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It’s called Bombogenesis.

I wouldn't worry too much about it we got plenty of models and cycles to go. Plenty of stuff is still very big. It's just a first call anyway got time for final

Lmao 49” being printed. Down in NJ.

Bombogenesis. Once this thing goes offshore it explode.

I thought it was better at h5 then 0z so maybe surface/qpf did not correspond properly?

There was talk of closing this thread earlier in the week because the chances were so small that anything would come of it. Now Atlantic City could get... 4 feet of snow.

Blizzard warnings for the Jersey shore

Bombogenesis is a real thing,we just dont experience as much of that in recent years. It can def go from meh to wtf in hours.

NAM looks fantastic to me even a little more tucked in some snowfall amounts aren't as ridiculous as 00Z but track and evolution look good also almost kisses ACK

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 DEZ003-004-212100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.BZ.W.0001.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ Inland Sussex-Delaware Beaches- Including the cities of Georgetown and Rehoboth Beach 327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...BLIZZARD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Blizzard conditions expected. Total snow accumulations between 6 and 12 inches. Winds gusting as high as 55 mph. * WHERE...Delaware Beaches and Inland Sussex Counties. * WHEN...From 1 PM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. Strong winds could cause tree damage. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates could exceed 2 inches per hour. Locally higher snowfall amounts and significant drifting of snow possible. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Travel should be restricted to emergencies only. If you must travel, have a winter survival kit with you. If you get stranded, stay with your vehicle. The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. &&

3k nam

Enjoy DE crew URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Mount Holly NJ 327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 DEZ001-002-212100- /O.UPG.KPHI.WS.A.0002.260222T1800Z-260223T2300Z/ /O.NEW.KPHI.WS.W.0002.260222T1500Z-260223T2300Z/ New Castle-Kent- Including the cities of Wilmington and Dover 327 AM EST Sat Feb 21 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SUNDAY TO 6 PM EST MONDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 8 and 14 inches. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph. * WHERE...Kent and New Castle Counties. * WHEN...From 10 AM Sunday to 6 PM EST Monday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult to impossible. Areas of blowing snow could significantly reduce visibility. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday morning and evening commutes. Gusty winds could bring down tree branches. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates could exceed 2 inches per hour. Locally higher snowfall amounts possible. Blowing and drifting of snow, and whiteout conditions possible.

NAM Wind gusts Those are hurricane force wind gusts on eastern LI. The other visible feature is an inverted trough that helps to extend the precipitation field into western and NW NJ. This is one for the meteorology textbooks.

I’m up; it’s the old man’s 3 am curse: usually up for an hour before crashing again. Thank god I’m retired. Worried about the wheel on my blower and there’s nothing I can do but hope it holds up. Really worried about dealing with excessive amounts now; I’ve got the two stage backup but these kinds of snows are dangerous for folks like me.

Sorry but the NAM doesn’t make any sense to me. There’s no reason it should start noticeably worse and then go and do that. It seems like one of those classic NAM runs that has no chance of verifying but looks great through weenie goggles.

They used the B word.

WB 3K NAM does intensify as it gets to our latitude and annihilates the eastern shore through southern NE. Just does not dig enough southwest to give us the goods.

BOOM! Upgraded to a warning. Second I shut my eyes the alert starts going off. Ha!

Beautiful.

Cut these in half ,still alot of snow.

Throws 40-45” in southern NJ

This photo sizing is a pain in the ass.

My eye are deceiving me a 40 burger in Atlantic city