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Eps, among other models, show a weakening of 850 anomalies as well as the renewal of trades breaking through in days to come.

How does that miss you? Or are you talking jackpot hunting?

Ya they are getting crushed 3”+ widespread by 9am. But I don’t see why you can’t get 1-2”

Warm front stuck right on the S coast . Congrats fellas. .

Had some rounds light rain earlier this morning but have been under a gully washer of >2.5" - 3"/hr and am up to 1.98" in the bucket at post time. Currently heavy rain and 69 with dp 69.

2.2 inches of rain last 90 minutes. Around 645am it was coming down about as hard as I've ever heard it. Northwest Essex County NJ

what a bust of a run on the 6z NAM had almost nothing here

currently 66/63 and the rain started a few minutes ago lol, still struggling with the thread title

Already an inch here and still ripping

Can't confirm THAT much, but I got 1.19", about 5-6 miles W of CF.

Heavy rains here-flash flooding in progress

Got lucky! And set records, lol. 1.19" of rain fell, breaking 1989's 0.71", and set a second consecutive record 'warm minimum' with 67.8 degrees, also breaking 1989's 67 degree reading. Looked like we were going to join the miss club, then around midnight a rumble or two of thunder and heavy rain fell for about two hours.

Frost Advisory tonight for some northern border states. Let the winter countdown begin...

It appears that the western half of LI will end up on the lower end of predicted totals. The forks will be in the good stuff

Looks like we’ll get an early sample of the super El Nino ridge north of the Great Lakes in late September.

Another heavy acorn year, not the most we've had but plenty of plump ones. Raking isn't my fav outdoor chore, and I have 3 large oaks that cause lots of raking this time of year. I have a big tow-behind leaf vac fI've had for years that works great for leaf pickup, and last year that company advertised a 'nut rake' and after a bit of research, I got one. Tried it out this year and it worked great. Of course not advocating how anyone else should grab nuts, but having seen other folks here with severe acorn angst I thought I'd share this out. My acorn raking days may just be behind me... Short vid here from my first couple passes with this thing:

When I was growing up in the 60s and 70s there were many September days in the 80s especially the first half of the month.Even some days in the 90s..Its still officially Summer.

3.4 peak still cooling!

Looks like 70s all week

0.41” Enjoy all of the rain

Kind of amazing how the precip is avoiding most of Long Island.

Nope thats more niña

Yup. Score one for the NAM nest while it’s on its deathbed