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2026 Severe Wx - General Thread
HillsdaleMIWeather replied to largetornado's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
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If we did get that 18-22" type storm again with the "blizzard", would satisfy enough to go as high as A-, jmo. lol sucks
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Yea, it's a good winter....not complaining....just stating why it isn't an "A" for me....I value precipitation a bit more than cold, which the stats back up at this latitude....that is why I grade a year like 2004-2005, which wasn't every cold and had a lot of melting, but also a ton of snow, higher than this.
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I go through the same thing I send them pics and never do they use mine but another spotter in north haven who's always higher. Weird how North Haven jackpots all the time..
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I'm also pretty sure the days of -2 to -3 PDO values are over because this El Niño is likely to be the catalyst for change in that regard.....we just had a -PDO strong El Niño and highly doubt we are doing that again. This event should begin the transition to warm phase in the Pacific, which likely completed around the turn of the decade.
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Yeah and don't forget 21" during the blizzard
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Still had 100% cover about 4" when it got dark, we'll see what's left when this fog is done with it tonight.
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Yeah, no way I can give a winter an A-grade without that nice stretch like you're talking about. But imagine we didn't get one of those major storms ; this winter would be one of the most frustrating ever
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Track deez
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Good chance at our first 80 degree day on the way for Tuesday. On the far northwest edge of Tuesday evening's setup. Any more bumps southeast will leave us with little or no rain.
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My ultimate orgy-scenario is rapid-fire events in fast succession, which is really what this season was missing....I would gladly give back some of the cold to get that. The pattern should be much more conductive to that next year, but of course the issue is likely to be the cold....trick will be to get it just cold enough for a couple of weeks consecutively. Obviously we aren't going 50 days below 40 degrees again, or whatever it was....especially assuming a higher-end El Niño.
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Yea, Andover did not receive 4"....I chuckle to myself thinking back when to they tossed my 31" measurement in 2018 looking at some of the shit that they accept.
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What an incredible day. These stations just illustrated the warm and wedge side of things so well.
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it's 62F here in DC - pretty sharp differences over a small area.
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a decently warm sunny day and some thunder rumbles this evening as the line passed by.
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What is a warm front?
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41 to 62 in 1 hour now 64
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
Heisy replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Winter 25-26. Never forget Still getting rogue model runs of snow 17-20th range. Doubtful, but not impossible -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
LVLion77 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Think I will be scraped by the line but no direct hit. . -
https://www.cnn.com/2026/03/07/climate/warmest-winter-us-east-versus-west
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Interesting. Looks like most of the cold was on the other side of the hemisphere, as well as that strip of colder across northern Canada and AK. I would imagine given that distribution, a huge and persistent ridge over the eastern half to 2/3 of North America and another over much of Europe/Scandinavia (though not as warm there). It's kind of reminiscent of how warm December 2015 was here (similar warm departure). I'm just grateful we got those large departures in December and March, and not a +9 in July!!!
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2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The warmth has been crazy all winter out West. Glad its not here though. Detroit hasn't had a warmer than avg month since October. -
2026-2027 El Nino
michsnowfreak replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The ensembles go to day 16 and its cold in the Great Lakes and east coast -
incredible pictures!!! low 60s here, beautiful night!
