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Gfs is a Loudoun Special. I’m back in.

Could be a hot summer nationwide with such dry soils everywhere

You said it was fools gold but then said the NWS was wrong and the CAD was underdone. But if the CAD was underdone then it gives more credence to the Euro AI solution vs the rainier physics based model solutions. Your two posts together make no sense. Lastly, the Euro AI has the highest verification scores on the planet right now. So your comment about it not being ready for primetime makes no sense to me either.

colorado is desperate for snow and warm....

Does AI understand we have glaciers hanging around and accounts for that (colder temp) or it has nothing to do with it and I'm a idiot? 33F

nj.com has a piece today on the lack of rain; north jersey is under drought conditions. they need the snow to melt and feed the reservoirs. and we need rain, snow, sleet whatever we can get...

can you put your profile picture back man, sorry but i don't like this one

HAARP

Wow

Yep. Gfs isnt good with phasing.

Like @psuhoffmansaid it's probably a 20% chance, there is definitely a chance it's just not a great chance. In the past having the Euro and GFS in your camp almost guaranteed it.

naw have to reproduce more some how

It wouldn’t be shocking—but if you look at the soundings, we’re barely isothermal, which leaves us no room for error.

It’s better than 12zee

The front end on 12/5 produced for almost everyone north of I-195 and there was so much optimism for the next day when it became the big coastal storm, but like you said it was like Swiss cheese with winners and losers. In Long Beach it was okay to decent but it could’ve been way better had the Swiss cheese holes not happened.

You have neither standards, or a moral compass. I hipe you at least wear protection when violating these dirty ensemble members.

The smell of yager bombs and puke walking out of the restroom at Sissy Ks, we'll take the 4 left abandoned by her hotter friends (maybe 6s)

Which is funny considering the bouncing around pretty much every model has been doing with this system, which we've been tracking for approximately six years. Except maybe the UKMET.

If it's the Euro, GFS along with the AI models it definitely raises an eyebrow. We're only 3 days out now. This may actually happen.

looking at the GFS I'm willing to bet the GEFS have some north members at 18z

Yep I was thinking I’d end up with maybe 4-5” after so much was wasted to sleet/rain and that saved it.

Nice melting today

Even she senses the desperation and declines...

The lack of replies shows how well the GFS is regarded

10 pm