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It was a cool over night camping trip with my daughter’s troop; hit 42 at 5:00 am. Perfect now.

Any met or anyone know the reasoning for the NAM decommission? It still seems more accurate than its successor and a far better tool for winter wx. I mean, it was only the NAM on Jan 25th this year which got close to accurate mixing line accounts. Just seems like a weird decision.

Below is an analysis of when our daily climate records have occurred in the philly burbs of Chester County PA. Temperature, Precipitation and Snow daily records. Of note the decades of the 1930's through the 1950's accounted for 39% of our record high temperature records. The most daily record highs were recorded during the 1940's. The decades of the 1970's through 1990's recorded 40% of all of our daily record low temperatures across the county. With the 1980's recording the most daily record low temperatures. Precipitation wise the 2010's saw the most daily record precipitation records while the 1960's saw the greatest number of daily snow records.

Went to the Os/Nats game last night. Beautiful night for baseball, but obviously a terrible night for guys trying to hit with RISP. Orioles are toast. It's actually one of the more pathetic showings of talent I've seen in awhile. They have a clutch factor of -100. Sad. Despite the outcome for myself, the atmosphere and the time at the game were incredible. Sat club behind home plate which was a phenomenal seat. The Nationals have a great ballpark. Next game will be at Camden Yards, so I'm looking forward to going and staking claim on a good seat with some Boogs and Stuggy's in my facehole

He’s coming to hit hard

Gonna be a tough week

What warehouse is this that you speak of? I literally don't work in one lol

Just finished mowing #5 this morning. Certainly not hot and humid yet but did some sweating regardless. Temps up into low 70s now.

While it would nice to pick up some soaking rains with the sharp cold front following the near to record heat this week, these fronts have had a tendency to dry out crossing the mountains before reaching the coast.

The usual doubts apply but mentioning it anyway: KEY MESSAGE 3...Strong to severe thunderstorms possible by Tue with perhaps a better potential by Wed but a lot needs to be sorted out. Quite the ways out there...especially for a convective forecast. That being said...there are some signals for potentially strong to severe thunderstorms later Tue and perhaps a better chance by Wed. This will be dependent upon the timing of a cold front...but given anomalous/near record warmth the potential is there. In fact...much of our machine learning guidance indicates some modest severe weather probabilities for a Day 4-5 forecast...so this is certainly something to watch.

Perfect day

We take and enjoy. I’m glad the big heat isn’t going to be more than two days…save that for late June, July and August.

The developing El Niño isn’t the only thing going on now. The early month pattern with the more +PNA was closer to what we typically see with the May correlation. But this coming heatwave is more related to the MJO 4-6 convection pumping the Southeast ridge. The +30C wam pool extends all the way back to the IO.

90 seems possible there (and here)

AN weekend (amazing today) through Monday. Then a 2 day torch. normal for a bit after.

And by Friday the forecast will be 30% chance of showers with the usual .10" precip with higher amounts possible in thunderstorms.

Yeah but the non-ventilated warehouse is going to be sizzling...stay hydrated

Severe Tuesday/Wednesday according to NWS forecast discussion?

Locked in. Attaboy, well played!

The 1960s drought in the Northeast 'peaked' in 1965. Thay year was the driest on record for all 3 SNE states, plus NJ, PA, DE. NY's record occurred in the drier region in the Allegheny Plateau, but the NYC records picture the drought clearly: 1931-60 norm: 44.24" Driest ranks, 1869-on: 1962 37.15" 21st 1963 34.28" 5th (4"+ event in November prevented a new record.) 1964 32.99" 2nd 1965 26.09" 1st (Remains of Camille doused one VA town with that much in 5 hours.) 1966 was tracking close to 1965 thru August. Then 5.54" fell on 9/21/66, the beginning of the drought's end. JAN-AUG SEP-DEC 1965 19.05" 7.04" 1966 19.79" 20.21"

Today’s going to be a sneaky moderate abrose jet day. Some gusts near 40 along the south shore late this afternoon. .

Gonna be a long couple of days, Monday looks particularly like it has a lot of chances for long track tornadoes.

The page has turned. Spring is in full swing. Reached low 80's here yesterday as the last patches of snow in the ditches and swamps melted away. The only place where snow remains is around the pole barn where it slid off the roof all winter. Maples are starting to bud and patches of green are replacing the blah brown. The last 80 here was October 5th.