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Ham and egg all the way my man!! Did you know you can order double meat? Or even double egg or cheese! Just ask when you order. The AI struggles with it though.

03Z HRRR fills in much faster for Wake. Hopefully the start of a good trend

Makes zero sense surface would be warm lol

Yep it is time to try and go to sleep we have stopped here with the snow. Hopefully we will wake up to some big rates.

When I look at the wind field on Ventusky, the center of circulation appears to be about 50 miles off the SC coast, and it's been moving slowly parallel to the coast all evening. I hope that means the low will hug the coast more than the models have said as it deepens...

Getting frigid out there! 16.5F. Rates have picked up yet flakes are falling individually like grains of sand. 3 1/2 inches on the measurement surface and a snowpack of 4 1/2 inches in the grass. Sledding should be fun tomorrow! I'm calling this event a win

AIGFS midweek

Waiting for the "radar is verifying north of the models" posts. Always a crowd pleaser.

Its hammering in Stuart now. Snowing sideways and now windy on the cams. Going to be rapid accums if that keeps up. Thanks to some knowledgable posters this morning, my Starlink heater is on and my wifi cams are working perfectly. Love this place!

Any thoughts you have share away.

What are you going to get kvegas? If I were to partake, I would get a ham and egg biscuit (mustard and pepper a must). .

Current view from upstairs looking out over the winter wonderland.

Since it’s now casting time, our upper low looks to have closed off over Illinois tonight

2 AM is the magic hour. If the HRRR is right we'll be entering the teens with QPF broadly over us, I'm interested to see what that's gonna look like. I'm currently 23.9 with steady light snow, the wind has picked up.

HRDPS

Was not a total miss. It had a very modest amount of snow about 24 hours earlier than the map you showed, with some sort of lead wave.

Yeah that's kind of what I anticipate is a lull until around 2-3 when snow fills back in and then hangs around. Hangs around longer the further east you are. For most all of this is really bonus snow.

KAT CAMPBELL tweeted: These are new Euro ensembles - still showing a good bet that you'll see snow but the odds of 3" decreased a bit in the western part of our viewing area. Our saving grace? The high resolution models aren't seeing the snow band in our northern counties that's been around for hours

I feel like the timing of this storm was really lucky... with such light/moderate rates over a long period, I feel like the sun angle could've eaten a good chunk of our totals had this hit during the day even with the cold temps. But with the bulk of the remaining snow arriving for Knox County between 2 AM and noon, we should've have to worry about that (just have to worry about that sharp gradient wherever it ends up setting up shop). I think I'm going to set an alarm for 4 am or so and check back in then to see how things are progressing, the light snow has tapered to flurries in my backyard at the moment with 0.3" on the ground so far

I've been out xc skiing 3 days this week chasing daylight. It kinda sucks here with the crust, but it's better than not skiing. Temp is 11⁰ here now, but we still have the wind.

Well. They didn’t a small one at 1:54am, another in the 8am window, then and afternoon. They did one around 8pm too. I don’t know when they do the big discos though.

Yes I think their last update was at 8:22pm. Seems they would’ve had reason enough to change their forecast at that time and didn’t. We’ll see. .

Things are starting to pop

At this rate the Bojangles crew will be at work at 5am and I can still get my biskies in the morning. Thats the best forecast I could ask for. We are going to get smoked on the 5-8 WSW in the triad. We'll be lucky to see 2-3" as Gianna goes to visit the fish.

Yes I’m being sarcastic. Hoping NWS is right. .