All Activity

I mean you usually get plenty of eps members that follow the op so I’m still wary. I’d like to see another model doing what it doing at H5 before getting excited.

If it happens awesome. 138 hours left.

Maybe I should keep cancelling? It’s a messy look though overall. Threading a massive needle.

Eps 6z vs 0z

Literally thought the same thing. GFS straight up punts the next 16 days heading into March lol

6z Euro continues to be on board with a slightly warmer & more tucked low position near the DelMarVa before it exits off of the coast. It still brings warning level snow to the Harrisburg area this run. If we end up with this track, I like our chances.

GFS looks like it wants to be done with winter entirely.

Mark Margavage snrteoSodpc56184g68hfgu24988l1al14mc584h0h8mhfh2m0t7l7a1i151 · Weekend Storm Update Despite what you might have heard…I am STILL tracking the potential for a significant snow event this weekend. If it happens, the snow would arrive Sunday afternoon/evening. Model Guidance has been all over the place but I’ve been fairly consistent with my message: This looks like a Miller B Nor’Easter. Miller B storms typically have a mix line that sets up along I-78/I-80 in eastern PA and NJ. The European Model suggests that mix changes over to heavy snow as this storm strengthens. Whether or not that actually happens is pure speculation at this point. There are some non-linear processes that need to go exactly correct for this storm to produce significant snow. If not, the storm could miss off to the south. So nothing is set in stone yet, but the threat remains. ~Meteorologist Mark Margavage

May want to take a peak at 06z EPS.

about a 1/2" of snow covered slush remaining..so I'm guessing we had 1" overnight before the melting

Worked out as expected here.

The Little Metfan storm?

It’s interesting that we had good snow growth during the heaviest rates last night but in between it was kind of grainy. The snow overall felt a little dense shoveling this morning. Looks nice though. 1.6” storm total with a tenth new after 1.5 last night before going to bed.

My mom estimated 2” in N Manch when I was at 4”

damn thought you'd do better based on radar when you were sleeping.. everything is a sheet of ice here about .1" ice and there is a salt shortage in the area, main roads are fine but lots and side roads are a disaster, schools all delayed , some should be closed..

Just dipped down below freezing with a little frost on the car here in the valley.

Send it out to the fish. They need the rain. It helps them grow.

It’s still on the radar. That’s all that’s needs to be worried about at this time. Euro obviously sees something it likes. See where it takes us.

North shore jacked again for SNE.

@The 4 Seasons 1.5" new, 37.5 on the season so far.

Worked great for last nights event. Keep the cancels coming.

It’s not even dropping that ULL into Maine on Sunday now.

Temps are probably more of an issue than track anyway. about as thread the needle as you can get.

If you like rain the 6z euro is choice

00z is a better setup to draw in the cold, 6z was worse synoptically which torched us.. I guess I could see a thread the needle but it's very low odds, bc we just don't need a NW trend, we also need a cold tap with a shitty airmass in place