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That’s probably too far north but some of us never bought the GFS. Not when it rained and not when it was congrats DC to NYC.

Me too. Most of Southern New England wishes him nothing but the best.

After mostly minor fluctuations in the NBM, the latest 19Z took a decent hit in snowfall amounts for most, so I'd expect to see the NWS back off amounts at 4am by at least 1" or so for most if we see similar at 0Z, as they rely pretty heavily on the NBM.

Didn't have to change much on that one.

I was getting nervous.

18z Euro implies winter storm warning level of zr for Mason-Dixon counties.

nothing more like the Mid-Atlantic forum than arguing about the government and their shitty weather models in a boxing day ice to rain thread on christmas eve lol

I had .9 but that’s not representative of most of Tolland at lower els

So glad you could add your thoughts

NYC thread is scared to even mention what the new NAM been doing

Phew

The new NAM even further southwest The pivotal vs tidbits NAM outputs are in different universes What on Earth

You wonder if Tomer Berg had the right idea with it getting well into CNE and mixing issues into NYC

Definitely has an impact imby just north if Princeton. Most in thus subforum are loving the shift north

I wouldn’t be surprised if we saw a tick back south. If anything, I am hoping the mesos start improving 0z otherwise that could be a big flag concern

Back to the #1 spot.

Won’t really buy it until a lot of 00z guidance comes further north.

Well said H2O - couldn't agree more. Merry Christmas to you and yours too.

So you think we are getting rocked.

Why do I feel dirty reading this? Probably just the mountain.

Hope we will score with some winter weather opportunities here in January. I would take an ice storm at this point

LOL. That is a great line. I always forget about mountain torque events in Asia. I am assuming this is good or us?

Folks.. a festivus miracle is occurring. It is coming . The north trend / confluence weakening as we get close in on queue

I would like to think this doesn’t turn into a complete nothing burger but models keep trending north….

Seeing the 12z EPS/GEFS agree on week 2 cold and a +PNA emerge on modeling today felt like a Christmas present from Mother Nature. How quickly things can change in our field of interest.