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2025 ENSO/Winter Speculation
Prismshine Productions replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in New England
2013/14 is an analog... Sent from my SM-S166V using Tapatalk -
I said for here, meaning over here towards the coast. Places N and W of the cities haven't done as well, and part of that is the avg annual snowfall there is higher.
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Looks like canonical Niña. I’m looking for JB to cool this down for his final outlook.
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Gotcha, yeah he's off Silver Ln and Simmons Rd right by Rentchler Field. I've brought him to Martin Park on Burnside Ave and it seems...sketchy to say the least. Which I already knew from playing baseball there in 2017. There was a shooting at his place a year and a half ago.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
xram replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I never get sick of that view. I live less than a mile from the Viaduct. That view never disappoints in the fall or anytime of year really -
mowed the grass this past saturday and it's barely grown a tenth of an inch, usually its faster. turning brown as well.
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It's been pretty constant central-subsurface cold since the 23-24 El Nino. You can see how the surface has been running much warmer than the subsurface (more credence to RONI), which makes me think that when we finally do shift to El Nino, it will be warmer than the subsurface Kelvin Waves would indicate. Pretty good chance we go to El Nino in 2026 or 2027. -
Which ones? I have been below average every Winter since 15-16, and there have been 6 La Nina's in that time (RONI).
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Sadly for here in Northern Middle & West TN. The rains have all but disappeared. Nashville got some today but the drought is really setting in & the trees are flat out turning yellow to brown. We are going to have a very early looking fall. By the end of September the leaves will be gone. My yard is completely brown. Even my neighbors who have sprinklers have given up. No way to keep up with how much it would cost to keep green. It will be interesting how many trees die from this drought. I remember the last one we had killed many. We sadly can only get a few dust splattering drops.
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2025-2026 ENSO
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
+NAO's run wetter, so when that phases with the northern stream, as rare as it is, it produces a lot of good snowfall. -
Im watching a winter outlook on YouTube and they got this winter being the most memories winter in a long time for the east lol
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We had a couple hours of early morning rain..1.24" Total. Jonesville proper, 2.18". Thar same pecip field moved over your area and kept expanding and backfilling. I'm expecting early cold and snow. May be another November Snowfall. Hopefully, an old fashioned big one.
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East Hartford is home. It gets a bad rap from some because during and after WWII it grew exponentially and most of the agricultural land became housing and apartments that until recently haven’t really been redeveloped and modernized. The town basically fully built out by the 70s and had some bad commercial owners. Most of EH is actually really suburban outside of the main travel corridors.
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Beautiful sunset tonight on Assateague Island. The weather has been beautiful the past two days down here in Ocean City.
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2025-2026 ENSO
so_whats_happening replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Not necessarily but it should help chances. -
I haven't mowed in 6 weeks. Grass is completely gone. Trees dropping leaves everywhere. Not even 1.25" since July 16th.
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
SnoSki14 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I don't know I still see a late season flurry of activity -
not really overall, but i do think we are about of the insane depression stretch starting with 23-24 and 24-25. this winter should be at least okay imo. plus, we have better days ahead.
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They live in a different reality
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
donsutherland1 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I saw 40.8C. We’ll see if that's the final number, but it’s a new national September mark. -
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You have driven regular posters away, that may have otherwise posted during relatively quiet periods. Good job feeding the exodus away from old school forums towards Facebook and other social media... ...Mate...
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September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Same story most years-most forecasts are too bullish...it's more than just warm water to fuel the storms -
September 2025 OBS-Discussion centered NYC subforum
Brian5671 replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Euro has little to no rain NYC S and E through Sun. Others are wetter. I'm going Euro all the way given the dry conditions