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Wild, I’ve had probably 10 mornings in the 20’s.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
But in terms of the IOD, Oct of ‘26 though solidly positive was very underwhelming in comparison to 2 recent years per the weekly readings: 10/2026 ~0.76 10/2019 ~1.83 10/2023 ~1.74 10/2015 ~0.83 The latest weekly bounced back only slightly from 0.69 to 0.73. At this time in these years it was much higher: 2023: 1.5 2019: 1.7 Typically, this peaks by Nov. So, if it doesn’t jump sharply within the next few weeks it very likely will never do so this Nino per past patterns. https://www.bom.gov.au/clim_data/IDCK000072/iod_1.txt?1793622027272 -
The color of the sky this morning had a profound effect on the color of the leaves.
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@psuhoffman Take a look at the latest CFS run on pivotal.
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BWI: 5” DCA: 3” IAD: 7” RIC: 9” Tiebreaker SBY: 3” Southern slider gives RIC the W
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
A-L-E-K replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
schedule those sierra trips now folks -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Was like someone flipped a switch in March 2020. Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 0.1 0.1 2026 T T 2025 0.0 0.0 2024 T T 2023 0.1 0.1 2022 0.4 0.4 2021 T T 2020 T T Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 6.0 6.0 2019 10.4 10.4 2018 11.6 11.6 2017 9.7 9.7 2016 0.9 0.9 2015 18.6 18.6 2014 0.1 0.1 2013 7.3 7.3 2012 0.0 0.0 2011 1.0 1.0 2010 T T Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 3.5 3.5 2009 8.3 8.3 2008 T T 2007 6.0 6.0 2006 1.3 1.3 2005 6.9 6.9 2004 4.8 4.8 2003 3.5 3.5 2002 T T 2001 3.8 3.8 2000 0.4 0.4 Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 5.7 5.7 1999 4.5 4.5 1998 5.0 5.0 1997 1.7 1.7 1996 13.2 13.2 1995 T T 1994 8.1 8.1 1993 11.9 11.9 1992 9.4 9.4 1991 0.2 0.2 1990 3.1 3.1 Monthly Total Snowfall for NY CITY CENTRAL PARK, NY Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Mean 3.0 3.0 1989 2.5 2.5 1988 T T 1987 1.9 1.9 1986 T T 1985 0.2 0.2 1984 11.9 11.9 1983 T T 1982 0.7 0.7 1981 8.6 8.6 1980 4.6 4.6 -
you've been a good sport but i know the positive anomalies will start stinging more before long here
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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026
WinstonSalemArlington replied to BooneWX's topic in Southeastern States
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11-game win streak without an offense was bound to end. It is just disappointing that Kyler is so inaccurate.
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BWI: 1.8" DCA: 1.0" IAD: 2.5" RIC: T SBY: T
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@forkyfork..."cope". -
Min 35.9° but most of the night was near 40°
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We have been showered with some rain here in the Triad this morning.
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Yup another frost here this morning
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
EastonSN+ replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Having lived through the 97/98 winter and seeing the setup we have currently, I do not see why we cant get a better snowfall outcome for the Northeast and MA. Yes its warmer. However, as I have been saying the warmer waters coupled with the abundant moisture can lead to larger snowfalls even if they are few and far between (warmer waters leading to stronger/deeper low pressures). Its not like we are 20 degrees warmer than 97/98. -
He’s a weenie. We just said his siting isn’t greatest.
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Someone said that you had a frost and freeze? That’s ridiculous.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Very impressive jet extension across the entire North Pacific showing up in the ensembles around mid-November. -
