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Still snowing

Plenty cold enough with strong CAD.. only 7 days (or slightly less) away. Could be a long week of model watching.

pretty cool signal for 8 days out

I will be in Arlington. Hope it includes NoVa

flurries but it's warm and slushy. Going to need better rates for anyone in the immediate metro to see much accumulation, maybe later.

After about 15 minutes of sleet, finally gone over to snow in West Lincoln. Don’t expect it to amount to much but nice seeing it.

Looks like that’s happening now

Snowing in Kernersville now

Thanks, that sounds about right. Few spots around me that got 1”+ but I think they were in better bands. It was compacting as fast as it was accumulating when I get up

Totally agree...at this point (until they improve or there's more mesoscale AI type models) they won't capture small features like banding, convective elements, and the like. But for overall synoptic setup and general low and precip locations as you say, it's rather bang-on in a lot of cases.

This map is about as perfect as one can get for the precip type I'm experiencing.

Love to see the model showing that !!

At 162, the 12z Euro has gone pretty much bonkers.

Big storm next Sunday incoming

Well still would be a decent hit

Boy the AIFS is one way to get a couple good storms. I still worry about cold and dry. Just noting it I’m not forecasting it but it’s a concern of mine.

Good grief the Euro is about to drop the big hammer here.

I know from looking at various types of events (not just for snow) that the AIFS (Euro) has done a stunningly good job out to 5 or even 7 days for situations that are rather tricky. And it tended to lock in, not go all over the place. Granted, those cases were just specific individual ones that maybe were more favorable for it, but you get the idea. I'm pretty impressed with how the AI models have done.

Wow nice!!!

i was looking at the wrong ensemble run lol, post was edited

lol. Do currently have a mix of drizzle and tiny flakes with a random large flake here and there.

Well the 12Z EC drops a Quebec ice storm on Mississippi and Alabama next weekend. We have a week for it to change. Otherwise MS / AL grid is gonna look as bad as Ukraine's. Guess we'll take natural causes over a terrorist Holodomor, but still..

I was surprised how much we got. .

Feel for you bro, I have a good feeling you will wake up to the same landscape that we all did to today when you wake up tomorrow.

Nicee... So far this seems like our best shot of a nice hit all winter!!