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What a beautiful day. I'm going to use my "I'm the boss card" and take the afternoon off. I'm meeting a friend for an afternoon hike. It will probably involve a moderate strength edible. Hopefully Thursday is active. I might use my card again and find a good view.
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yeah we're dialed in good
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
@GaWx Is the current MEI rise from March through May actually the biggest rise on record for that index like I’m reading on twitter? I only have the data through 1979 right now -
2.4 earthquake in the Bel Air area around 11am. Didn’t feel anything at my house but places to my east in Balt Co did per Facebook
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Yeah, 49 when the dog took me for an unexpected walk around 6am. I already packed away my sweatshirts. Grabbed a Carhardt out of the closet and ended up sweating lol. Top tier next 7 days except for the frequent rain chances. Rubber band weather.
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Keeping the early 90s grunge theme? Black hole sun??
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super el nino banter thread
A-L-E-K replied to forkyfork's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
this super will be beginning of the end for the ole easternuswx weenie set -
I think it's one of those days where satellite is lying everywhere. There's more black than white on vis looping yet I'm getting something like 1/4th sun per hour
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0.35” here, only 0.45” for the month. Beautiful outside.
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Seems to be a wall at the Appalachian Mountains. Some SC peeps on X are gnashing their teeth. They'll get some storms and wind but it literally blows over. Slower moving rain and systems are here on our side. Thursday looks like more of the same. Big ol' slug of moisture will come up from the Gulf. Some hints of even a LLJ into the Tennessee Valley. After some good rain around here the system speeds up and fills over the Carolinas with lower QPF that way. We still have a long way to go on our own drought. I suppose we'll make more progress later this week. My lawn seems perfectly fine now.
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We usually get hit with these setups after sundown as they wane and have turned into basically windbags. Hard to get good sups this far east after April/early May. This may be the last chance before full on ridge riding shrimp season comes in around the 4th. There was a funnel cloud reported that I could've seen from my back porch with the last one (briefly touched down as an EF0 off to my east). Still a lot of if's. I'll have my bicycle ready lol
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67.7° with a cloud street perfectly aligned to block the sun.
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Not to overstep or bypass your statement. It is interesting that the single one year overshot so far. More on that in a moment... For me, the bigger story is that despite that record holding as long as it has, the year-to-year deltas since have in total averaged negative. In fact, an aspect that's been going on for decades prior to 2012 for that matter. Global ice, not just sea ice, began receding around 1850 - altho it's accelerated notably since 2000. So, a rather low bar of intelligence can infer we are at risk of another plummet at any time. However, I think what 2012, and the 2023 (unilateral atmospheric/sea-temperature coupled explosion of thermal imbalance) both implicate is troubling: the global climate system is capable of moving in unpredictable thrusts. Not in a steady, predictable, thus easier to plan and adapt, linear ascent. Even though 2023 seemed to cause a pause, followed by flurry of pimped out memes, there nothing in the climate reconstructions that suggests that wouldn't happen. I mean geological history is not smooth nor a predictable practice. So epistemically it should never be a surprise to anyone. When's the next thrust?
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bummer but i'm ok with some comma head boomers and a miss south on the windy stuff gonna boost our state tor numbers either way, looking to run away with the title in 2026?
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What island?
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What a picture perfect day. I am off work because of our new addition. Sitting in the yard with a coffee on a Monday with blue skies hits.
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My weather stations rain gauge is broken. Assuming the same here you are close
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
TheClimateChanger replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Just a heads-up, as I’ve seen this chart making the rounds: -
Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mappy replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Did anyone catch the rotation on a cell in southern York county last night? 830ish? The cell ended up being warned as it moved east but should have been warned before that IMO -
E PA/NJ/DE Summer 2026 Obs/Discussion
soadforecasterx replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ended up with 1.17" last night, hopefully we dont go another 2 week before we get rain again. - Today
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Will be in the Caribbean next week can’t wait. Although I’m enjoying the fresh air today.
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Just give me 90, dews, and the beach. Sometimes I wonder if I should just build a rum hut on some beach and sell hemp necklaces.
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.3something and the sun today will quickly get rid of it
