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Moderate also is significant severe and as per spc chart requires 75+mph winds or ef2 or greater tornadoes which there was none of either.
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Definitely agree with you there. I'd even take 80 and sunny. Or 90 and sunny. But none of these wild temperature swings we've had the last week. I don't want it to be in the 90s one day and the 50s the very next day. If I wanted that type of weather, I could move to Nebraska.
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This was definitely one for the books. Just goes to show what mid-west/great lakes climate can churn out from time to time. Now on to spring!
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12z Euro AI has a more Spring-like configuration in la-la land. Most of the cold is crapped out of Canada as well
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Outside of a renegade snow, most likely done for most of SNE as well
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End of winter doldrums are setting in. We need a good torch or stemwinder to track and liven things up.
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Beautiful .
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Well this is the New England forum…
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Sat and Sun are trending warmer on most models now
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Around 9am today as the last flakes had just passed over.
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Sunday night we got slammed by a BAD front, wind gusts out of the north to 63 mph, and temps tumbled from 96 to 38 in a matter of 15 hours. Stuff got blown all over, lawn chairs, even the heavy ones got tumbled all over the place. Yesterday we eked out 48 for a high. Dewpoint was 10. Last night we fell to 26. Fig leaves were damaged bad. I saved mom's tender new plants by building a framework then piling on thick blankets. The plants were successfully saved. Normal high about 70, normal low about 52. Ha ha yesterday high couldnt even reach the normal minimum. No complaints. It's gonnabe sizzling HOT come Friday, mid 90s.
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E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
JTA66 replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Some thoughts from our old friend Ray... ‘Unusually early’ tornado watch in effect for Philadelphia region | PhillyVoice -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
John1122 replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Matt Hinkin passed away, he was 62. I didn't realize he was only in his 20s when he made his infamous huge miss on the Blizzard of '93. -
I know they just revamped to fix this - but I think most folks, if you asked them, would say yesterday's storms were maybe a 2/5 in severity on a five point scale. Maybe a 1.5/5. The problem(s) - of which there are many - is that a moderate risk is somewhat accurately described as a 4/5 risk. The kind of storms you only see every 3 years around here. Nobody felt yesterday's storms did that. So verification on percentages... good for SPC, I guess. Lot of room for messaging improvements.
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Yep and there’s no -NAO/-AO blocking to stop it (ridge/warmth coming east) either
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March brings energy to the atmosphere that doesn't exist most of the time in December and January especially. The hardest snow I've ever seen falling was in a March squall. It snowed 1.5 inches in 15 minutes with strong winds and near zero visibility. It was sunny 10 minutes later.
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best he can do is ketamine-powered satellite
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I'm sure we will torch sometime in April especially if that ridge can head east for awhile
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i want 70 and sunny until August
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I suppose there's one upshot in this ... it's D6 - 14. I guess depictions in that range only verify if it means this lol, otherwise one might be inclined to suggest those charts don't have a prayer of being realized.
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Yea, it's the type of pattern we could work with a month ago, but now? Zone of proximal butt-plunge, as the spring zealots will still find it obnoxious to be outside, and the weenies will be at a loss for a reason to post the snow emoji. Perfect-
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Hi H****d I'm moving to Philly this fall, so I'll be in the other forum (if i don't get banned first)
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2026-2027 El Nino
roardog replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There’s a lot of things that make a very strong Nino look likely but I can’t shake the fact that it’s only been 3 years since we’ve had one and the PDO is still negative. March isn’t over yet but right now the 30 day SOI is still extremely positive. As Chuck showed, the very strong Ninos never have an extremely positive March SOI. I guess we’ll see.
