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Yesterdays wind reports?...wow. You think it was a bona fide derecho! It wasn't, but the MCS areal coverage was very impressive NE to SW PA to VA. Also, the classic DC split occurred, at least for CGs. Take a look at the plot from later ydy. There was an uptick on CGs in downtown Silver Spring after the line moved through N side of the city. Saw some good CGs and heard some solid booming thunders to my S.
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So far im pretty happy with this Kremer fella on the Twins. Two quality starts in the books
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Yeah I would expect an EDS warning over a big tornado warning like that. Heavy rain here and maybe 55 mph wind thankfully. Lots of lightning.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
bluewave replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The 500 mb pattern during June and July across the Northern Hemisphere was the opposite of past developing super El Niño events. -
It's worse to our west (like WV). At least some sunshine has rebounded CAPE above 1000 in the metros seemingly. But still probably isn't going to do much. WV is devoid completely of CAPE
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Occasional Thoughts on Climate Change
WolfStock1 replied to donsutherland1's topic in Climate Change
Re: Putin and Trump - that's politics, not science. Re: Observatories - these have *always* been in place high in the mountains, since long before CC became a thing. E.g. Mauna Kean in 1901, Kitt Peak in 1960, etc. Mountain air has *always* been known to be cleaner/clearer than seaside air since the beginning of time, and that has nothing to with CC. It's basic physics / meteorology, as well as where people live. It's actually the opposite of of what you claim - the reason why mountain air is so clear is ironically *because* for most people it's more desirable to live on the coast. So - perhaps try again with your reasoning. -
You guys been getting freight trqained
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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion
Eskimo Joe replied to Kmlwx's topic in Mid Atlantic
This probably will get classified as a derecho. Incredible stuff to witness today. One of the higher end wind events I've seen.- 1,878 replies
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Derecho before lunch, now sunny muggy skies
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Much of this depends on how much ocean heat is lost from the El Niño convection that’s occurring. In theory we run out of warm water to sustain El Niño in such conditions. It has to come from somewhere. -
Unsure how much TS we see, not impressed with the instability and the front is still back north...so far the few cells that went off made the mid 20s on tops but collapsed
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
Cyclone-68 replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Yay. Finally -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Looks like they got 58 mph 6 minutes later -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
dendrite replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
That would be like my peak gust for the last 20 years here. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
This is how the carry-over el nino scenario would look like. This is actually an AI model that (correctly) predicted this very strong el nino. This shows a carry-over (moderate) el nino in 2027-28, before transitioning to a la nina in 2028-29. -
and pop up showers are starting to show up on radar
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
weatherwiz replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
54 mph at IND and I think that was just from the gust front -
Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CoastalWx replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
Yeah this region is not exciting in the summer. It’s why rooting for storms is a fools errand unless the setup is jsut right. -
Well I was complaining when I got back from Oshkosh how dry it was here. 1.5" in the first round from about 7:30 to 9:30. We just got 2" in a little over an hour. I am back to the Spring flood zone lol. At least no wind yet. I hate these setups with a passion. Edit: But I will say 63 degrees is quite pleasant. It was smothering at 6am and 75/75 lol.
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Tornadoes and a possible derecho from Indiana to VA/NC
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If the derecho brings rain…
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87/74/95
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Augdewst 2026: Summer's Last Stand
CT Valley Snowman replied to Prismshine Productions's topic in New England
https://www.weather.gov/box/NOAA_NWS_Hiring_Meteorologists_Nationwide Looking for a new job, anyone? -
Paul, I don't know if you saw this, but the detected breaks for Coatesville line up very well with documented results. I made a figure, attached. HOMR has errors, you must refer to the 530-1, and even that has an error in Gordon's address which was resolved by looking at property records. You will also need to read through every monthly report to catch changes in coords or observation times--I did. Somewhere in ~1928 Gordon notes that he was ill and used chart recorder for a while--I ignored that. If you don't supply all of this information to Claude, you will not get a useful result. Don't expect the breakpoints to coincide exactly. It may take a month or more for the break to be visible to the math. If you look at the map--its 100% clear and obvious that 1 SW moved from a hot location to progressively cooler ones. It also clear you have not provided this information to the AI.
