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  2. Prismshine Productions
    Why run? Sent from my SM-S176V using Tapatalk
  3. Bubbler86
    Full on soaker in Pen-Mar. Approaching .2". Daytime (not counting midnight high) high of 58 today and could get 85-90 tomorrow. Quite the jump. It should never hit 85 the second half of Oct :-).
  4. BeastFromTheEast
    Nice corridor of frost/freeze headlines!
  5. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  6. Met1985
    Yeah there are definitely people going to see some 20s this weekend. My forecast highs and lows keep getting revised down this weekend. Going to be very windy and a cold weekend.
  7. weatherwiz
    You can compare, just not a side-to-side comparison. To compare you'd need a bit of a complex statistical analysis
  8. Typhoon Tip
    I was 30 last week with a higher thickness setting going in tho. I dunno.. we're in the time of year where the land battery doesn't get charged during the day. yeah, the sun feels warm and given the right conditions, we can go above average... by quite a bit even. but even on those types of afternoons, the sun kisses the tree tops in the w and it's 10 off the high really fast. I noticed that just the other day when we were 75 for high and it was 64 on dusk.
  9. Mrs.J
    Light rain here over the past 20 min.
  10. GaWx
    The NAO is higher on today’s GEFS mean vs that of two days ago: two days ago: peaking 10/15 at +1.0 and then dropping to -1 Today peaks not til 10/19 and with that being up at +1.3 and then drops only to -0.7 followed by a quick bounce that gets back up to -0.2 on 10/27 vs it still being down at -0.9 on 10/27 two days ago @Stormchaserchuck1
  11. Typhoon Tip
    hm If we decouple there's going to be brick off the edge falls tho
  12. Guest

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU

    Guest commented on andrewmac's gallery image in Cloud Photos

    Trying out the new zoom on the TCU
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  13. smokeybandit
    Only about 0.2" for the storm.
  14. WinterWolf
    So what you’re saying is this years is very easy, and maybe they get the easy one correct? But last year was more difficult, and they flunked it.
  15. weatherwiz
    Just like the GFS has a bias to overmix I also think it has a bias of going a bit too extreme under radiational cooling conditions.
  16. WinterWolf
    If you can’t compare to what really happens ..then what good are they? That’s comical.
  17. weatherwiz
    Also, those forecasts are probabilistic so "technically" you can't really compare them to what happened at face value.
  18. dendrite
    MOS is pretty cold Sun AM. Seems a little overdone in spots.
  19. Ginx snewx
    Enjoy
  20. kdxken
  21. dendrite
    To be fair it’s a basic strong nino forecast. Compare this year’s to 23-24 and 15-16 and then what the actuals were.
  22. yotaman
    Currently 91/71 for a feels like of 98. Is it really October?
  23. kdxken
    Not far off here. Unfortunate about tomorrow's degrader. One of the best years in many.
  24. NorthHillsWx
    Windshield wiper. GFS finally onboard with it too, tho weak and offshore
  25. CoastalWx
    I don’t necessarily have an issue with the depiction of low heights and a cut off over the southeast trying to form a coastal, but last night’s euro was absurd lol.
  26. Typhoon Tip
    bizarre .. the operational version too. Chaotic hodgepodge of perforation in anything that resembles a ridge. That's been a verifying theme, though - holes punched in ridges. seems like there will be holes punched in the heights S of the polar branch, but at this range ... not correct on where those are. That run from 00z happened to time/place one where a book-end TC happened to be getting going ... Goes on to being a nice example of spontaneous emergence from model generated noise.
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