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Don was ripping the NAM before and during yesterday's event. It should be obvious to anyone that the NAM (from ~60 hours out) performed better than the NWS and most other guidance for our area. Don was wrong. If he wants to do a verification of the NAM, he should do it with a more precise parameter than reported snow accumulation. At the very least he should use more than 4 stations. I think the NAM is getting hosed in Don's "verification." A few of the entries look wrong. There's also the issue of sleet: EWR and possibly Central Park experienced some sleet yesterday evening. If this was the dominant ptype during any time point, pivotal will record it as 0 snowfall for that period. But since sleet accumulates, using the pivotal algorithm will under-predict accumulated snowfall. I think the entire purpose of the verification when it was originally proposed was to bash the NAM, assuming it would fail. But it did not. The writing was on the wall early yesterday (HRRR, RAP, ECM, radar). Some noticed. Others doubled down .

I have to say that I really have enjoyed the banter thread this season when the Commodes and Ravens play.

See that? All they needed to do was put Huntley in ! Fun to watch for a change, yet I keep telling myself “it’s not in the bag just yet”, becuz they have a knack of losing often in the last 3 minutes or less this year. I like Humphrey in general, but he’s getting fooled and beaten too many times so far.

10 here. Chilly.

1/-2

As good as you felt when you made your comment.

I've only experienced one crippling Ice Storm: January 2005 living in South Carolina. Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk

How do the snowfall averages for 1990-2019 stack up against the previous known 30 year periods? I have a point, but I want to make sure I'm right on the data first.

5.7/2

THIS is Ravens football. Too little. too late. Heads better roll. Don't let this get you in your feels Bisciotti.

Time to flip back to the end of the Caps game.

I fucking hate Todd Monken. NOW YOU FIGURE IT OUT? Dumbfuck.

Wow. That’s a big response. Now the defense has to get it figured out during the break.

But that's the question. How does Pivotal retrieve the raw data? It's suspicious that the NAM would output so much more "snow" for MMU than EWR considering their relative locations and the general snowfall distribution it was predicting. I'm wondering if it pulls the raw data from a location further southwest than the airport.

Wow, 27-14 heading into halftime…crowd booing the Packers too.

I try to be honest, but it can be rather subjective. More than 50% with at least an inch; is there an app for that? If my snowboard or snow stake spot is bare, that's an argument against, although there are exceptions to every rule. If the wind strength and direction scoured my entire property bare, but every where else is buried...calling that 0 snowcover is inaccurate. If I have an eight foot deep drift remaining while the rest of planet earth is bare, averaging it out against the rest of Tara and calling an average of an inch is BS too. It's a judgement call and no one who wasn't there can dispute it with any certainty. For reference, we haven't actually had any accumulating snow here since 1978.

I don't think the first half of January will be colder than the second half.

Just arriving in Sarasota myself, nothing happening until @stormtrackergets back.

Yes, please fire Zack Orr too. Fucking awful. Honestly if they fire both coordinators, I might settle for keeping Harbaugh. Probably the best we can hope for tbh.

Please no, they had better not lose this game. Half of GB team is sitting.

Ravens defense is really bad. It’s going to be sad when they get the ball back in the 3rd quarter and are losing.

I would love for us to have one OC that doesn't do random weird stuff, lol I mean Morinweig, Roman, Monken...like why has Harbaugh attracted these dudes? Lolol

0z NAM ramping up even more .

Now that I've had some time for various thighs to settle down this post just came to mind. Correct at the 7am time. Your screen name mocks the lack of proper snow measuring and you're debating if it was a white Christmas for you? You either had 1" or more or you didn't? Were you saying half your yard had more than an inch? I had spots with more than an inch but none of them were in my snow board or at my snow stake. It would be interesting to get a ruling here. @NorthShoreWx

Calm down. I’m back on Friday. We’ll be tracking again.