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Yeah I mean I’ve seen some cold ZR with temps in the high teens but the icon had gso at 9F. That’s gotta be sleet or snow.

If its good for us, its good for Boston, and vice versa.

The RUFUS was a colder and juicer version of the NAM at 84. The snow line was 2 or 3 counties south of the NAM.

'Oh Captain, my Captain...'

A little trick on wxbell...switch to mslp surface pressure and use the mouse over comparison. You can see the surface pressure about 10 mins before the surface output catches up.

I posted that in our text chain....what an ass.

And toes!

I read the AFD from Boston earlier and they sounded bull'ish.

15-20 for most all of VA except here.

Wish it wouldn’t even come out, that would be ideal.

...aaand with 96 hours to go before the first flakes fly (for some of us), I wouldn't be surprised this time Friday evening we're looking at the heaviest snow axis progged W-NW-N-NE of DCA. Hello climo. We'll still get hammered for those of us in the greater DC metro region, but I do expect the northerly trends to continue, with the gradient tightening a bit and considerably lower totals farther south toward central-southern VA as the snow mixes with/changes over to sleet.

Some of these solutions are almost hard to believe lol. The 18z euro is literally days and days. Probably at least Monday and Tuesday off for the kids if that verified

Love watching it snow

Does Nesis only care about DC to boston---feel like this is going to be a crippling storm for much of the nation but maybe not SNE

Man, that run was great. I still can’t get over Nashville at 15+ inches of snow either being forecast. Their record was set in the 1890’s at 17.4” for a single storm. This is gearing up to be a potentially special storm for a large part of the country.

Given the wind trajectory and the northern stream, I think Boston will pull it off. Hard to believe the CCB is just gonna dry up when it gets to New England like models are showing.

I know this is banter and I know we've discussed it to some extent, but can we all just take a moment to admire the exquisite miracle of @Bob Chill getting so frustrated with our region's lack of snow that he not only basically said "I'm semi-retiring from the snow-tracking game," he up and moved to a place liable to get even less snow...annnnnd has now spent years getting pummeled into oblivion by storm after storm and looks set to profit yet again. No one deserves it more. Maybe the one person on this board I won't LOATHE if they get buried while I'm smoking cirrus in Towson. I salute you, sir. Whatever you did to please the winter gods, I thank you for (hopefully) sharing it with the rest of us this time around. I hope we are all digging out of thigh-deep drifts come Monday morning.

GFS 00z running…fingers crossed

Yeah ICON still good for us, as long as the bleeding has stopped on the Euro, will feel pretty good and maybe get some sleep. It’s tough in our little thread, and we only come out when there is a real threat, but between CHO, EZF, ROA, RIC, LYH, NOR and HR as a whole, we have a lot of differences, we are big damn state.

Can we al agree that an ice storm is caused by freezing rain and not sleet? The ice storm area will likely be far removed from the heavy snow line. TW

Our savior is here. .

The 0z GFS is running...for those of you watching for trouble, post it here. You should be able to see differences almost right away.

Really glad about this; before it was looking like the meat of the storm would be overnight, and though that is still true it won't even be close to done by Sunday morning

0z GFS running. Hold_on_to_your_butts.jpeg

Love ur optimism towards the GFS Randy