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Another example, they've had Thursday as mostly sunny in their forecast.. still do.. No mention of PM storms.. Weird

40 this morning.

There was a very high layer of something like cirrocumulus early this morning, where I could occasionally see a star here and there but I expect that no aurora would break through that. I am unfortunately in the city and although "darker" compared to other areas, still not really "dark sky" and have lots of obstructions (trees/houses) to see anything faint. The chilly mornings have kept me from my usual schedule of putting my tender tropicals out "by or around Memorial Day" (they are still in the basement, but will try to get them out this week finally). My lows have been 48 the past 2 mornings and I am currently at 49 with hazy sunshine and a dp of 46. In other news, a doe delivered a Bambi in the front yard of my sister's nextdoor neighbor's house near their "run" (the herds travel between the houses from the street) and my niece texted a pic of it. The fawn was chilling in the grass while mamma was probably down at the creek at the bottom of the backyard getting a drink (that is usually where they go before heading back to the front and across the street).

Dipped to 44F this morning. One more night in the 40s tonight and then hello summer.

Last 40’s here this morning until Octorcher . Ahhh. Summer is here

41.4F here. Should bounce back decently.

39.9°

I'm super over the cold windy weather. My tomato plants look like crap from the cold nights. Bring on 95/70. Seven months of fall is enough lol

Had to turn the heat on when I woke up. 41 currently.

2 straight June mornings with a low of 45. We will pay for this.

45 for the low again.

.CLIMATE... May 2025 Precipitation Rankings Site 2025 | Wettest May on Record ----------------------------------------------------------- Harrisburg* 10.02" Wettest | 9.71" in 1989 (previous) Williamsport 7.18" 7th Wettest | 9.91" in 1919 Altoona* 7.34" Wettest | 7.31" in 1960 (previous) State College 7.56" T-7th Wettest | 9.45" in 1894 (* denotes that May 2025 set a new record in precipitation in their respective locations. The previous record remains listed under the "Wettest May on Record" column.)

Got lucky with a late flare up and as of 0200 local, very good display (49N 117W).

Contest deadline extended to 6/6 ... I will say 20/11/3.

I think it's really silly that global warming is moving index patterns. This isn't something that is "maybe" to me, or "wait until the next decade". We have been in a west-based La Nina global state (tropical forcing on the dateline), and it has flexed the SE ridge along with probably a +AMO. I'll give that Winters are probably +3-4F warmer, but then you can correlate everything to what's going on everywhere else almost 100%. The biggest anomalies were Dec 2022 and March 2023, something was happening that did not let -NAO/-EPO penetrate.. it's probably connected to a Strong El Nino the following year and record Atlantic SSTs for 2023 and 2024. Since then -NAO's have run cooler over the last 2 Winters. 83% of Winter months have been +NAO since Dec 11.. 14 years. Something like 70% of months have been -PNA. It's no mystery at all why we are in a snowfall drought. I actually thought that it should have started sooner. I think he's right that things are getting warmer (shocking) but is 20-30 years ahead of time, using the last 7 years to say it's somewhat of a permanent thing. The thing is, the next few Winters might be like this as the decadal states aren't changing anytime soon.

Was looking back at the warnings issued back during the 1998 Derecho for the anniversary and man it's kinda crazy to see they issued no tornado warnings and the SVRs only mentioned 70 or 80mph winds while 120+ mph gusts were ongoing. Shows how far we've come with warnings.

Chris is very bright and it wouldn't surprise me in the slightest if he ends up being 100% correct, but it's still pretty speculative at this point.

Where did I imply that it was wasn't logically sound??? The implication of my statement was that any deduction beyond the fact that there is baseline warming going on is speculation. I have been pretty consistent with expressing that his suggestions are very viable, but we need to get into the next decade to be certain. No one knows for sure how the warming is going to alter global oscillations and circulations moving forward...including Chris because if he did, I can promise you he wouldn't be camped out in front of his laptop posting on a weather forum like the rest of us. Funny thing is that he was actually arguing that I would do BETTER if a replica 2009-2010 season were to take place, as I am near the MA/NH border...so no denial here, which is the term you were looking for...cognitive dissonance is a term used to describe the internal strife that results from living in a manner that is in conflict with your own self esteem, or firmly held convictions, so its not a defense mechanism. Disagreeing with someone doesn't have to mean you are in conflict... its actually more frequently quite the opposite. As far as the "dumb"comment, usually those that feel the need to hurl those insults are working with the most pronounced deficits....I'll leave it at that-

It was a hypothetical statement....which inherently implies that it's not "locked" in...

67 today. Heat kicked on this morning. Enough of that

Maybe they should hire you, the best forecaster to come out the Cann

They’re all shitpoos to me

Mid 80's and low 90's have never been uncommon in New England during the summer months over the last 150 years. The biggest increases have been in dewpoints and low temps over the last several decades. If you moved here expecting 60's and 70's during the summer... well... we aren't Canada...

"Stick to your long-johns untill your long-johns stick to you"

The only good news. The weather's so amazing right now it's darn depressing that it could be months before it happens again, but I remember seeing a couple of overcast days with highs in the 60s last summer, so... Hey, that's one reason I moved here. Those projected mid-week temperatures are a big yikes. Feel like I've gone back to the south.