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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
and the Euro as per Accuchris. likin the trends. Lets hope we can continue this for a couple more runs. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
WEATHER53 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I think DCA was dumbly low again at 18 while all others were 22-24” -
The EPS mean is 7 inches for NYC more for the Long Island
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
wxmvpete replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Makes you wonder how much more can change. A couple days ago, the recent winter storm that occurred in the Midwest was forecast to maybe produce 4-8" of snow from Omaha to southwest WI. This morning, some folks in Iowa woke up to over a foot of snow. Crazy things can happen under these highly anomalous upper lows and rapidly strengthening coastal lows. We all know that of course, but in terms of recency bias, ask the folks in North Carolina from several weeks back about that. -
WSW up here too for 6-10. I'm a little surprised up here it's that aggressive this early.
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Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion
sbnwx85 replied to michsnowfreak's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
To your point, lots of moving parts. Pretty active pattern, and as you've been saying, potential is there. Just need things to line up. -
I guess NWS more in line with the GFS already calling 10”-13” for Suffolk with “possible blizzard conditions.” interesting
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
EURO isn't taking the GFS path to a win for us - we've got two different paths to success here. Beginning to feel a litttle comfortable. -
“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
snowman21 replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
OKX has 6-10 for southern CT/metro area w/10-13 over eastern LI with the new watch. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
euro AI joins the sharper trough team and looks better. Another +1 for team snowhounds -
Agree, Mt. Holly are the watch happy ones
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Still sucking on the NBM. waiting for 6" probs to reach over 50%
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
Not_An_Anti-Dentite replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Here is CWG's post-mortem on their Snowquester (March 6, 2013) forecast. As they state, "The best forecast for Snowquester was one we could not issue with a straight face ... snow accumulations of 0-14 inches." As I recall, despite snowing much of the day almost everything melted on contact. DCA reported .2 inches. -
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I was about to say that, and even Boston before jersey. Jersey and Boston are usually the first to issue watches/ warnings.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
mahk_webstah replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Hopefully, we can get that a little further west -
Went from very light/small flakes to better snow growth almost immediately.
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Got more maps for the EPS
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I think eary calls should be 3-6 nw nj going to 5-8 south of 78 most of cj and then 6-10 to coast and south jersey maybe 8-12 extreme coast lollipop..then move from up or down from there based on modelling tonight and tomorrow
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
osfan24 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Need almost the same over the next 24 hours to reel in the coastal. I think GFS and Euro are trending to each other more than anything. -
Always like being in the green shading.
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It is odd to see upton issue them first. They're usually more conservative
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In my school district in Westchester, 3 snow days are built into the schedule. If they aren't used, the school year ends a bit earlier. We still meet the 180-day state requirement. Post-Covid, there was some discussion about going the route New York City chose. But the conclusion was that students would be distracted/not motivated, so remote learning would not necessarily be beneficial from a learning standpoint.
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“Cory’s in NYC! Let’s HECS!” Feb. 22-24 Disco
Ginx snewx replied to TheSnowman's topic in New England
Hilton Kadderli and the gullywumper was for rain. Great weenie Met
