All Activity

March 1990 had a great ice storm around here.

Really tired of these kind of statements from various media outlets and organizations (not upset at you MJO812 ), as if it is AK vs. the rest of U.S. for cold/snow, and anything in the CONUS for cold/snow that "outdoes" AK means it is significant. These kind of statements are more for content and engagement bait that drives the social media algorithm than anything else. Anchorages avg winter snowfall is 76.4" and so far this season, they have 65.6" as shown above. However, what they conveniently leave out on the infographic is that avg season-to-date snowfall for Anchorage is 61.4". So nothing unusual going on in Anchorage for snowfall this snow season. And Anchorage for a location in AK for snow is relatively "low" for the state as a whole, so not a good comparison location. Bu the general public doesn't know that. They think AK is all cold/snow to the extreme. See what's going on here? Make more out of what it really is, or turning the ordinary into the extraordinary for wx (all too often done these days by the MSM). It's the same for temps, and this created hype has already happened this winter. Well, we all know that when it CONUS is very cold, AK is often very mild, so temps warmer in AK in the winter than say in the Deep South are not uncommon. Why don't they compare Fairbanks for snowfall? That's b/c they have had 89" so far this winter. Well, that won't work for hype will it? Must be nice to cherry-pick locations to "force" significance. And there have been a significant number of winter seasons where locations in southern New England have outdone the larger cities in AK, so again, how is this a big deal in the large pix?

Euro better than 18z. BUT thats not saying much. Still not like the CMC or GFS

I wasn't even talking about his theory, I just think he is a gigantic turd. But now that we're talking about it... am I supposed to believe that all those observers conspired together to inflate their totals, via selective drift measurements, and that almost all of them reporting damn close to double what dipstick is saying? And the other guy in here thinks it's people were trying make the storm live up to the hype after the 'rug pull', just so they dont feel like they missed out on a generational storm? Wut? Do I think those measurements are 100% accurate, definitely not, but I'm talking within 15-25% of reality. You could convince me of the higher end, but not broadly. But dozens of people reporting 100% more than "what really fell" is ridiculous to me. Also highly doubt the NWS tried earnestly to convince him he had a higher total. Impressive display of narcissistic personality disorder, really. I think this is a guy who has a history of overreaction when it comes to jackpots and him missing out. He was having epic meltdowns leading up to this event. I dont think he can handle missing the earlier event this season and the jack on this. If I can't have it nobody can'd.

GFS now essentially has moved completely south of the M/D line.

Yeah I'm out. Gotta be up in 5 hours.

0z AI north for next week 18z vs 0z

I there even one? Just another useless troll.

0z AI north for next week 18z vs 0z

should be a min number of posts before you can dole those out.

The 30-0 run against Illinois was probably the best UConn men’s basketball I’ve ever seen.

EURO AI good. Dunno if I’ll make it to the normal one. Stormtracker is on his own

Euro has it- 12z looked pretty damn good. 18z weaker and a bit too far south.

CMC / GFS seeing something the euro isn’t? Ooooor How far out is this thing?

Models are pretty dry moving forward for the Northeast.

0z GEFS a bit drier but fine.

I'd give them their gold back for this

Yeah, that's why you gotta stay close when I do pbp. Looking at SV maps is like looking at a child's coloring book

Its a thread the needle deal for sure, but as advertised the timing of that digging NS vorticity is such that there is surface HP in a favorable position, and just enough energy sliding underneath for potentially a moderate storm. Not buying the idea of 10", but 3-6 seems achievable.

CMC similar. Models are pretty locked in this far out.

The problem is that pesky clipper is trending stronger on sunday which of course suppresses the main wave. We need that clipper to die. Still time but not great trends as of now.

Stone fruit killer.

The trends are't good but still 4+ days away.

That’s my worry with this storm. It’s relying so much on so little energy getting amplified by a NS wave playing nice.