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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Kitz Craver replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Still a shot at a mid month coastal or….? -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
NoCORH4L replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pawatch replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The other day it was .76” rain keeps dwindling, but we will take what we can get. 32 degrees this morning. -
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
40/70 Benchmark replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Nice blend of discourse.....bitching about how the winter sucks and will continue to suck, and others bitching about those bitching about how winter sucks and will continue to suck....every now and then the general flow is interrupted by a remarkably thinly veiled homage to CC by Tip. Sums up the last 8 years. -
26 here, 41-42 on the barrier islands.
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SPV looks like it will tighten up at the end of the month or early Feb. That means we really need to score in the last 2 weeks of Jan to get anywhere near climo. My snowfall contest prediction is only about 50-60% of climo, and even that is iffy. Should reach that with the shots the models are taking at us, but climo? We need a big one to get there.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
WinterWolf replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This is comical. I use it because it’s the real thing…not made up. That’s why. The planet/season doesn’t care about record keeping. So it’s 2.5 weeks old. I guess you never got snow in March? Just as sumner would only be 2.5 weeks old on July 8th. Summer extends beyond August 31st. Do we say only Mon-Fri is the real week? It’s the work week, but the calendar doesn’t use it as a real week. same thing. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Baroclinic Zone replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
26F All iced up and frosted over here. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Temperatures will trend warmer through Friday, but will the trend continue on Saturday? There is CONSIDERABLE uncertainty in Saturday's high temperatures across Central PA. A warm front will lift north, but how far north it gets will have BIG influence on temperatures -
Heat Island and radiational cooling in full affect this morning, Manhattan mid 40s and upper 20s and low 30s here.
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There were rumors all day that some kind of draft compensation would be attached cause his contract is outrageous. And it’s nothing. I don’t like it. Really needed to try and get one of the superstars in the draft this year. Maybe he will just sit with “back soreness” all year lol
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
We watch. KEY MESSAGE 3 Discussion... Cold trend continues for the forecast winter storm late Saturday into Sunday. High pressure to the NW will aid in feeding cool air at the surface from the NE through Saturday evening. Still a good signal in guidance for CAD to keep surface temps below freezing for much of southern ME and central/north NH. No change in thinking regarding primary low track out of the Great Lakes. Still some differences in guidance re: transfer to coastal low, and this will have impact on QPF and temperature profile aloft for precip type. Continue to think foothills northward remain mainly snow until after midnight, in which sleet then mixes in. A mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain will be possible for points in the foothills and interior, with mostly rain into southern NH and far southern NH. Should cold trend continue, would see wintry mix hold on longer and closer to the ME coast. -
You would want to see the Northern Stream across the Great Lakes with all those lows racing east back off in order to give the Southern Stream an opportunity to lead.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
BIG CHANGES NEXT WEEK THIS WEEK IN WEATHER JAN 7-8 2026 Great video presentation. -
Well the forecasters at Mammoth increased the forecast from 1-2 inches tonight, to 3-5 inches overnight. Well - it is 15 degrees with high winds and heavy snow and radar has more and they already have 5 inches on the ground and I think that they just might have to update that accumulation forecast one more time lol.
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While numerous locations in the U.S. experienced their warmest December on record, spots like Fairbanks had their 8th coldest December. So the magnitudes of the warmth was greater in the the West. But Juneau was able to record their 2nd coldest December which was very impressive. Parts of Canada had their coldest December since 1980 but the coldest winters on record occurred in the colder era before then. But the warmth in recent winters in Canada was of a higher magnitude than the cold this month was. Climatologist49 @climatologist49.bsky.social Follow Fairbanks, AK, finishes December 2025 with a monthly temperature departure of 18.2F below normal. The average high temp was -14.5F and the average low temp was -31.1F. This makes it the 8th coldest December on record (1904-present) and the coldest since 1980. @alaskawx.bsky.social 9:02 PM · Dec 31, 2025
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Baum replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Looking forward to the salt washer today. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
mahantango#1 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Much need rain is coming, as of now. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
NoCORH4L replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Not sure why you keep saying that, it's not really only 2 weeks old. Only Karens use astronomical winter. Meteorological winter is a fixed, three-month period used by meteorologists for consistent record-keeping, covering the coldest months: December, January, and February in the Northern Hemisphere - Today
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
GYX going colder for Saturday night. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
NoCORH4L replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
It's amazing how so many people wish summer away, to get to the cold gray rain for 5 months that have become our winters. -
This is one of the biggest winter punts I can remember. Since our little snow events December 8-16 we will have punted till likely January 15 at the earliest. 30 days of winter without a single threat to track is brutal, even for here
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