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Somebody had too much brandy in their eggnog last night

Merry Christmas to all. Not much to celebrate on the long range looks at the moment, is there? Oh well

AI. Don’t do it.

Merry Christmas weenies

You do realize every other model is 4x-5x that? Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Merry Christmas all! Should be a fun day of modeling

58 degrees on Christmas morning. Disgusting

CJ potential here maybe for an inch or two extra.

Thinking 2-3" snow then crunchy crunch crunch. Not horrible. At least we are tracking something..... Merry Christmas all! 33F

Never mind . Nammy but in general its very cold

I meant that it may help drive snow a little more NE.

Merry Christmas everyone!

Merry Christmas!

Merry Christmas to everyone today. I hope everyone has a great Christmas!

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Where what model.

Widespread 60+ dewpoints in developing storm's warm sector, as long as it turns southeast far enough west to avoid flooding low to mid levels in NYC region with 40-45 deg air, I could see this becoming a heavy snow situation for wherever surface temps are closest to 28 F. And that currently looks like ne PA to n/c NJ to NYC and LI. It is a WAA event except that it is going to be rotated around by 45 deg compared to many of them, which I believe will tighten up gradients and lead to a wall of snow outcome. There will be a lot of thunder and lightning across PA into s NJ and n DE during this storm's development phase Friday afternoon-evening. Key point to evolution is that a weak wave tracks e.s.e. across region tonight, reinforcing surface cold and that colder air will flood into the east coast region before the low really reaches full potential, so that will create a fairly resistant cold layer below about 850 mbs. Taint factor may be overestimated for NYC metro by some, but time will tell.

That’s interesting

From the WPC:

Yup . Sleet

6z Skynet.

Merry Christmas, everyone! Fantastic improvements in the modeling down here. Just hope it's not a head fake. It's been a while since our last 6"+ event.

Long Island totals are over 6 inches now yet still no watch lol

Models not quite as cold for the start of January as prior runs with the core of the cold forecast to stay to our north. New run Old run

Merry Christmas everyone! It'll be interesting now to see 12Z, That map from WTNH seems pretty bold still, but would love it to verify.