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HRRR is liking Lake Co., IL & Kenosha a little more with the 18z.

KMRX has upgraded the WWA's to a WSW just over the border. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk

Nice to see snow in the air at the giants/bears game. My daughter works downtown and lives in Logan Square. I bet she’ll have a lot more at work near the lake vs home. Meso effects are so unpredictable. I was visiting in July and we went to dinner in the west Loop area one night and got 3” of rain in a fairly short time. 5 miles north nothing.

Made that post yesterday basically saying I wish this setup happened about a month later .

I'd love to have a new storm track one of the years. The one of the last decade sucks...not even "higher amounts north and west of the city" exists anymore! I find the fact that there is no clear cause rather annoying, lol

Kuchie not as kind.

It'll be gone by 0z unfortunately.

Just looked! Me too!!!

I'll take what the 12z Euro is selling at 204 please Alex

Gonna need to dig out, too lol. ENJOY!

Monitor but dont take the bait...once cycle and EPS has nil. Probably a tease but with the block as it is possibilities will present, but will they ever express as reality this month?

imagine unironically posting anything from that windbag grifter Rogan lol !

No thread attm for 1) the Tue wind advisory potential 10A-10P (marginal since the 850 jet doesn't increase past 40 kt til near sunset) and 2) the first flakes of the season at NYC CP ASOS...again hit or miss during Tue morning-early afternoon. Flurries are coming in the exceptionally unstable low level lapse rate to 750MB -momentum transfer from roughly down below 9000' (-12C 850 temp ANOMALY for this early in the season)..therefore mixing near 40 kt, especially late Tuesday and spewing virga/sct flurries/sprinkles into NYC with the BL temp a little too warm to be assured flurries at the CP ASOS but I think it will happen. This in association with the northeast departing 12hr 190M 5H HFallC and the oncoming 210M 5H HRiseC. IE... a high amplitude cold trough aloft getting ready to quickly exit the northeast USA. I saw the CFS comment a couple days ago about multi consecutive snow cycles for the interior NYC subforum tomorrow. I'm not a CFS fan and so I dont look at it very often. I did pay attention to the comment. It's a climate model so I doubt if it has the BL temp handled as well as the standard Global EC/GFS/ECAI. Even the ECAI still lags all other modeling and looks hopeful for cold rain into early Monday afternoon across most of the NYC subforum, but it looks like the BL temp is too warm for wet snow melting on pavement except maybe our nw NJ hills into the Catskills during the midday-afternoon hours, above 1000 feet. Fairly interesting pattern for Nov given the return of the strong 5H Block to eastern Canada-Greenland.

With 1.2" of snow earlier today, Detroit saw 1" or more snowfall for the 7th time on record for November 9. The prior cases for November 9 snowfall of 1" or above are: 1894 2.0" 1913 1.8" 1921 5.3" (daily record; 3rd biggest daily snowfall on record prior to November 15; 8th biggest daily snowfall on record for November) 1933 1.3" 1971 1.6" 2018 1.3" November 9 is the earliest date with 7 or more such snowfalls.

@CAPE enjoying this ravens O line performance?

Just pointing out the hypocrisy, carry on Sprinkling here in Bridgeport, about to ferry over to LI

I just signed into YouTube tv and am doing a 20 minute free preview of NFL Sunday Ticket just to see some snow falling.

Airmass tonight into tomorrow features H5 temps from -39C to -41C approximately and H85 temps at around -10C. Meanwhile lake temps are in the low 50s, I'm using 51 so using 11C. Pretty impressive lapse rates and given EL levels are approaching 25kft the lake induced CAPE may be near 1500 J/kg on the new HRRR. Values overall are 'extreme' for a few hours for KCGX and LM3 per bufkit. Seems like a fairly decent fetch along the lake, included 925mb RH% and streamlines as a visual. Pretty tremendous omega values co-located with the DGZ will only add the big flakes/aggregates, also seen on the overview image. Likely not as noteworthy given we already have plenty of lake induced CAPE but liking the theta-e contours in the vertical for some weak symmetric stability. Some limiting factors may be subtle low level inversions at times along with moisture depth/saturation throughout the layer. Think another issue may be a bit of directional shear at times will wobble the band enough to limit those high accumulations in a single area.

The changeover from rain to snow produced some heavier snowfall rates here in Toledo. I believe my place got over 2" before 10:00, and we still have snowflakes and 35 degrees.

Euro next Monday

Lol..silly stuff. Clickbait wording.

Pretty nuts if this pans out Tonight Snow showers, mainly after 9pm. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Low around 28. Blustery, with a north wind around 20 mph, with gusts as high as 30 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. New snow accumulation of 11 to 17 inches possible. Monday Snow showers likely, mainly before 9am. The snow could be heavy at times. Some thunder is also possible. Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. West northwest wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%. New snow accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.

Can you ever just enjoy BN? The jet is too strong, Cold to our north. Raging pacific. The cold is too deep, cold to our south. If we listened to you last week, it would be approaching 70 mid month. I find your posts very informative, but with an endless warmth the world is ending agenda. You undermine your own intelligence with it (and you are intelligent)

Snow football Bears Giants

Congratulations on the new job.