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82 now.

Tip, Thanks for your reply. We know that the Arctic has warmed considerably more than middle latitudes, especially in winter. Thus, the contrast between the avg Arctic temp. and the avg mid latitude temp has lowered, which has reduced the avg speed of the polar jet. Thus per the source noted below: “A slower and more contorted jet stream allows cold air to move further south and warm air to move further north, and it also allows weather systems to persist longer than usual. Under these circumstances, episodes of severe cold or protracted heat, as the UK experienced in spring and summer 2018 respectively, become more likely.” https://theconversation.com/arctic-breakdown-what-climate-change-in-the-far-north-means-for-the-rest-of-us-123309#:~:text=The exceptional rate of Arctic ( the,and determines the paths of weather systems. But I still have to wonder if this phenomenon along with the up to 3F warmer globe were strong enough factors on their own to result in the W US heatwave being a record producer or would it without CC still have been a record producer but just at a lower level? I don’t see how this can be proven one way or the other. With the extreme heat so much hotter than the prior record, that would be quite the feat for CC’s influence. So, I’m at least for now maintaining what I said on April 3rd: “had there been no GW the US still could have had their warmest month since the late 1970s but with not as warm temps.” All I said on April 3rd was “could”. Fair enough?

TORCH!

81. First 80s of the season.

Ffffttttttt

77/61. Ass stuck to undies outside doing yard work.

74.1° today - amazing turnaround compared to yesterday

Last part of April looks like ass..had a feeling

Just got back from hiking up mount wachusett.. im not in shape after winter lots of people heading up today.

One of the most underrated invasives. On Long Island they produce pure stands. Very easy to see early and late as they are often the only foliage. They are also short lived and brittle. It’s too bad they were so extensively planted during the suburban sprawl of the 50/60/70s in the NYC and BOS Mets. .

Incredible how different the Jan 2016 cold shots were vs. the Jan 2024. Jan 2024 was much more Nina-like, and probably why there wasn’t a big snowstorm in the mid atlantic or NE. They both had the roaring southern stream like you’d expect for a Nino but mismatched at 500 mb heights.

Then it would have produced. Now it’s just a waste. Raw east winds and misery mist. No thanks. .

Wish we got this in March

Like to update on our longer term drought occasionally... Since Sept of 2024, my station is running a 25" deficit. Only about 6 of those 20 months have had normal or maybe slightly above normal precip with no months reaching the 5" mark. Reservoir levels, river levels etc appear to be around normal. Just find it interesting that something seemed to fundamentally change after 8/24. Often used to have water in the woods around the house but haven't seen that for quite awhile.

70 here

That was basically winter here. 31 inches here with the blizzard

Safe to say morning clouds/debris will not be an issue. Time to build instability and a strong cap.

My fear as well. Originally looked like it would break down this week. That certainly did not come to fruition as this weekends cold front will be dry

By the time this heat wave is in the books on Sunday, every leaf on every species will be out

Also, thinking they may go MDT with the 1630z update

Lot of urban areas have them. Easy for them to grow as sidewalk trees. But they spreading. I wasn’t joking though, these things have been getting slaughtered left and right over the last 10 years or so with some of these storms that we’ve got. They aren’t the strongest.

Yes from outflow boundaries as well as a strong low level jet pushing in from the southwest.

82

79°

Not where you are. LI, Ct maybe. Models are going back and forth with the fronts location. Quite uncertain how far southwest this gets. WX/PT