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Nice tornado approaching Ft Wayne

That combined w/ that warmer ~400mb layer preventing the updrafts from really getting up towards the EL would be my non-redtag hypothesis.

One thing to notice, dews are surging ahead of the line as the LLJ kicks in. Up to 72° in Ft Wayne right now. Going to be a dicey night for sure

We are. That storm to the north really blew up and developed a nice southern component. The lightening has been non-stop and we're past 0.6" of rain according to two nearby gauges on weather underground. Lots of rolling thunder now. Our dog is having a rough go of it.

Yeah getting a heavy downpour now with a good amount of lightning and gusty winds. I wasn't optimistic earlier so I'm very pleased to be getting something.

Crashing thunder and vivid lightning display off to my north now. Just very light rain here now. The downpour lasted 90 seconds. Small storm fizzled as it past just south of me.

Newton / Sparta area look to be getting a good whack.

Seeing a lot of lightning on the security cams

I am forced to eat my previous post. It is ripping up here, 60 lightening strikes in the past few minutes according to accuweather. Torrential rain, and wind too. Really blew up again for some. My rain gauge is out of commission, but underground stations around me are showing over 1/2 inch and counting. It looks like upwards of 1.5" out towards Sandyston where they also got the first batch earlier.

Same here. Getting CLIPPED by small fast moving storm just to my south. Brief heavy rain but moving through fast. Lots of lightning to my north and south with rolling thunder.

I think you're on the right track here, but the mid-level flow was better than modeled. I suspect that the paltry winds at the upper levels limited the strength of the updraft.

small line is cranking

When the line over Lake Michigan catches up to the stuff out ahead, there should be a big general wind bag event. My prediction.

Heavy rain, wind, and constant flashes here. Oddly though, not a lot of thunder.

Stacked bow's from SWMI down through Central IN. Kinks in all of them.

Cass County has a tornado warning now. Somewhat of an embedded HP supercell in the line.

I was watching the lightning from that cell in the northwest sky. I see a few little downpours to the west in Somerset County -- hoping to get one here in a little while.

Something tightening up in Cass County MI now. Far SW Michigan still not out of the woods.

wild

I'm warned for some QLCS notches in that fat belly pushing E. Helluva a light show and muggy as shit. Walking outside, chase is on lol

As noted in previous posts, odd for temps in the 90s and DPs 70 It acted more like a cool season line of gusty heavy showers. 00z analyzed NAM 1000-500 thk for DCA was 577, so that usually means 50k CB tops easy and lots of LTG. Peak mid-level lapse rates on the 00z IAD sounding were 7.0 C/km between 700-500 and CAPE at mid-levels was "fat." That should have lead to solid charge separation in the supercooled water level for lots of LTG. K-index 36, so not dry aloft. Sfc T-Td spreads around 25 so not too dry at low levels. Yet things were very outflow-ish. Storm cores should have been "meatier" for the lack of a better term! The thing that stands out in the sounding is the lack of solid deep layer shear, so that likely precluded stronger coherent cells or a more solid/thicker SQLN.

Didn't expect the pop ups. It also looks like the storm up north is intensifying a bit and developing back to the south. I might get clipped by it.

Cell is still spinning like a top as it nears south bend. Will see if it tightens back up

Wow! Easy chase lol. Nice grab

Heavy rain, gusty winds, and lots of lightning with this little storm near 78. Not bad for a pop up storm.