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29 here too today Indian Summer incoming later in the week
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
mitchnick replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Heading toward the Euro weeklies/seasonal? Looks that way. Time will tell. -
It's sooo boring though.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
GaWx replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
Indeed, although Nov on the CFS has warmed, the 10 day mean Dec has cooled ~2F in the E US since 10 days ago. 10 day mean as of 10 days ago: Latest 10 day mean: 2F cooler. Could this be related to the even weaker early Nov SPV when considering the 35-40 day lag Chuck mentioned? -
Think I figured out my issue, which was true last year early on. My pool is still around 60 and my weather station is around 25 feet from the pool. After initial drop my temp levels off from midnight to sunrise on clear calm nights. By late fall last year my temps were more normal again, but until the pool temp drops my overnight low will be higher
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
LakePaste25 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A strong “rebound” Nina isn’t guaranteed. cold neutral is on the table. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnowGoose69 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
The real question way too early is will the La Nina of 27-28 make 88-89 and 10-11 look weak -
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With not much else going on I thought this was worthy of sharing. Thought this was a great video clip. https://x.com/ReedTimmerUSA/status/2114179629863084042/video/1 Enjoy the weather cause you ain't gonna notice much change for a while. Nice but getting boring. Per post above from @bluewave don't like the look of this. Keep an eye on it over the coming weeks. I wouldn't be surprised if this pattern locked in for a while. Trof west / ridge east.
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We grow with zero frost in sight.. Frost coverage at the coast, where the growing season remains in effect, looks to be patchy at this time.
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A top 5 warmest October for Chicago and for a lot of places. Electric bill and gas bill gonna be at a low point with these perfect temps.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
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2026-2027 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Maggie Valley Steve replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
33 and heavy frost to the Valley floor this morning. I'm seeing some possibly big changes ahead as we enter November. It's extremely uncommon to see the models pointing to impressive Stratospheric Warming event with an elongated Polar Vortex covering the Eastern 2/3 of Canada into the United States in early November. With the usual lag time of a couple of weeks, perhaps some interesting weather ahead in time for Thanksgiving. We will see if the models are correct in the next week or so. -
Lol Mega torch
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I'm not worried yet. I remember when we built our house in Calvert I had grass germinating in December and growing and that was over 20yrs ago. Things are done up here at DCL. All the leaves are down except for a few oak trees. My phone said 33F when I woke up this morning.
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E PA/NJ/DE Autumn 2026 Obs/Discussion
MGorse replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Got down to 32F earlier this morning with a heavy frost. -
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
snowman19 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
We are 100% on the same page. This background state is extremely hostile to major SSWEs and a sustained weak SPV….lack of a strong MJO 6, 7, 8 propagation (due to the historic El Niño), the very strong low frequency Nino forcing is totally overwhelming and muting the MJO signal, as is typical for super events, a downwelled, very strong and still strengthening +QBO, descending solar off last year’s solar max, high geomag, +IOD……. -
32F for the low. Must've been a pretty heavy frost, everything was wet when I went outside.
