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  2. If 00z models are more or less consist with these 12z solutions then we know for almost certain where this is headed. WPC 7 day qpf has shifted precio max to BOS. Still have 1-3” soaking for most of this forum but dubious based on 12z global I would think. These phasing situations are murder.
  3. I'm in no way implying a 1995 repeat...I understand how different the western PAC is and how much we have warmed...I get it. Just saying ENSO in a vacuum is a decent match.
  4. it's amazing how drama seeking changes whence one owns the responsibility, huh
  5. 12z Euro says, "what storm??" It was over when the NYC and MA forums started threads on this.
  6. That resembles (but is still less) than WPC's updated map, which took a big step back with their latest update.
  7. yup... that's been a glaring aspect. don't usually get something on the EC while the west is plummeting - this 12z Euro run may be onto something. i mentioned earlier that a contraction s is possible but ...heh, not sensing much acknowledgement. wonder why haha
  8. Euro AI looks better.. and ya probably about that
  9. Just been kind of sitting back but I think the end result is a modest storm with a bit of wind and up to an inch of rain. Not anything we haven’t seen in the last few weeks.
  10. I swear that was just voodoo logic. I don't think their physics were similar. But that was what, like 15 years ago? lol.
  11. The forecast winter EMI from JAMSTEC is very 2018 like...along with 1995 and 2021. The newest El Niño Modoki Index (EMI) guidance from JAMSTEC has also remained fairly consisted in it's depiction of an EMI value of around -.20 to -.30 during the boreal winter season. This range is similar to the EMI analogs of 1995-1996, 2017-2018 and 2021-2022, which is supported by the similarity in both the placement (near 140 longitude) and the intensity of the respective subsurface cold pool analogs relative to 2025.
  12. He speaks the truth. If you don't want to report the tenths, get a thermometer that doesn't report them.
  13. what ever happened to the UKIE and Euro following each other.. worlds apart
  14. Well, what did we expect? The Mid-Atlantic is back to the rug pulls and cliff jumpers we know and love!
  15. Euro is basically some light rain tomorrow afternoon and evening and that’s the whole deal
  16. To each his own. Either way, the weather has been exceedingly boring for a while now so it kind of sucks that any semblance of excitement the models showed is gone now. Here's to an amazing winter.
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