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A truly fascinating article on the development of a new AI model using data assimilation from this startups own balloon data network. https://techcrunch.com/2026/06/01/this-ai-weather-startup-is-out-forecasting-government-agencies/

No drought here

Yep, we can’t get a weekend with both days having nice weather of late. Have to enjoy Saturday before it goes to hell again.

Horrific.

June 2 1945: Snow and sleet pile up to 4.5 inches at Tower. 1898: Heavy rain falls across Minnesota. Just over 7 inches is reported at Pine River Dam. For Tuesday, June 2, 2026 1889 - A great flood on the Potomac River in Washington D.C. took out a span of Long Bridge, and flooded streets near the river. The flood stage reached was not again equaled until 1936. (David Ludlum) 1917 - The temperature at Tribune, KS dipped to 30 degrees to establish a state record for the month of June. (The Weather Channel) 1949 - A tornado northeast of Alfalfa OK circled an area one mile in radius. (The Weather Channel) 1985 - Lightning struck a house, broke a bedroom window, and jumped to a metal frame bed. A man was killed but his wife was unharmed by the lightning. (The Weather Channel) (Note: Guess his pole wasn't grounded that night. Yeah, OK, bad joke) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned seven tornadoes in West Texas and six tornadoes in Illinois. Thunderstorms in Illinois produced wind gusts to 70 mph at McComb and Mattoon. Thunderstorms in southern Texas produced 5.5 inches of rain south of Seguin, and up to eight inches of rain in Washington County. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Severe thunderstorms in Texas and Oklahoma produced hail more than three inches in diameter near Stilwater OK, and softball size hail in Jones County of north central Texas. Baseball size hail and 70 mph winds caused an estimated 100 million dollars damage around Abilene TX. (National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather across much of the south central U.S. through most of the day and night. Thunderstorms spawned a dozen tornadoes, and there were 123 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorm winds gusted to 78 mph at Russell KS, and baseball size hail was reported at Denver CO, Cuthbert TX, and in Reeves County TX. Afternoon thunderstorms in southern New England produced wind gusts to 120 mph at Fitchburg, MA, causing five million dollars damage. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

It’s like a bear safari around here. This guy was just chilling on the shoulder grazing away this morning. Much bigger than the one last night.

Try finding something else here. https://psl.noaa.gov/data/getpage/ It's going to take time to redo stuff. I emailed them earlier this year, and they are understaffed, especially from retirements.

Sunday looking wet now

Latest CFS DJF fits super Nino climo well unlike what Cansips is still showing, which may be related to it having Modoki: CFS DJF: looks like what one would expect with super-Nino: Cansips DJF: still looks off but may be due to it having Modoki

Cansips is still going full Modoki unlike Euro and CFS. But I think it may have a Modoki bias based on at least one previous year. Latest Cansips DJF has warmest SST anomalies over W region 3.4/region 4: (**corrected** as I had region 3 typo) *Edited for typo

The truth is probably in the middle. Some nice warmth and less Labrador azz going forward, but true summer is still being blocked to our SW.

Its now been a week of blue skies wall to wall, soaking that in. This is the sunniest stretch of wx in years; I don't have data on the last time but it reminds me of mid Jun 2020, and I think before the awful smoke summer of '23 there was a very sunny period in Apr. Lows fairly cool tho. I may have overperformed Mon getting to 25C.

Cold crew is reeling with the shit pattern behind us. Nothing left to troll

why are you using 1am besides, trolling obviously

Last 12 month precip here was 33.03". That's a good 15" below normal.

62° / 45° about as good as it gets.

I think anyone would with the low dew points.

Huh, imagine that. Unusually warm temps. And before anyone replies with comments about May's weather, there was plenty of complaining about how cold it was in April. It really wasn't.

Take this

As an anecdotal note, I think the run of "bad luck" for the east coast has come to an end and feel like we are starting to more efficiently cash in for a while. Just a hunch.

Next week there’s a propensity for troughing to our south that may even cut off. You’re not gonna get big heat from that either. You need to flush this pattern out and replace that trough south of us with some ridging and get a trough in the plains or especially Ohio Valley.

Maybe as a trough develops in the plains, we can pump up the dews a little bit in the long range, but I don’t see really big heat or dews right now.

I remember HM mentioning awhile ago that the 97-98 season came extremely close to a KU for the NE/Mid atlantic. I keep stressing that a 97-98 redux does not automatically mean “guaranteed low snow season” even for DC/PHL/NY.

Oh sorry, Wunderground yeah, but that was for MVY

Don't worry. We have some Saharan dust heading our way. That may tide you over.