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They are tepid on both but prob more interested in that little follow-up wave on 1/20 than the 18th.

Ensembles don't like 1/18 but there have been some hits on the ops ocassionally in the 1/18-1/20 time frame

EPS is still quite snowy in the LR. They are not very interested in 1/18 though. They really seems to like the post-1/20 period.

What a storm! I drove up into the Berks at the end of the storm. I wish I had taken some video, it was amazing!

6z EuroAI cozying up to the idea too.

Sure, but to be fair with the last threat there were plenty of warning signs... but some just ignored them. Beware the turds in the punch bowl

I see it briefly at 264hr. The 360hr 0z EPS has a favorable look

Those of us who got 0.00” from last weekends rain are not going to be in good shape

If we could get record breaking Fairbanks cold, I'm sure many would take a week of that. At a minimum, the pipe breaks and ice skating on the Charles would keep the news exciting more than it is now I suppose. 40/70 doing Ice Road Truckers on the Charles to skip traffic

Long range has been awful but yet people still forecast based off of it.

Models looked awful last night and now all of a sudden the Euro shows a little something for Sunday now. This is a tiresome hobby lol

20-30 inches There should be a snowy period in the 2nd half of this month and into February.

The 0z Canadian Para is how I think this week unfolds. the 6z Euro does have a sneaky little system again along the Gulf for the weekend...if that were to back westward? I don't think it is overly realistic, but the GEM para has a second vortex, but it slides over the Tenn Valley. Multiple, light waves of snow in that cold air makes a lot of sense for the weekend.

Def a good pattern for SWFE shaping up for end of January. Hopefully we can cash in a big qpf one that hammers the whole forum.

Around 20

Long range on the models look dead... good. Lets get something to appear within 4 maybe 5 days, instead of chasing fantasies

For all those looking to water their lawns in March.

The northern and southern jets are dead, we stein

MJO forecast was forecast for this time period to be in phase six, and is. It won’t be any where near phase eight until the end of this month

Only hope for widespread snow is a NW amplification trend on around MLK day for the next 7 days.. Guidance is still all over the place after that in terms of where the cold goes and where the gradient sets up .. There also seems to be an overrunning set up the end of next week in the 9-12 day range .. But again have to see where the gradient sets up

Very boring on the models. This is awful .

Although WPC still has some risk of storm 18-19th

I have a list of Southeast Region snowstorms and just checked the dates last night. The date range is where the Southeast was receiving snow.

Except for a bit of rain and snow midweek, all precipitation gone from 10 day. Pretty much the worst case scenario from where this looked to be headed. Quite a surprise to me tbh. Cold and dry sucks. Much prefer cutter to wipe it clean and be warmer outside. otoh this will probably change but seems like quite a fail for mid range models. Or maybe just a perceptual bias based on large number of models and frequency of model runs?

This is a winter of Stein . Water bans by Morch