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Interesting because 2015 and 1997 had similar strong 7/8 in March to 23. OTOH, the strong to super Ninos of 1982, 1991, and 2009 didn’t while the weak 2014 did: 2014 had strong 7/8 but ended up very weak Nino:

Thanks for providing great information as to why a super Nino isn’t a slam dunk like twitter believes it to be.

Updated annual average temperatures for suburban Chester County PA vs the PHL Airport....UHI FTW!

Found this little sapling growing under my deck. I am guessing its eastern red cedar? Can any of you tree guys confirm? Think I am going to try and move it out into the yard somewhere if it is.

Updated annual average temperatures for suburban Chester County PA vs the PHL Airport....UHI FTW!

Updated through 2025 - who knows why PHL is warming so much faster than non-UHI spots at airports??

let's get one of those beastly western ridges to flex up this way

0z Euro still showing the noticable changes we talked about a few days ago.

The strength of the of westerlies will fluctuate over the next week but it is more so the actual motion and presence that are the more important factors, showing things have at least started to change. As of now it looks like the MJO and the westerlies are not in tandem, MJO seems to be front running but if MJO slows or westerlies speed up they will be much more connected which could mean we have finally reached the point where things really start to get going with the Nino event. Time will tell

Chilling our past will always helps support climate alarmism....

Yup, good until Labor Day.

Definitely can! I think that the timing isn't good for most of us, although there appears to be a signal for some earlier storms dropping southeast into northeastern MD.

March 21 1953: A tornado hits the northern St. Cloud area. High winds from thunderstorms are experienced from Martin to Stearns County. For Saturday, March 21, 2026 1932 - A tornado swarm occurred in the Deep South. Between late afternoon and early the next morning severe thunderstorms spawned 31 tornadoes in Alabama, Mississippi, Georgia and Tennessee. The tornadoes killed 334 persons and injured 1784 others. Northern Alabama was hardest hit. Tornadoes in Alabama killed 286 persons and caused five million dollars damage. (David Ludlum) 1952 - Severe thunderstorms spawned thirty-one tornadoes across Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, Mississippi, Alabama and Kentucky. The tornadoes killed 343 persons and caused 15 million dollars damage. Arkansas and Tennessee each reported thirteen tornadoes. The towns of Judsonia AR and Henderson TN were nearly wiped off the map in what proved to be the worst tornado outbreak of record for Arkansas. A tornado, one and a half miles wide at times, left a church the only undamaged building at Judsonia. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1987 - A winter storm in the Northern High Plains Region produced blizzard conditions in western South Dakota. Winds gusted to 70 mph at Rapid City SD, and snowfall totals ranged up to 20 inches at Lead SD. The high winds produced snow drifts six feet high. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Bitterly cold weather prevailed across the northeastern U.S. Portland ME reported their coldest spring day of record with a morning low of 5 above, and an afternoon high of just 21 degrees. Marquette MI reported a record low of 15 degrees below zero. (The National Weather Summary) (The Weather Channel) 1989 - Snow blanketed the northeastern U.S. early in the day, with six inches reported at Rutland VT. Morning and afternoon thunderstorms produced large hail and damaging winds from southwestern Mississippi to southwest Georgia. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1990 - The first full day of spring was a cold one for the eastern U.S. Freezing temperatures damaged 62 percent of the peach crop in upstate South Carolina, and 72 percent of the peach crop in the ridge area of South Carolina. Elkins WV, which a week earlier reported a record high of 82 degrees, was the cold spot in the nation with a morning low of 16 degrees. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

At least the rain busted last night . Don’t need any for a long time

Both were punctuated by early season heatwaves: 2001-02 in mid-April and 2011-12 in March.

They've been right about March, though.

-5 persistence in DJF to +2 persistence in March. I’ll take it.

Jealous

They’re referring to the 12z euro yesterday.

it's all or nothing and wholly sun dependent ... either it's sunny and 60, or clouds and wet at 37 seems the models are trying for another incremental step out around the 1st of the month. .. 10 days I guess of soothing cat paws to the napes in between fake warm coffee breaks.

You only need to go back one page in this discussion to read about the setup.

Should’ve wore your gloves!

Signs of a return to action in the extended?

Yeah 52 here already and sunny. What a green up underway as well. Going to pull weeds that are already coming up in the rocks under my deck today.

very windy my hands were cold..