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Looks like it’s winding down. Too bad. Nice little light snow sticking to everything would have been great through the evening.
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
buckeyefan1 replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
18z gfs as we wait for the king -
Storm potential January 17th-18th
EastonSN+ replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Where is here -
The AI GFS is not our friend. Major warming issues.
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What do you consider the southern MA?
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It rolls out at same time as the regular Euro. Usually right when GFS wraps up
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I mean with high pressure pressing down in the middle of the country, wouldn't south be (unfortunately) more likely than north? Feels like that's a pretty strong press.
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
CoastalWx replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
32.8 and snow starting to coat. -
Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
tavwtby replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
this is ALY weather map, to go along with their messages and alerts, I was countering Mikes claims that they cut back and they should on this one I just posted as well -
5:30. Flipped to snow. Visibility down to 1/2" mile. Sticking to cars and cold surfaces
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
Winterweatherlover replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Finally steady snow has resumed. At this point I'd be happy with a quick 1-3 inches. -
100% the GFS is doing some weird stuff w/ the Baja deal. It has missed almost every time this winter. Outlier for that reason alone.
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Oh dang the streets are actually starting to cave!
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Same
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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread
Holston_River_Rambler replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Seems like it is usually finished when the GFS is, but I'm not sure what time it starts to percolate out. -
I "think" we are gonna want the precip(warm nose risk noted) to get out slightly in front of that high. The 18z ICON looked ready to unload. It was a bit flatter. I think the GFS is in the ballpark now, but just too strong w/ the high. But...it is within range of being almost trusted. Remember though, with the current system today it was amped too much...so who knows. It just amps everything like the old DGEX.
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What suppression
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
Santa Claus replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
great event -
AiGFS still a huge hit, difference between it and the OP continues to be the STJ energy that crashes on shore around day 4. One thing I’d say is the 18z AiGFS was a little slower with it and it almost left it behind. There also looks to be some N stream energy diving S around 5-6. As usual it all comes down to luck and timing of these two waves. The opportunity is there. This event def favors S mid Atlantic more imo just because they can get a hit even if most of the STJ energy gets left behind Over the next few suites I hope we see a gradual N idea. .
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Another solution by the gfs. Who's surprised. Hopefully the Euro leads us on this which it should. This is definitely it's wheelhouse.
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Streets and sidewalks have caved. LFG.
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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread
Spanks45 replied to WxWatcher007's topic in New England
Been snowing for the past 45 minutes here, but terrible growth....radar definitely blossoming, some how I squeaked out 1.7" earlier, hopefully we can match or beat that with this next round. The air actually feels cooler too, maybe some better fluff this time. 31.6 atm -
Has any potential storm this year or in recent years had model consensus? Im sure there has been but it sure feels like every threat has 2-3 camps all the way to game time
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Storm potential January 17th-18th
kat5hurricane replied to WeatherGeek2025's topic in New York City Metro
Nothing but white rain thus far
