All Activity

Here are the pretty colors from 12z RGEM

Nice littler run by the 12z GEM on the 17th.

(W)hoarforsnowHubb

GFS trended towards euro but just not quite there.

The 12z GFS w/ a nice look at 165, but......yep. We've seen that movie before.

Cirrus In Tolland NoCoastal Wx

I think it will take a collective group name change all at once to flip our luck..

Beautiful day today! This is the kind of sunny, warm’ish day I remember as a kid that happened the day before a modest 2-4” snow. I miss those.

I'll take it!!

Snowstarved71

This quiescence of this winter is highly synonymous with the Sox offense.....but I'm sure there will be a flurry of activity right as Spring training begins with regard to both.

I like this idea.... Since you suggested it, I think you should start.... 69/69 Bendover. ...... Go!!!

I would definitely believe the Euro if it has something pop up inside 7 days over any other model. I am to the point now where I think it's useless to really look at anything else besides what the Euro shows inside 7 days. Everything else is a mirage when it comes to winter storms here, especially the GFS at day 10. It loves to show big storms then only for them to go poof a day or two later.

The potent combination of -AO/+PNA/-EPO is creating quite the cliff for cold air to jump off of and into the Eastern trough. Should have plenty of cold in the short-term (after tomorrow). Too much can wring out the moisture, of course, but the active northern stream Nina keeps energy moving. At minimum it offers mood flakes.

Little surprised we’re not seeing a better surface reflection on the GFS.

Dude give it a rest you say the same damn rhetorical thing every post like seriously it’s annoying you need to be 5 posted

Need a turn around with a KU in late january or february or else we’re not getting to seasonable snowfall. As bluewave said we need a regionwide 12”+ to have a chance at it. To give you an idea of how hard it is to get 25+” now, even if cpark got a 1’ snowstorm and nothing else this winter, they still wouldn’t reach average.

Just don't see it happening as much as we are trying to will it to a better solution. Best case might be flurries or a dusting outside the mountains.

I would not buy into any LR model that shows a coastal. Get it to within 72 hrs as Bluewaves says

Again, looking at the GFS, some light snow on Sunday the 18th, and a light clipper passing through on January 20th. Nothing big in the long range. We'll see if there is still a signal for the 23rd. But losing the 16th resulted in losing the 18th as well. So were are 0 for 3 this month. Nothing on 1/7, nothing on 1/16, and nothing on 1/18. Looks cold and dry after that

It’s the measuring at the airport. It seems like if there’s any reason for them to struggle (snow quickly melts after it falls, snow is blowing around, etc) they will come in lower than immediately surrounding obs. I don’t think it’s intentional (if it’s cold and not windy they’re usually ok) but it’s been consistent for years. Looks like some more snow late Wednesday into Thursday, with a little shortwave crossing late Wednesday ushering in some NW flow lake effect. Doesn’t look like a crazy setup, but will definitely freshen things back up after a couple of milder days.

Have to like where that vort's headed. Could change on next run again though.

Yea, Sey-Mour Ofmothernatures Butts.

Just go thru the EURO and GFS each run from yesterday 12z until today. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=ecmwf&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2026011300&fh=150