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What a weird system. Very narrow area that may do ok.

I’m more worried about tucking and a NE/interior event. Models sometimes underplay strengths of shortwaves headed from Colorado region. On the plus side the 50/50 is timed absolutely perfectly. I’m still at the “what could go wrong” stage. This is why we play the game though ha. Cautiously extremely excited, those 6z ai runs were pure porn

Pretty sure there was a parade of kickers in that one. While this may be out to sea, this is a different setup.

You really can’t compare the two worst posters here with a smart, degrees met. We look up to the met, we have faith in him. He and he alone is responsible for the failure or success of this storm. His very membership is on the line.

94-95 being warm and virtually snowless (with the exception of February), despite being a moderate el nino, shows how things were screwed up after Pinatubo. 92-93 was the backloaded winter with the Storm of the Century in mid-March, while 93-94 and 95-96 were wall-to-wall cold and snowy.

Okay how’s this: Its coming. All 3 events are going to crush us!

Looks like some inversion tendencies coupled with snow melt and evaporation leading to higher concentrations of fine particulate matter during the mornings and early afternoons. Moderate levels expected, so nothing too crazy, but some localized maxima are certainly plausible in the AM. https://mde.maryland.gov/programs/air/airqualitymonitoring/pages/aqforecast.aspx

I’m not wrong though. That’s what’s happened

Plenty of caution flags listening to you tell us about them.

Dude you’re ruining my snowgasm lol

I could see tomorrow too being a case where the radar returns are much stronger than ground truth because of the degree of bright banding we'll see taking place.

looking forward to this much-needed rain

He already porked WOR starting this, Lets see who else is screwed.

Maybe the hills near Union, Woodstock, and Stafford; Tolland might see a coating

I was thinking yesterday someone could probably pull off 3-4-5" but I don't see that happening now. I mean I'm sure someone in the Berks will do it way up but looking around at forecast soundings on the 12z NAM...they absolutely blow. Much of the precip type tomorrow is probably going to be rain (we'll say rain showers because the intensities overall probably not heavy outside of a narrow area) with some sleet pellets mixing in...and some areas will bounce around between like 70-30 or 80/20 mixture and you'll probably have to get into the hills to get some mangled snow flakes mixing in.

If you haven’t banned grey hat or rev yet he’s probably safe lol

I could see that but think 1-3” might be better as of now

Feb up here so far has been garbage, Need these systems to get further north, Would like to see this next one track over Ack this weekend.

No pressure, but I won’t hesitate to ban a met. Good luck.

Earth shattering post from you

Whatever model local Mets were showing this morning had a pretty decent switch over to snow although they all hedged and said it was way overdone with that aspect

Relatively low impact. Not like the rates will be high. DPWs won't have much issue

12z isn’t the end all be all but it’s going to be interesting to see how we trend