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Tomorrow through Monday will see highs reach the upper 70s and lower 80s. It could turn somewhat warmer to end August and start September. However, no excessive heat appears likely through the remainder of August and into the opening days of September. Some showers and thundershowers are possible Sunday night into Monday morning and again on Wednesday and Thursday. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +4.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.6°C for the week centered around August 19. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.87°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +2.43°C. The ongoing strong El Niño, which has reached super El Niño threshold, will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -7.95 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.169 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 74% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.9° (0.2° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.7° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value.

Rambling in this ideal wx

3.77" here in PWM for Jul/Aug total. Unfortunately, that includes the 1" I recorded in only 10 minutes on the 13th (1.19" event total).

Hopefully it’s not 42 rain CAD in winter. With massive Nino , it’s possible

That's excessive for me too. I experienced 116 out in the desert and it was way too much. I think 110 and higher is too much. It feels like being stung with burning needles. When JFK had a heat index of 117 on back to back days in 2019 I think it was although the high was only 99 on both days that was too much. I'm fine with 103 degrees and 30 percent humidity but not 99 degrees and 50 percent humidity. The hottest I've experienced in NY is 103 I dont buy those 106-107 degrew temperatures reported on the south shore of Nassau county the last two summers. The houses are just too close together and there's way too much traffic to accurately report temperature, I learned that after relocating here and having 2 acres of land to properly place weather sensors I'm always within a degree or two of Mount Pocono even though I'm south of there and over 300 feet lower in elevation. I experienced July 1977 in Manhattan when it hit 104 but was too young to remember it, all I remember from that summer is being scared during the big blackout and all the police sirens. Although I have issues with how the heat index is calculated because I hated the 81 degrees with a dew point of 81 in June 1996 during a supposedly cool summer the heat index was only 93 but it felt more like 113 to me. My big problem with this summer are all the stuck fronts and cutoff nonsense that's not normal for us. I'd like either hot and sunny or cool and sunny. If fronts are going to come in they should just keep moving. I love my pristine blue skies just like we had today. Next week looks like a humid disgusting sky nightmare again.

Yeah...like I said this morning, we get a little wedgie up here. 9 months of CAD hell incoming.

Lots of dews SOP overall there . Take

Most folks here love the muggy meter!

First fall like day had a low of 47 here at 7 am this morning and a high of 73 at 4 pm pristine blue skies. First 40s here since June.

Well you’re in the Mid Atlantic.

Absolute stunning day out on Buzzards Bay. Calm, blue skies, light breeze. Spent a lot of the afternoon exploring some of the inlets and tidal rivers. This however, is looking towards Old Silver Beach.

Da da da da da It's the motherfuckin Weather W-I-Z

For a couple of nights around 9/11 two strong light beams will be lit on the summit of Mt Washington. Similar to what they do in NYC. This will be an interesting experiment to view. Supposedly, the beams will reach 3 or 4 miles into the sky. I wonder how far they will be able to be seen? Of course this all depends on weather. It could be a cloudy stretch and no one will be able to see anything. It could also be clear with good visibility. I don't know if the beams will be the same strength as NYC but I guess those could be seen from around 60 miles away. So adding the extra mile of elevation I assume these beams will be seen at least that far away. The one interesting caveat is that years ago on one of the overnight Eco tours they had I was able to spend a nighton the summit. A coastal storm was forming way down the coast and New England had a high cirrus layer. I could make out the glow on the underside of the cirrus from Boston to the south to Montreal to the northwest. So my assumption is that the best condition would be a very high overcast at 20 or 30,000 feet. Then perhaps the glow could be seen throughout much of New England?

Yeah you live in the tropics

Is there not a Winter outlook on the forum?

Well said. I'm sure some up North will be lighting kindling soon.. but down this way the muggy meter is still rocking. I think many will be taken off guard when dews return..

Fastest summer of my life. I’m sure it doesn’t get any better.

Can confirm. It was brisk up in Bretton Woods this morning. The season's do be a'changin'. Swamp maples starting to change up there. Slightest hint of color on the hills. Some poor moose got taken down just beyond Alex's driveway. Massive female on the side of the road up there - amazing that there wasn't any other signs of damage from a vehicle. Celebrated our anniversary with a full moon dinner atop Bretton Woods but the clouds had other plans Maybe next time... Absolutely love this time of year!

Something tells me the EC is going be affected by Hurricane Dolly in some capacity. Just a gut feeling

Well I mean we aren’t going to rip 85-95 into and thru Septorcher, but it sure seems and looks overall like an endless summer type deal with 75-85 many days. Last year people were getting into cold and frosts already. Nothing like that thru mid month