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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
dendrite replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Dry like the moon back then. Get those water vapor levels back down and we can heat up and cool down diurnally like Idaho. CON was really rad happy back then, but even on those 11° mornings the Franklin coop up here had 13° on both of those days. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
tamarack replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Lots of SNE colder than here this morning. Clouds held the temp at 27. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
WinterWolf replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Most all of it is. Sorry. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
CoastalWx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Yep all natural. 100%. Nothing has changed. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
WinterWolf replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Different this year…gonna be a decent winter. -
Oops pines lol.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
WinterWolf replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
For now it is…that will change too. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
WinterWolf replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Thank you. -
Expecting a pretty intense blizzard here and making final preps this weekend. If that upper low takes the euro track, look out! Looks like 50 mph winds, temps in the teens and snow squalls.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Yeah I mean I was just thinking because the earth is warming. Don’t need to go much deeper than that. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
Ginx snewx replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
We know why cyclical warming of the earth. -
After years of waffling I'm finally going to go up and see some November snow in Canaan Monday/Tuesday. Borrowing the sisters Bronco and doing some boozing/hiking with my Fiancé around the valley. Additionally, I got a season pass to Timberline for the first time so will be good to practice the drive once before go-time.
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
Typhoon Tip replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
it's likely wrong... I mean for one, that model's not going to resolve idiosyncratic in situ synoptic elements, because the climatology normalizing aspect ends up muting those specific signals. case in point, at 48 to 72 hours there's a lead s/w in Indian/southern Lakes, that skirts out ahead of the main trough, priory to it going through that amplitude out there are 84-96 ... that little piece of shit is a ruiner. it is in destructive interference with what probably could have been a CFS type solution. the CFS doesn't even have that lead wave. the other guidance all do, and as a consequence have to generate a second wave forming along b-c axis down around eastern VA, but they then fail to really get it's act together soon enough ... the ensemble of the EPS bombs that that thing in the GOM... way to late (btw). If it were not for the lead pos mentioned above, than the event emphasis would probably be the feature. it's not impossible that thing modulate in that direction but it would be pretty rare at this range for the the other more dependable guidance types. i was just bringing it up more tongue-in-cheek. but yeah, it's nice eye candy. ha. -
November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
mreaves replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
The low temps are just incredible. Even on days that are somewhat warm. 70/23 on the 5th and 68/22 on the 29th. -
We'll hope 24-25 isn't repeated - early peak followed by meh. On 12/5/24 we had 15" OG, the most for that date in our 27 winters. We finished with well below snowfall and well below SDDs. That's what happens when the winter's 2 biggest snowstorms occur on 11/28-29 and 12/4-5.
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Anywhere from .1 to .5 of rain tonight
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NAM/Euro/GFS are looking good for rain tonight (0.25"+) but the HRRR hates it. Interesting battle.
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If you only knew
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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...
powderfreak replied to Typhoon Tip's topic in New England
Haven’t gotten above the long term average sub-32 hours at CON in October in like a decade, but we just don’t know why. It could change next year. -
Man moderators have their work cut out for them.
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Down to 31.3 here last night. First freeze!
