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  2. If this pattern continues into November, at least as far as the “warm blob”/2013 SST pattern, it’s going to be real difficult to continue to use it as an SST analog. The warm blob came right back in early November, 2013 and we went into a Victoria mode PDO for the winter. So far, the cooling has not reversed over the last month and is continuing….
  3. Rainfall totals OKX https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=1&highlight=off&glossary=1#:~:text= 4
  4. Max winds OKX https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=PNS&format=CI&version=2&highlight=off&glossary=1
  5. Quite the orographic precip shield after that main band lifted north on models?
  6. ALEET! ALEET! Mt Bachelor has picked up their very first 5 inches from the ground up, in the past 24 hours!!!!!!!
  7. Looks like the wind, the rain made it up here overnight. Almost an inch so far .90. Hopefully can match that today it's needed.
  8. The one main staple over the last several winters besides the -ENSO tendency and reoccurring MJO phases has been the marine heatwave in the NW PAC around Japan. It’s been extremely anomalous
  9. For most places from RDU to BOS, Sunday was the coolest daytime since June 1.
  10. The NHC has named Lorenzo in the tropical Atlantic, another likely fish storm but hey we'll take what we can get. Scoring tables will be adjusted yet again. Jerry disappeared so no chance of becoming a hurricane. They say Lorenzo has an outside chance. I am guessing the coastal low will get a name a few days from now when it's out over warmer waters. That will be Melissa, or Nestor, or ...
  11. ENSO thread. Not the NYC who can be more wrong and whine forum.
  12. Today
  13. And like I thought, boats are breaking free and sinking. This storm may not break any records or be remembered for long, but a significant amount of damage was done, considering tens of thousands of boats were still in the water.
  14. Getting a few good gusts now but the rain hasn’t been too impressive so far. Hopefully more will fill in later. I bet it’s wild at the shore tonight!
  15. We aren't nearly as warm as October 1919 at least. The coolest temperature that entire month in Knoxville was 54 (Knox recorded 50 yesterday morning) and it was almost 9 degrees above normal. It was a complete dud of a non-winter in Knoxville in 1919-1920.
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