All Activity
- Past hour
-
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Baroclinic Zone replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
That was fun. Definitely some convective element to those bands. Could see some grauplel in there cleaning off car. Partly cloudy now. Call it 3” -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
HoarfrostHubb replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
2.5” after those smaller bands pivoted through. Powder again. -
2025-2026 ENSO
michsnowfreak replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The extraordinary warmth in the mountain west is impressive and thankfully far away. 90+ percent of the people who post on this forum had a solidly colder than avg December. -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Snowedin replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Even as someone who prefers warmer, more temperate conditions I gotta say this snow is very pretty. If I didn’t have to worry about shoveling or getting it off the car, I’d say bring on several feet of this kind of fluffy goodness! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Probably about the same. Snow blowing off rooftops which is cool to see. Unless I missed it did you crunch the numbers on how much we were below normal temperature wise for December? 25F/gusty -
... and that is why they are called the primitive equations ...
-
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
cyclone77 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Euro looks like crickets through mid month. We'll probably get 2 weeks of action at the end of Jan, and then another 5-6 weeks of CAD/Michigan clippers through early March. -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Vinny Findley replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
You did a lot better than me. Maybe a little over an inch as it went by here! -
Like most I was up late for NYE and slept through the snow squall, but it was nice to wake up to the solid 0.75" coating. Not gonna melt with it being so cold, so I'm going outside now to shovel. Looks as if we're gonna have about a 1 week break from winter starting on Tuesday, but man this has been one heck of a winter so far. Truly cold and snowy for about a month.
-
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
TauntonBlizzard2013 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Starting to wind down here, but man, that was good. Probably close to 3” -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
dendrite replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Def looks warm for a good 5-7 days starting around the 7th. The waters get a little muddy after that. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
The 4 Seasons replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
although, Jan 2014 was fantastic for SNE -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Vinny Findley replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Not a lot of snow but at least feels like winter and has most of this season so far! -
And those areas go through stretches where its mild and doesn't snow. Anyone who wants cold and snow all winter probably needs to move to northern Maine.
-
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
ChescoWx replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
-
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
moneypitmike replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Sun's out now in PVD. Maybe I can catch up to the snow before it leaves Pit1. -
A lot of this comes down to the NAO. We’ve lost that stout blocking signature significantly. The early month period of cold was only going to be possible if the -NAO bullied the rest of the patten into submission. Mid-month onward, this is the first time (and I hate to say it), that I’m really starting to see some red flags on the cold forecast. On modeling it’s essentially the traditional ensembles vs AI. The AI ensembles are much more aggressive in favor of a cold pattern getting established by mid month so we’ll get a very good verification check in a week or two. Onto my red flags: what exactly is moving this pattern? PNA looks neutral-ish, we’re losing the -NAO. -EPOs are great, that should dump some cold into the conus but without a solid western ridge in place, my bet would be that it dumps into the Rockies and bleeds east slowly. That would be a modified mess, even if it makes it here. - MJO - stuck in the cod. This coupled with our meh teleconnections are combining for model volatility. We’re at a fork in the road and something has to give. - ENSO still favors a SER and we need help elsewhere to beat that down.
-
Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Frog Town replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I can be patient and wait 10 days for this pattern flip that seems to be modeled pretty well on just about everything, but I'm hoping it lasts for a few weeks. Hate to wait 10 days for something that lasts 5... -
We had a couple of one-inch events, then a 4-inch storm two days before the inauguration, the snow cover from which made possible DCA's -4 low. Then a 2-inch storm to end the month, which turned out to be the last snow for the season (until a half inch in April!!) I remember Bob Ryan and Gordon Barnes were hyping up an event for February 6th that just turned into a light icing and some drizzle.
-
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
Bryan63 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
This is awesome, can barely see across the street. -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
colonel717 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
-
12/31-1/1 Possible Snow Showers/Squalls to Start 2026
87storms replied to bncho's topic in Mid Atlantic
Squall lines are fun. I’ve noticed the snow can be out of sync with the radar returns based on the wind direction. Curious what would cause this one to occur as opposed to >95% of the other NS systems. -
Had about 3/4" from the squall. Enough to cover everything nicely. One of my younger cousins staying here for the holiday decided to take the go kart and drift it around the neighborhood. Starting the new year off great. Pissing off all the hungover neighbors
-
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
mahk_webstah replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
poor Scott. best squalls in years and all gone when he gets back. -
New Years Day 2026 - 1st snows of the new year possible
DavisStraight replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
I have a black truck too, the rain cleaned it off last time. What's left of the squall line is coming through here now.
