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Metaphorically speaking, of course…….. as always ……

yeah that sucked, but I think 1/15 was worse because I knew 1/22 wasn't coming back this way off the jump, 1/15 looked good region wide, while it was better than 1/22 in terms of accumulating snow, it was sand for a good portion while SE areas cashed in big, that sucked bad just watching it dump and pivot east of my area

That’s reasonable if you ignore the gfs coastal. As soon as rates let up, you’re mixing or non accumulating. Then hoping the ivt gives the goods

SREF me, baby....just lather me up with that

The first piece of guidance to support a gfs like solution. We might have a nam bomb coming in a few hours

Man what's wrong with you. Can't you be a bit more positive or excited. A day and a half ago this wasn't even happening. Be happy with what you're going to get.

Someone has to say it!! SREFS just took a monster trend NW and WOW

This is a great example of why we use the ensemble means at this range. The EPS AIFS has been very steady for days now. It hasn’t shown any big jumps from run to run like OPs. The OP runs should begin to converge over the next 24 hrs. The ensembles have been pretty steady indicating that parts of Long Island have the best chance at a 6” event.

I wonder how much ferocity will be maintained with the death-band given the maxing lower in latitude...asking for about 237 friends....

Euro already gave a big nod

As did Jan 15 here. It’s great the euro caved but as noted from the get go…plowable for most while memorable for se zones.

Absolutely amazing trends overnight and this morning. I’m feeling much better about this with the Euro and EPS now on board for a decent event.

Kuchera

Sadly, there isn’t much use. You’d just rather them be in your camp than not.

Technically, 1 more panel.

Man... This is the ultimate GFS vs Euro showdown of all time! Never seen anything like this. Who caves first!! LOL

So ended with .67” last night. Have .30” upon waking this morning.

Weenie life preserver. Lol But seriously, I've never seen such a turnaround. Something is going on here.

A plowable event here would be appreciated

Wakefield got burned last time saying blizzard conditions were possible for SEVA and hanging onto high snow totals long after it was obvious it wasnt going to happen,

Just a shot in the dark here but the love child of Anthony and Weathergeek?

Jan 2022 literally made me nauseous...just physically ill. This is def. a candidate.

Weenie post warning 9z srefs just beefed tf up.

Lose some of that convection heading into.the Atlantic and it will.. or get rid of the confluence a bit more

No difference out here. Same sharp cutoff.