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  2. Have to say, seeing a near-perfect evolution running one degree south of optimal track at 96h is not really something to complain about by any means.
  3. 18z Euro doesn’t give us what we want but it improved quite a bit over 12z at both H5 and the surface. Tonight’s 0z runs will be very interesting.
  4. Euro ai was wise but the regular euro improved up stairs.lets hope we can build on this momentum we built up today lol
  5. I figured there was a catch when I heard way west .....
  6. I might be wrong, but I believe our biggest snow ever in the Knoxville area was in November, however, just about all of our biggest snowstorms have been in March. That makes sense though considering that’s about the best moisture return month you’re going to get before it gets too warm. .
  7. There's that inverted trough creeping eastward as I suggested it would after 12z runs. By the time it's over, it'll be over the Gulf Stream probably.
  8. Every model all day today has ticked better outside the ai and it’s great to finally have the euro tick better as well. Great spot to be headed towards 0z
  9. The gfs ai is one of the worst performing models I have ever seen
  10. You’re right. Comparing 500 environment surrounding the shortwave trough in question it argued for something north I thoughts
  11. In a normal season whenever the last time that was I would say this is right where we want it at day 5.
  12. March 2025 would like a word with them .
  13. I don't understand why we treat any of the AI's at this point like we do the traditional models. In their short history have they consistently verified? Seems like to me they give more of an "idea". Mods move to banter if need be.
  14. Euro's gonna be west but still a miss. Saw some positives at 500 mb though.
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