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this event is not set in stone yet 4 days out - the main player in this event is the HP to the north if that is weaker than progged and starts moving east or north the precip shield will be further north

Started a thread for Sunday. Thinking this could trend to an advisory event, 12z GFS notwithstanding.

Beat me once more - only 0.8" here, 40:1 from little feathers.

Only worry is will it accumulate well on roads after 45 and sun Saturday

42 here

wind direction in NJ will determine the high temps - even if any east wind develops along the coast in NJ there will be a wide range of temps

The guidance has shown an increasing signal for another brief period of snow in this fast flow pattern, this time on Sunday. Today's GFS was the most robust yet. This looks well timed with an intrusion of cold from Canada. Could we be trending toward an advisory level event? Discuss

hair dryer

It really dampens the wave around 90-96 hours. It doesn't eject enough energy, most of it hangs back, the wave dies with no mid and upper level support at all as it slides east.

So uhh…winter grades? Or we still waiting?

Couple of cherrypicked comments, last addressed first: I thought the OV blizzard had pressure down close to 950 mb, the lowest on record for a non-tropical storm in the eastern US. 957 would tie CAR's mark in the 2/2/76 southeast gale. 1978 appears to have a significantly larger footprint. PHL had 14.1" and NYC 17.7", in the same range as 2/26 though some NNJ points did get a lot more in 2026. To the north, the Farmington (Maine) co-op recorded 22.0" from the 1978 storm. That co-op ended reports in 2022 but a cocorahs observer had 0.5" in the recent blizzard and my site 6 miles to the east of there had only 0.2".

it's all for fun, i'm consistent though i never miss a day of forecast!

You can have this one. I'll take the one the first week of April. Lol

I do believe we are seeing the beginning signs of truly colder winters like in the 70’s had. Record temps & a lot of snow is now happening all over the globe these last 2-3 winters. I could be way wrong but the last 3 winters we have had some really cold weather for at least a couple of weeks. This winter to me has been really cold compared to past winters. We shall see, one can hope!

Yeah, you and I both like to round off, but, that 37 ft. can be the difference between 6 inches and 15 inches........ Just joshing!!!! Yes, I rounded off Wintergreen to 3000 when actuality says 2512 - 3515. Holly River in central W.Va. that reported 22.5 inches Sunday is only 2211 ft. Have you ever hiked to the top of Elliot? That's quite a climb from 688. Not quite so much from Hite Hollow. Well, I gotta run and start brainstorming Mondays threat. I go to press at 4 pm. Gotta chase that 90% from 4 days out.

I’ll tell ya right now. It’s trash

It's headed back north with the last frame.

RGEM did not look like it was going to be suppressed at 84 hours. Guess we will see with the GGEM soon

Thank you for the intro good sir. With great honor I accept my 6" of digital snow and bare ground award on Monday.

You have to admire the dedication to the con. I mean, all the heavy equipment they used to construct 12 foot tall snow piles all around Newport. They should have just used a leaf blower.

Cue up the Benny Hill music

Oh how I've missed thee, GFS fantasy land storms

Just read a comment from MillvilleWx in the MA thread that expectations need to be in check for early next week - top end amounts will be in the 2-4" range at best, and that's for those who are in the bullseye. He admitted he's not invested in it and he is moving on to spring.