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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Birds~69 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Same here. And there was about a hundred or so pecking at the grass on a baseball field at a local high school. - Today
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2025-2026 ENSO
so_whats_happening replied to 40/70 Benchmark's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
What an interesting pattern the 00z GFS showed up to 240hrs @ 10mb The 500mb maps were also very interesting, of course one run but don't think I have seen tropo/strato connection in this way with multiple 500mb lobes developing especially one still sitting in the Beaufort Sea/ CAA before. This would probably be considered a minor wave 2 event but not a whole lot of warming taking place which is something that is lacking in completely taking down the SPV. -
January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
Torch Tiger replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
Euro AI likes the 18th. Big 'un -
Euro was a beaut.
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A week of warm weather but winter is back on next week.
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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread
brooklynwx99 replied to Baroclinic Zone's topic in New England
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Still kinda like this one
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Are you a grief counselor?.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
Kind of looks progressive.. I'd rather have it backed up with a gulf of alaska low and 50/50 low. trough dropping in the upper midwest might shear the thing out. -
This is two systems, a light one (heavy in the mountains) around D6/7 and the other around D9/10.
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January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion
Stormchaserchuck1 replied to snowfan's topic in Mid Atlantic
We're losing the cold pattern on the 500mb! -EPO patterns are too short lived, they retrograde a low pressure backs in a lot of the time. Still far out to go, and there are a lot of fundamentals saying more +PNA for that time, so maybe the model doesn't verify. -
The Euro AI has the same footprint but much drier. I've noticed the Euro Ai last year was always the driest model, and the AI GFS is also drier than the OP models.
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That’s one weird looking map
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The Euro has a slider/miller A going inside D10. Nice hit for Eastern areas and Western NC. The mountains get buried with 12+ 3-6 or so Eastern Highland rim to the foothills.
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Lol, I think most of us would sign up now for that… Only 10 days to go. Hopefully we reel in the 15th/16th too.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
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That looks too weird. Toss
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That trended deeper
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how reliable is this model since they started using it ?
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The 15-16 got close man
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Don’t pull the plug on 15th yet
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'Ice, ice, baby.....'
