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cut off d-drip and withdraw syndrome kickin in

I saw 38 on car digi. Spotty frost also observed in normal cold spots.

I mean if we can’t get Will out of retirement to post about the blizzicane then what the hell is there worth posting for?

Hard to say SOP....tough call-

Whereas the 6Z Euro shifted 200-250 miles NE of the 0Z/12Z runs for that forecast time, keep in mind that the 6Z Euro op is near the NE most 6Z EPS members: 6Z Euro op 144: 40 miles E of easternmost point of Jamaica 6Z EPS 144: large majority are 300-500 miles WSW to SW of the Euro op!

Will there be all winter?

Still not much reason for me to post. Back to Outlook....see ya in two weeks.

tru ... but I was being sarcastic over what that would look like if the lost generational 'normal' alpine october temperatures were in play. hint hint, 50" of snow which i'm not even sure the back whence october 20 is too early even then. but then it wouldn't be as funny.

Both the GFS and Euro have 40s for highs towards the end of the runs. Bring it!

I did not end here. Another batch came in and I ended up with 1.52".

Morning low of 37 at MCN. Highs around 80 for today ! "Please, sir.....more"

Bottomed out this morning. 33.8. Light frost on roofs, cars, and lower areas. Edited to add, if anyone wants to check out my weather station. I am on the Ambient Weather Network. HVPVD is my station name.

Lawns and shrubs looking best they have all year. Another recurring theme…will see this through thanksgiving.

Lows this morning ranged from as low as 33.6 in valley locations like Warwick Township to 46.8 at ridge locations like West Grove, Today we should we our warmest day of the week with some valley locations nearing 70 degrees. Higher ridge locations will remain in the upper 60's. A cold front crosses the area overnight tonight with some very light showers. After that we seem temperatures no higher than the 50's for highs and 30's for lows through the rest of the week and into the weekend. For those lower elevation spots that have already had multiple freezes this month you could see a couple more both Thursday and Friday morning. Higher ridge spots look to continue their growing season with lows remaining above freezing through the week.

Lows this morning ranged from as low as 33.6 in valley locations like Warwick Township to 46.8 at ridge locations like West Grove, Today we should we our warmest day of the week with some valley locations nearing 70 degrees. Higher ridge locations will remain in the upper 60's. A cold front crosses the area overnight tonight with some very light showers. After that we seem temperatures no higher than the 50's for highs and 30's for lows through the rest of the week and into the weekend. For those lower elevation spots that have already had multiple freezes this month you could see a couple more both Thursday and Friday morning. Higher ridge spots look to continue their growing season with lows remaining above freezing through the week.

Same here! First of the season

Warm/wet cool/dry Familiar….

It's possible given the look. Still pretty far out. GFS suggesting some upslope in early November with LES in the NW flow behind a cold front.

Yeah a d10 CMC snowicane. What could go wrong?

October is interesting because there is a big negative 500mb anomaly over and around Alaska in the -PDO.. and -PDO's when the warm SSTA has been predominant pattern. You would think warmer water temps would be linear with warming somewhere else or there.. but it's a -0.5 H5 correlation that occurs consistently for the last 75 years.

Nothing more exciting than a Day 10 CMC.

Wonder if the mountains could get their first accumulations out of that? Would love to go on a 3 hour jaunt if it meant seeing October snow.

36.6 with first frost on rooftops and some in grassy areas.

1. 6Z Euro 144: significant shift NE vs 0Z 150 and 12Z 162 (which were both 150-200 miles SSW to SW of Jamaica) with the 6Z 40 miles E of Jamaica. That’s a 200-250 mile NE shift from the 0Z/12Z! 2. Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 21 2025 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America: 1. Caribbean Sea (AL98): Satellite, radar, and surface observations indicate that the area of low pressure over the central Caribbean Sea appears to be developing a well-defined center, and is already producing winds up to 45 mph. A tropical storm is expected to form later today while it slows down over the central Caribbean Sea. Heavy rainfall and gusty winds are possible over portions of the ABC Islands during the next day or two. Interests in Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Jamaica, and Cuba should monitor the progress of this system as there is a risk of heavy rain and flooding, strong winds, and rough surf later this week. The Air Force Hurricane Hunters are scheduled to investigate the system later today. For additional information on this system, including Gale Warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...near 100 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...near 100 percent. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php Forecaster Cangialosi

Aween