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Probably not, but LWX did mention the threat in its AFD oking at tonight, as the low slowly pulls away, some showers likely linger on the back side of the low as well. One thing of concern is the 850mb wind field on the back side of the low during the pre-dawn hours Saturday morning. Will have to watch for some sneaky strong wind gusts if there is a heavy enough shower to bring that wind down to the surface. The hi-res guidance has a concerning amount of agreement on some high-end wind gusts around 40 to 50 mph potentially reaching the surface, so it is something I am growing increasingly concerned about. This is something to keep an eye on, given that this would occur during a very sensitive time period, being during the overnight. Should this trend continue, a short-duration Wind Advisory may need to be considered. Perhaps if things are still convective in nature, they could be handled with short-fused convective warnings as well.
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Lol 13z HRRR is loltastically aggressive with a sting-jet feature overnight bringing 50-60mph wind gusts from northern VA through DC and southern MD... No I don't see it getting THAT windy.
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huh?
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I don't see that on their Twitter page or main school page
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According to my weather station, I received about 0.02” of rain right around midnight. .
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Baltimore County dismissing early because of the flood watch!?
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Yeah, especially with 20% electric rate increases kicking in starting Sunday for all utility companies serving NJ. Also got a letter last week from home Insurance company (Chubb) that they have applied for a 12% increase. They were not shy in stating why. In a nutshell if approved I'll be paying 12% more for California fires, Florida hurricanes and any other weather calamity they want to throw in there.
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that stuff is going to stay south of us, GOOD. The sun is about to come out right now.
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It cleared out around 6 pm here and we had a gorgeous sunset. I hope you didn't get any more rain lol.
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Presuming I get time, I'll add CPC June Outlook and the D8-14, week 3-4 guidance around 7-8P.
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to be fair today and tomorrow aren't going to be mostly overcast, the sun looks like it's about to come out right now as a matter of fact. and we got the sun back yesterday around 6 pm and it was a gorgeous sunset.
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17,000 people had to relocate because of Canadian wildfires, regardless of the cause this is bad stuff. I hope that smoke doesn't make it here, it's already forecast to get into the central part of the country. It would be ironic if we had a nice dry sunny stretch and it was that crap that ruined our clear blue skies and held down temperatures (though they'd still at least be in the 70s as long as we get sunshine.)
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Once we flip it usually stays but we'll see
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It has been a pretty crappy month for my solar, but last month was near an all-time high month, so I guess it evened out.
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Best is east Saturday. To the east my brother, to the east.
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Yeah, thinking last night was the last time until Fall that I'll be sleeping with the windows open and the blankets up. Not saying 90+ but warm enough to not make it pleasant to sleep with windows open. Bit humid out there this morning.
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Yup. Whole thing has bumped NW with heavy rains
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Exactly-this week was supposed to be decent and it's been mainly overcast for the last 10 days
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Someone could get a tornado tornado today east of I-95. Not sold on the flood risk.
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Saturday still going north?
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That convection will drop over 1" in spots in ern areas for sure.
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We shall see..seems like each day it gets pushed back..wash rinse repeat with this abhorrent weather
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"This will be a soaker with the most rain west where there can be 1-3”+. The least across eastern MA where likely 0.50” will do it. I’m watching the trends…the latest HRRR has pushed heavier rain a bit farther east. " Eweather
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Verbatim we are probably looking at 2-5"; (6" locally) of rain collocated with the mountainous areas of the far interior. Berks, southern greens, monads look like hardest hit areas.
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Yup Farther north across VA/MD/DE, confidence regarding storm mode is lower, with some guidance suggesting the potential for discrete/semi-discrete supercells ahead of the front. These storms would have the potential for severe wind/hail, and potentially pose a tornado risk with stronger/more sustained storms. If confidence increases regarding the expected coverage of severe storms in this area, then higher severe probabilities may be warranted with the 1630z Convective Outlook.
