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  2. 0z EPS tries to develop -EPO mid-month, which would quickly cool down the NE, while other models have more -WPO/-AO.. ridge near Russia. Interesting difference
  3. We went to friends in pjs and a pot luck, gifts for kids, and was home before 1 lol
  4. I'll probably have to stay up until 5am to get in on this squall
  5. Just came thru here. Was rippin' pretty good. No flashes, no rumbles, though. Guess I will go to sleep.
  6. DCA _ NYC _ BOS _ ORD _ ATL _ IAH _ DEN _ PHX _ SEA -1.4 -1.3 -1.9 -0.6 +1.2 +1.4 +1.4 +1.6 +1.2
  7. Finally with better snow growth here. Good luck to everyone in SNE.
  8. Most of my memories are from situations like this, usually in a squall line or strong arctic front. Honestly its probably not super rare for our region as a whole in this type of setup. Now getting it as part of a noreaster I can't recall the last time that happened. If I hadn't been outside I would have probably missed it. I'm not sure if there are any official statistics on it or not.
  9. Right on the edge here. Those annoying models that said we would be right on the edge were right. How annoying.
  10. Just a dusting of snow in western Suffolk. Congrats out east, again
  11. How common is thunder snow in our area? First time in my life I witnessed it happen was tonight.
  12. Wait til that second batch gets to you. Heavy snow, huge dendrites, its a thing of beauty. Phone camera can't do it justice.
  13. That was awesome to be out in. I measured 3.5 so the squall gave me over an inch. Still ripping.
  14. Today
  15. So, climate… OND this year at DEN had a total of 0.53” of liquid and Dec is the second warmest since 1872. I still wonder about the validity of the #1 in 1933 as it was so much higher than any up to that point. Happy new year!
  16. Looks like one more moderate burst before the dry air starts to shut off the heavier snow. Its ripping here again. Gotta go back outside!
  17. == ::: [] <<< Annual Scoring for 2025 contest year >>> [] ::: == ... ... subject to adjustments for Dec scoring updates ... ... FORECASTER _____DCA_NYC_BOS__east__ORD_ATL_IAH _ cent _ c/e __DEN_PHX_SEA__west __TOTALS Tom _________________ 789 _832 _908__2529__822 _758 _762__2342 _4871 __815 _858 _880__2553__7424 ___ Consensus ______751 _796 _848_ 2395 __794 _858 _778_ 2430 _4825__770_868_936__2574__7399 so_whats_happening _787 _810 _796__2391__804 _858 _721__ 2383 _4774 __767 _802 _900__2469__ 7243 RJay _________________ 698 _787 _831__2316__834 _908 _776__2518 _4834 __724 _765 _853__2342__ 7176 DonSutherland1 ______ 681 _746 _822__2249__800 _838 _732__2370 _4619 __836 _792 _874__2502__ 7121 hudsonvalley21 _______683 _744 _828__2255__708 _842 _775__2325 _4580 __787 _812 _900__2499__ 7079 wxallannj _____________667 _704 _770__2141__672 _810 _800__2282 _4423 __821 _884 _929 __2624__ 7047 Scotty Lightning ______746 _812 _776__2334__653 _762 _772__2187 _4521 __716 _854 _876__2446___6967 RodneyS _____________796 _780 _858__2434__666 _598 _730__1994 _4428__756 _738_1022__2516___6944 Roger Smith __________662 _780 _806__2248__734 _630 _694__2058 _4306__563 _774 _813__2150___6456 wxdude64 ____________710 _758 _756__2224__542_ 652 _612__1706 _4030__708 _778 _938__2422___6452 ----------------- __ Persistence ___(Nov 2025)___ 00 _ 16 _ 10 _026 _ 00 _ 60 _78^_ 138 _164_ 80^_ 80^_ 72 _232 __396 ___ Normal ____________710 _748 _744 __2202 __576 _560 _441__1577__3779 __716 _656 _844__2216__5995 -------------- StormchaserChuck ___585 _624 _662 __1871 __482 _682 _ 587__1751 _ 3622 __667 _698 _687__2052___5674 - - - (10/12) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - prorated total __ 6808 BKViking (10/12) ______ 530 _569 _641 __1740 __582 _728 _546__1856 _3596 __635 _698 _699__2032__ 5628 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - prorated total __6753 Yoda _(4/12) ___________236 _262 _282 __ 780 __ 278 _ 258 _280 __816 _1596 __283 _298 _324 __905__2501 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -- prorated total __7503 maxim (2/12) __________ 180 _ 152 _164 __ 496 ___ 96_ 120 _ 082 __298__ 794 __92 _ 90 _ 135__ 317 ____ 1111 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - prorated total __6666 Ephesians2 _ (2/12) ____ 66 _132 _142 __ 340 ___102 _ 66 _ 120 _ 288 ___628 _ 105 _194 _182 ___481 ____1109 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - prorated total __6654 Persistence ___________496 _602 _714 __1812 ___404 _536 _770 _1710 _3522__628 _680 _816 __2124___5646 __ Best scores __ ^ incl tied for best score * incl 3 - 5 tied for best score ____________________ DCA_NYC_BOS_east_ORD_ATL_IAH_cent__c/e _ DEN_PHX_SEA__west__TOTALS Tom ___________________2 *__ 1^ _ 3^ __ 1 ___4 ___2^ __2^___1 ___2^___0 __ 2 ___2^__ 2___2 _Mar,Jun ___ Consensus _______ 2*__ 0 __ 0 ___0 __ 0 __0 ___ 1 __ 0 __ 0 ___1 ___ 1 ___ 1___ 0___0 so_whats_happening __ 1 *__ 1 __ 0 ___0 ___0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 0 ___1 ___ 2^__ 2^^ _1 ___ 2 ___0 RJay ___________________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___0 ___2^__2^^__3^^__4__ 1 ___ 2^__ 2^*__2^^__1___ 1 _Nov Don Sutherland 1 _______2 *__ 1^__ 1*__ 0 __ 0 __1 ___0 ___ 1 __ 0 ___ 1 __ 1^ __ 0 ___0 ___0 hudsonvalley21 ________ 1 *__ 2^__2 ___1 ___ 1 __ 2 __ 2^ ___0 __ 0 ___2^^__ 1 __ 1 ___ 1 ___0 wxallannj _______________1 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___0 __1^ __ 2 ___ 0 __ 0 ___ 2^ __ 2^__1^___1 ___1 _Dec Scotty Lightning _______ 3^*__1^__ 1^___0 ___0 __1^__ 3 ___ 0 __0 ___ 0 __ 3*___ 1 ___1 ____1 _Sep(t) RodneyS _______________ 1 __ 1 __ 3^ __ 3 ___2 __ 2^ __1^ __ 3___3 ___1 __ 1 ___ 4^___1 ____3 _ May,Aug,Oct Roger Smith ____________2^__5^^__3^__ 3 __ 3 ___3^^__3^^__1___2 ___1^__ 3^^__0 ___1 ____3 _ Feb,Jul,Sep(t) wxdude64 _____________ 2 __ 3^__ 1*___2___0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 0 __1^ __ 2 ___0 __0___ 0 ____1 _ Jan StormchaserChuck _____1 __ 1^__ 1 ____2 ___1^__ 1 ___1 ___ 0 ___1 ___ 0 ___0 __ 2^^__1 ____0 _Apr BKViking _______________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___0 ___0 __ 1 ___0 ___ 2 __ 1 ___1 ___3^^*__0___0___0 ___ Normal ______________3 __ 2 ___1 ___ 1 ___1 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __0 ___ 2 __ 1 __ 1 ___ 0 ___0 maxim __________________ 1 __ 0 __ 1* ___0___0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 __0 ___1 ___ 1 __ 0 ___1 ___0 Ephesians2 _____________ 0 __ 1 __ 0 ___ 0 ___0 __ 0 __ 1 ___ 0 __ 0 ___0 ___0 __ 1 __ 0 __ 0 Mercurial _______________ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ___ 0 ___0 __ 0 __ 1 ___ 0 __ 0 ___0 ___0 __ 0 __ 0 __ 0 ============================== (tie for Consensus or Normal is not a tie for forecaster(s)) (wxallannj has a best forecast for IAH where Mercurial also has one awarded - regular forecaster rule) Extreme forecasts _ 64 of 108 ... 