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  2. The models that showed mostly freezing rain instead of sleet with last night's precip and the precip overnight were wrong, so really no reason to think this will be different.
  3. Four hours of dumping sleet in Silver Spring. Pretty unbelievable
  4. I lived through that VD 2007 storm in central PA and it was dumping sleet at maybe 10-12 degrees. What happens at 750 or 800mb is irrrelevant to the surface. If there's strong southerly flow at those levels because of a primary and 700/850 lows in a bad place, those levels will warm up and it will sleet.
  5. I think an auger style would chop it right up vs a brushless but report back! I am still surprised how heavy the first 5" were and at the drifting before the sleet took over. This is an impressive amount of sleet. The trails i carved out for the tyke to sled are all but gone.
  6. I still say this is an over performer we got 10+ inches easy if it hangs on for another hour still snowing in Jamison PA
  7. Over 60% without power in Rabun county and rapidly going up. Even with a brief period just above freezing likely later, I'm very concerned about how things get when the heavy winds arrive.
  8. I walked up to our clubhouse...too bad the hot tub isn't open yet
  9. We ain’t talking much lol. Gotta stare at my black truck
  10. Think im just looking at the euro a few days out and then the nam in the 24 hours up to onset. Ignoring everything else. .
  11. Temp went from 11 degrees an hour ago to 16 degrees .
  12. Heavy snow with nice big flakes here in Sturbridge. Temp at only 5 Degrees here right now.
  13. Cary https://x.com/hurricanetrack/status/2015442535603216595?s=46&t=5ny5bPgiX5Vy3bQMvYTY5g
  14. Measured 8.25" on my front step. Starting to sound a little plinky out there, and the flakes are getting larger. Maybe starting to warm up slightly, up from 9 to 9.8°F and 7.3°F DP.
  15. DCA avoids the bounce problem by plugging in their snow board
  16. Anyone thinking this wedge would break- I got news for you
  17. Yes, I'm aware. But he said the next closest guess was well above him, so unless MDT goes well over 10" (seems unlikely), he would be the winner. That's why I said "likely win". All good.
  18. Thanks, and Yup, explains it. Tucked into the Doubling Gap area there in extreme NW Cumberland county, we started mixing with sleet about 30mins ago. Guess the NAM was on to it, the only model that got the mixing up and past me. Bummer as many models were showing me at 12”+ easily. Had 7” prior changeover.
  19. central Suffolk Just under 5” now. heaviest snow of the day. Snow seems to be getting a little less powdery. Sleet line seems to be moving now hope we get to double digits
  20. FWIW, HRRR hr 1 (12 PM) is too far south with the sleet line, as it appears to be approaching southern Mercer/Middlesex in NJ (based on CC and mPING). Around 7" so far here, so might be able to pull off low-end double digits with sleet included. But also suspect there will be some compacting with the sleet on top.
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