a rogue high altitude nuclear device or a Solar Coronal Mass Ejection Event, even though not directly related to climate change, might be enough to knock us out of our ‘business as usual’ ennui. stay well, as always……

Is Roy O warming up? Let’s ask Jerry

Beach days are done, Time to move to fall, Game Cams are going out Saturday, Wood splitter coming out Sunday, Garden is getting dismantled time to...........

Same down here around HVN. I think it's been even drier down by BDR but it looks they had gauge issues last month.

These NJ climate site #'s are correct... and match Radar Acopte Digital 1 hr and STP accums... .48 at my house in Wantage. Click image for clarity.

Feels like I haven't tracked some good convection in ages. Hope today and Saturday pan out!

Yay raining with thunder

You did much better than I did - .32" is my total.

Finally raining in chester! Also detoured into Peapack as 206 is closed for a brush fire.

Upper 80s Saturday. Let’s beach!

Last day of 70+ dews Saturday . What a run we had of high dews this summer . Pattern looks warm mid month on

Darkening skies

Coming down in torrents. Some good rumbles and flashes. Winds gusting to about 25 mph.

7” JJA here. bone-fucken dry

0.59" in the t-storm.