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Icon is improved. Less confluence.

Suppression threat is real.

Have Randy start it

Exactly.

It's a modest hit. Much better than 0z.

Real question is who starts the thread

Thats dumb. There's like zero models that actually show that. AIs show a decent hit but other than that the operationals are all south.

Icon minor hit. Most of the energy gets left but pushed out more this run to get a small hit.

actually, yeah, you're right. I thought it was coming all out...

Yep, doesn't bring it all across like the Euro, but certainly a step in the right direction. I call that a win.

I’m not banking on any model. None have done well

Its decent... but better for C VA and S VA at 138

If we’ve got a storm thread and we’re rocking later this week we should get a DC crew meetup for a real happy hour Thursday or Friday…

Man, in a few years, I would absolutely LOVE for you to be my teacher. That would be amazing.

Yeah, the S/W definitely coming all out...doesn't look as suppressive, but still can't say if it's coming right for us

Wtfffff there’s no way. I got maybe an inch yesterday total on top of the 3” from Saturday. JFC

Ya not as bad but still looks like cut off gets stuck.

Yep I measured around 2 right near the park

OT, but the way you wrote this and provided the source credit is a testament to your writing skills and what you’ve been learning in school. Absolutely impressed. Please keep up with your scholastic work and never ever stop learning. If you ever wanted to be a meteorologist, I’d love to become a mentor for you. You have a lot of positive attributes that you should be damn proud of for being in 9th grade. Major kudos. Now back to the regularly scheduled hemming and hawing over models at 5-7 day leads

A prolonged stretch of well below normal temperatures are likely across our area for at least the next 2 weeks. In fact, with the exception of Thursday where temperatures will moderate to above normal (around 40 degrees) we may not see another day this month with afternoon high temperatures above freezing. Temperatures tonight should fall to near 10 degrees with highs tomorrow struggling to top 20 degrees. Temperatures by Wednesday morning will be close to zero in the typical colder valley locations. Even colder weather moves in by the weekend with high temperatures on Saturday remaining around the mid-teens with lows by Sunday morning again near zero. Our next chance of snow looks like it will be possible toward the end of next weekend.

Doesn’t help that the iPhone weather app is also showing 15-18” of snow this weekend.

Not likely

A prolonged stretch of well below normal temperatures are likely across our area for at least the next 2 weeks. In fact, with the exception of Thursday where temperatures will moderate to above normal (around 40 degrees) we may not see another day this month with afternoon high temperatures above freezing. Temperatures tonight should fall to near 10 degrees with highs tomorrow struggling to top 20 degrees. Temperatures by Wednesday morning will be close to zero in the typical colder valley locations. Even colder weather moves in by the weekend with high temperatures on Saturday remaining around the mid-teens with lows by Sunday morning again near zero. Our next chance of snow looks like it will be possible toward the end of next weekend.

ICON with a more favorable SW progression so far. Should not be as suppressed.