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It's sne..

For the next 2 weeks or so, storms passing north of us with warm fronts/cold fronts fairly fast moving with a cool pool of air aloft and big upper low over the Great Lakes. This pattern can produce outbreaks of severe weather for us if things time out right and we get into (however briefly) the warm sector. I think the pattern locks into a steamy summer pattern around June 28th give or take a day or two or three. Things will change as we know. WX/PT

The severe risk completely busted in NC today

Lost power about 1915 when the line went through. The wind/rain was blindingly heavy for just a few mins, but that was enough to cause havoc. Was a surreal event to see even for an old fart like me who has seen a lot. Power is still out atm ivo much of Vienna/Oakton. Crew hasn't even been dispatched yet on our specific outage, which is impacting 510 customers. Getting a crew dispatched is the first step to get beyond the "pending investigation" status. We'll be lucky if service is restored by sunrise. It was very odd how the power went out this time. Normally the transformers try to reset up to 3 times before kicking off for good (according to the VA Power lineman). In this case, the power went off/on several times and then flickered very bad for several minutes in unison with the typical "boom" from the transformers; before I shut off the service at the main breakers to protect electronics. We've never experienced that sort of service shutdown before. We're still on generator power to run the basics. Still trying to convince my wife it's time for a whole-house auto-start system. With the frequency in how often we lose power I'm about ready to invest in a proper system. We're on well and septic and the surge of 220VAC well pump is the main drain on our 9500 watt generator. Currently 35,000 customers out on Dominion's outage site.

And moist adiabatic lapse rates to 550 mb...EEECH!!

So I did a little easy "experiment." Using CoCoRaHS sites, I got Y-T-D totals for the 3 sites closest to Logan. Chelsea, Somerville, and Nahant. Chelsea - 15.26" Somerville - 12.72" Nahant - 12.55" And BOS? 10.79" Again, taking climate information at face value has its issues. The excuse here? "Oh, we have to use it b/c it is official!" So? Just b/c it is official does not mean it is correct/right. That's the appeal to authority logical fallacy. Equipment/standards/practices are not perfect, so calling such out is not wrong.

Another pathetic typical southern wake co night..Midwest gets blasted again....snow t storms...snow t storms...snow t storms...yawn So much for thunderstorms tonight...why am I surprised?

This cold front is glorious! I’m sitting out back at midnight with Mrs. Blizz enjoying the refreshing breeze with the lower dew point…& a cold beverage.

playing contrarian a bit since everyone's generally "Top 10'er day Coc"

repeat. top 10 night out there

Sunday still looking very good on the 00Z CAMs. Disagreement on whether storms fire early on the pre-frontal trough or wait for the actual front later, but the shear is massively improved from what we've had the past few days.

EMA may have the best shot at 90 tomorrow. Might fall a degree or two short here.

93 again...heatwave

Saw two separate storm reports of 83mph winds just south of US50 through the Annapolis area. Looked like the main cell went just south of the 50 corridor from Parole to the Bay Bridge. I’m just north of that and didn’t get anything severe level, but lost power maybe 5 minutes ahead of the storm - based on outaged 2-3 substations on Broadneck probably all lost power, like a tree (or trees) down nesr the naval academy or along St Margaret’s Rd. Where the feed lines for the substations go. 0904 PM Marine Tstm Wind 7 ESE Cape St. Claire 38.99N 76.34W 06/12/2026 M83 mph ANZ532 MD Mesonet 0904 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 3 S Cape St. Claire 39.00N 76.45W 06/12/2026 M75 mph Anne Arundel MD Mesonet 0844 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 1 SE Parole 38.98N 76.54W 06/12/2026 M83 mph Anne Arundel MD Mesonet

A couple things to note. The readings were taken in the city before Logan was built, so that's one factor. Prior to 1980, the temps were taken tucked back a bit near the WSFO, and since, the sensors have been located in the middle of the runways solidly surrounded 3 sides by water. This is going to result in upward trend in dews long-term. Another factor, going to from glass to digital thermometers. Digital can record instantaneous quick temp/dew changes. ASOS is supposed to do 5-min avg to mitigate this. It is known that digital temps run a bit warm compared to glass thermometers overall. Not sure about dews, but it is something to consider. ASOS is considered accurate as long as the temp sensor is within +- 2 F. Not sure about its dew sensors, but yet another thing to consider. A margin of error here would suggest that the approx 1 F dew rise since 1995 when the ASOS was installed at BOS can not be considered statistically significant. How does the increasing heat island effect over time impact BOS dews? As you can see, there are a number of non-meteorological factors that have zero to do w/ climate or its changes that can and do give false trends either way. You can't just simply take climate records over long period of time at face value due to factors mentioned above. So I would use caution w/ small trends over many decades and longer.

The price he pays for having nearly 177k posts! I didn't make ACATT.

damn - the USA is looking good.

The problem gets worse each year once the trees leaves full bloom.

Just went for a walk, 80's accompanied with ripe low 70's dews! Literally perfect

The predicted rain and storms were indeed a total flop here. Not sure what's causing the bad bad model misses this spring and early summer.

No one cares to fix it. I suggest you get over it and move on. Its been a decade plus of bad temps and horrible measurements.

The timing Sunday looks awfully late...not good. Was a bit shocked to see the risk for for east with the D3. Was kind of hoping maybe we would start seeing some faster timing but 0z NAM is even slower

Silent A/C needed for another night. Down to 70/68. Nothing about it is refreshing outside. Inside is a dry 65F.