34 for warmest and 30 for coldest ... Jan 1-4, Feb 1-4, Mar 5-0, Apr 6-0, May 2-6, Jun 1-1, Jul 1-1, Aug 1-6, Sep 5-1, Oct 2-3, Nov 5-1, Dec 4-3. (table scoring order is by adjusted totals for ties) (*2 tied, ^3 tied) Forecaster ____________ Jan _Feb _Mar _Apr _May _Jun_Jul _Aug _Sep _Oct_Nov_Dec __ Total___adj for ties Roger Smith ___________ 0-0 _3-1 _ 0-1 _ 1*0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 _1*-0_1*-0_4^-0_0-0_2 *-0_2-0__16-2__11.5 - 2.0 Rodney S ______________ 2-1 _1*-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _3*0 _0-1_0-0 _4-0 _1-0 _1-1 __0-0 _0-0 __ 12-3___11.0 - 3.0 ___ Normal _____________ 1-0 _0-1 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 __ 2-0 _0-1 _1-0 __2-0 _1-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 ___9-2 ___ 9.0 - 2.0 Scotty Lightning _______ 1-0 _0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0_0-0_ 0-1 _3^-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __ 8-1 ____6.5 - 1.0 wxallannj _______________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _1*-0_0-0_0-0 _2*-0_4*-0_ 7-0__ 6.5 - 0.0 wxdude64 ______________1^-0_ 0-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0_0-0 __1-0 _0-1 _ 2*-0 _1-1 _1-0 __ 7-2 ____5.83-2.0 hudsonvalley21 _________1*-0 _0-0 _ 0-0 _ 2-0 _ 1-1 _ 0-0_ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0_2*-0_ 0-0 _0-0 __6-1 ___ 5.0 - 0.0 RJay ____________________0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _2**-0_0-0 _ 0-0_1 *-0_0-0_1*-0_1*-0_3**0_0-0 __8-0 ___4.5-0.0 Stormchaser Chuck ____ 0-0 _0-0 _0-1 _ 4*-2 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0_1*-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __ 5-3 ___ 4.0 - 3.0 Tom ____________________0-0 _0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 2*0 _ 0-0_0-0 _0-0_1*-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __4-0 ___ 3.0 - 0.0 Ephesians2 _____________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0_ 0-0_1-1 _ 2-1 _0-0 __ 3-2 ___ 3.0 - 2.0 maxim __________________1^-0_0-0 _ 2-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _ 0-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __3-0 ___ 2.33-0.0 so_whats_happening ___ 1*-0 _1*-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __0-0_1-0 __0-0 _0-0_0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 __3-0 ___ 2.0 - 0.0 BKViking _______________ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0_1*-0 __2-0 ___1.5 - 0.0 Don Sutherland _________1^-0_ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 1-0 _ 0-0_0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _0-1 _0-0 _0-0 __ 2-1 ____1.33-1.0 Mercurial ______________ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _ 0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0 _0-0_ 1-0 __ 1-0 ____1.0 - 0.0 ^ (note: For Sep wins, Roger Smith and Scotty Lightning tied three, not shown by * symbols but calculated into adjusted scores) =========================================================
  18. since i have young kids, I obviously did not go anywhere tonight (although we had some people over earlier). What were folks watching for the ball drop? I had multiview on (CNN, ABC, CBS, and ESPN). Was pretty cool tbh.
  19. oh well, i'm sure you understand, but ji doesnt have the brainpower to even comprehend it so why even try at this point lol
  20. Was never really a favorable period We were lucky to get so cold in Dec with the pattern, as the NAO had its most negative Winter month out of the last 60 Winter months (since Dec 2010)! -WPO contributed to it, too.
  21. That sounded like Charlie Brown's teacher speaking to him.
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