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That thing sucks…lol. But ok.

That was the max on 12/25/2020 at CAR. +35 anyone?

18z Nam's a wreck. I think we're better off if the 12/5 threat fizzled and left some energy behind for our next long shot.

1.4" snow/sleet .. total event QPF 1.07"

im crying old bay tears, where's our side of the Potomac? Nice map tho

And what about all the southern sliders fails with HPs being too strong? How much of that is bad luck/timing with an active NS?

They get worse every year.

Where's JI? I came for some doom scrolling. I saw PSU commented so I got excited. Nothing juicy yet. Still early season lol

I was using the CFS

18z NBM is north relative to a lot of what we’re looking at it seems

I was thinking the same thing…how did he see that? Or did he mean last year/or previous years?

How would to EPS and Euro show New Years Day temps? they don't go out far enough

We’ve been in a Nina ish pacific base state for a long time. That isn’t good for gulf miller a type systems.

That’s exactly what the GEFS is showing; an Aleutian ridge regime (-WPO) as opposed to an Alaskan ridge regime (-EPO)…..

euro SE at 12z

How we doing? Euro ok? Been busy drinking beer on the job. Because it’s my job! I know everyone throwing me a pity party for my oh so rough life.

Well we rarely get Miller As anymore. We don’t have many clipper underneath of us. The waa overrunning of a Miller B is less impactful Those are the three changes I note from 20+ years ago and the question is Why!?.

Kind of the tenor(if I do say so) of the early season so far….to mute the big long range looking torches as they move closer to go time. Not a bad tenor to have if you like wintry weather.

Nice snow base with daily mood flakes? We are so back.

saw some 50s on NYD. Lots of time, but we all know what happens between xmas and NYE

Slanted at that angle is it going to go ese because it’s pointing ene

Verbatim, it’s showing an Aleutian ridge regime (-WPO), if it goes poleward, as is being shown, it would tap cross-polar flow/arctic air into western Canada

Looking like a Winter Weather Advisory will be hoisted tomorrow for Thursday night into Friday morning across the Mountains. GSP in their Hazardous Weather Outlook is mentioning snow tomorrow night mixing with sleet/freezing rain/rain Friday morning as the warm nose builds in during the daylight hours of Friday.

5:1 ratios for this would be my guess as well

First stab at a snowfall map (made for my instagram but might as well post it here). Since it's made for public consumption I always hedge my bets a bit so its a bit more conservative than my true thinking.