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Apparently Sunday is a isolated threat?
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85/71/90 this aftrn. Muggy. Hoping for stms later. Lake is getting warmer. The light SSW wind today (5-15 mph) bringing in some Lake air, but not really affecting temps as much now. 10C/50F offshore to 16C/61F down near DLH. Still cool, but warmer air is able to overwhelm near lake surface air temp easier now.
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2026 Spring/Summer Mountain Thread
franklin NCwx replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Feels like fall today! -
Civil, over rainfall totals, General.
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Confirmed tornado hits Madison County according to the survey damage by the NWS. https://wlos.com/news/local/tornado-weather-western-north-carolina-storms-madison-county-ef0-wind-rain-damage-flooding-severe-wnc-warning-national-community-nws-meteorologists-summer-noaa?fbclid=IwdGRjcATYr61leHRuA2FlbQIxMQBzcnRjBmFwcF9pZAwzNTA2ODU1MzE3MjgAAR43g0vdv8HZ29w7O6ZOgNdG7JXG4ev0InBQaVObU2zrxKpC8zD9uDo_LIAPEQ_aem_casHDbmmg0Su4Oc2YZYfdA
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Of course! Still, nothing falling from the sky, even though we’re all dead?
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Laurentide ice sheet
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Are the “white” places getting nothing this winter?!
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Iran has missiles that reach here?
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not sure what you're referring to here. Bluewave just made a good post, showing not a 5 degree difference in the July map, but 180 degrees, opposite. Even if we correlate with cooler conditions for a short time, I don't know that it will sustain. LR CPC outlooks are warm. -
Need it to move north 600 miles to be 100% accurate.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Oh absolutely. And feel the same way about the Pacific timing, I agree. -
Ultimate Grand Slam on an 0-2 count. Amazing.
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High of 90. Dew points in the mid 60's for July is amazing. Feels great in the shade.
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Part of this is because these ensembles are not very good at spotting troughs in the summer. They tend to over smooth. I think the N Pac will begin to organize by late August/early September. -
2.75” for this event up to 9.96” for the month
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Do you mean El Niño possibly carrying over like 1957-8/1958-9? That’s the closest I could find followed perhaps by 1940-1/1941-2. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
EasternLI replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Yeah noticed that too, near mid August is the target date to me for maybe something like that to start to show up. AI-ENS on board too and has been. Didn't really look like the standard EPS was as interested as that yesterday. Maybe that idea is starting to gain a little traction. -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I think he’s referring to the GLAAM. Nonetheless, I’m sure I’ll wake up to another 10 posts here tomorrow about how it’s 5 degrees in longitude off from some height anomaly map from a century ago so it’s not el niño. - Today
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2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The entire decade of the 1980’s was in the last -AMO cycle. It went from the tail end of the 1970’s to the mid-1990’s. The current +AMO cycle took over in 1995 -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
I wouldn't call a little -0.25 area on a 324hr map "El Nino taking over the Hemisphere". -
2026-2027 Super El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Classic El Niño forcing is taking over the Northern Hemisphere. ++GLAAM
