All Activity

The cell that popped up over me ladt night dropped a nice 1/4" of rain. All the plants look alive today. Nice cool breeze.

If the HRRR is to be trusted... just like most of our other threats... peters out at game time

It looks like an attempt at some early activity during the 1:30 pm to 3:00 pm period, probably not strong or widespread, followed by a more significant early / mid evening cluster... Lots of folks looking for a perfect forecast from an imperfect science related to thunderstorm initiation & intensity.

Indeed! That 11AM 95 at RDU is along with Rocky Mount, NC, the hottest of ALL major reporting stations in the SE. 24 hours ago, RDU was “only” 90 and Rocky Mt was 91.

Tell me more.

Yes to all...

30% wind probs again today Nothing last night imby other than some drizzle. Not measurable though. Cool light show though.

Already to 87 here

The RRFS did well yesterday for sure. In fact, some of the extended HRRR runs from the previous day hinted at that evolution and progression too. I would not be surprised if some of the guidance is underdone today as well. I think what helped yesterday was the cells which fired developed a strong cold pool and that helped the cluster materialize. I don't believe CAMs are great at picking up on that and I would not be surprised if we saw similar today. Also it looks like there are some residual outflow boundaries from yesterday as well.

The Blue Angels have two upcoming shows in Maryland. Expect an increase in these activities across DC/Baltimore/Annapolis for the 250th events. https://www.blueangels.navy.mil/show/

Good luck with the forecast. Most of the Meso models are showing activity around 18z.

noting we've been put in a SLGT for Sunday as well by SPC

Also - looking out ahead - the NAM twins are fairly bullish for Sunday at range.

Good luck, hopefully you will see some activity, the traffic on I 84 could be a tough go especially around the Fishkill, ny area and the Newburgh Beacon bridge. The area around Brewster, Poughkeepsie, Fishkill, has had some good past activity with storms.

Depending on the eventual Cu field I think RDU is on track for around 103 today. 95F as of the 11am observation.

Monitoring and handling several outdoor high school graduation ceremonies across western CT today; and am wary of my districts near the NY/CT border region... Always a tough call since folks want to know hours in advance whether or not a cell is going to go directly over the event area! Lol. Yesterday we had to send and keep folks in their cards for an extended period until cells cleared the area and lightning was at least 10 miles away... Nerve-wracking as hell... I will monitor your page for any local obs of interest out in that area today... I thought the RRFS did the best job yesterday and is the most bullish again today... not my favorite model, but it appeared to have the best handle on things late yesterday.

June 12 1917: The ice pack finally breaks up on Lake Superior near Duluth, one of the latest ever 'ice out' dates on record. For Friday, June 12, 2026 1881 - Severe thunderstorms spawned more than half a dozen tornadoes in the Lower Missouri Valley. Five of the tornadoes touched down near Saint Joseph MO. In south central Kansas a tornado nearly wiped out the town of Floral. Hail and high winds struck Iowa and southern Minnesota. In Minnesota, Blue Earth City reported five inches of rain in one hour. (David Ludlum) 1947 - A heavy wet snow blanketed much of southern and central Wyoming, and gave many places their heaviest and latest snow of record. Totals included 18.4 inches at Lander, 8.7 inches at Cheyenne, and 4.5 inches at Casper. (11th-12th) (The Weather Channel) 1969 - Record late season snows covered parts of Montana. Five inches was reported at Great Falls and east of Broadus. Billings, MT, tied their June record with lows of 32 degrees on the 12th and the 13th. (The Weather Channel) 1983 - The state of Utah was beseiged by floods and mudslides. Streets in downtown Salt Lake City were sandbagged and turned into rivers of relief. The town of Thistle was completely inundated as a mudslide made a natural dam. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms in Nebraska produced softball size hail around Fremont and Ames, and 3.5 inches of rain in less than one hour. Four and a half inches in less than an hour caused flooding around Ithica, NE. A tornado destroyed a mobile home near Broken Bow, NE, injuring both occupants. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Fifteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date, including Asheville with a reading of 40 degrees. Drought conditions continued to intensify across the eastern half of the nation. Rainfall at Nashville, TN, was running 12.5 inches below normal. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather from Tennessee Valley to the Central Appalachians in the afternoon and evening, and produced severe weather in Oklahoma and Texas during the evening and night. Thunderstorms spawned ten tornadoes, and there were 164 reports of large hail and damaging winds. Thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 100 mph at Amarillo, TX, and wind gusts to 110 mph at Denton TX. Hail three inches in diameter was reported at Tucumcari NM. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 2005 - A tornado in Hammond, Wisconsin damaged 22 homes and produced $3.6 million in damage (Associated Press). Observances: 12 Fri National Loving Day 12 Fri Democracy Day 12 Fri National Button Battery Awareness Day 12 Fri National Great Dane Day 12 Fri National Jerky Day 12 Fri National Peanut Butter Cookie Day 12 Fri Peace Day 12 Fri Raggedy Ann and Andy Day 12 Fri Pulse Night of Remembrance 12 Fri Superman Day 12 Fri World Day Against Child Labor

Same here. I'm home alone, and hopefully the thunderstorms are out of the way before sunset, so I can go on a late night swim. Tomorrow is perfect weather. Can cut the grass and go for a late night swim home alone.

0.37” with the rain last night. Hopefully we can get some more today. Morning showers have moved on and the sun is poking thru now. A bunch of of the Meso models are showing activity for us around 6pm tonight.

Can't imagine the damage throughout the area down there. I think I'll stay near the Lake.

I saw on reddit that it was the blue angels, tho I didn't catch it. Practice for the 4th, perhaps?

Your lemon is now a banana.

0.02" from yesterday's passing shower. Going to be a nice day in the 70's.

maybe even Ridgefiled, CT might not be a bad go to area today

1. The RDU area has some of the driest soils in the SE. So, that’s affecting the current/recent temps for the entire RDU area, not just RDU, itself. 2. The RDU sensor, itself, over the years (not drought related) has been hotter than surrounding major stations supposedly due to the configuration of the station as has been discussed here and at other places.